This Week In BootPowerRatings™

Take a look at Jeff Fawcett's second installment of the 2008-09 BootPowerRatings™ (BPRs) for Pac-10 hoops as we move into the 2nd week of play in the conference. Can the Oregon schools beat up on the Washington schools at home? Will the LA programs be cordial hosts to the desert duo? Last, but certainly not least, will Monty's Bears take down Johnny D's Cardinal?

Week Two of conference play was certainly exciting. Of course car crashes are exciting too. Two games have been decided by one point this Pac-10 season – both of them Stanford losses last week. The state of Oregon has officially completed its transformation from a basketball state to a football state and the damn Weenies look like they are for real.

Below are our exclusive BootPowerRatings™ of the Pac-10 conference. Each week during the basketball season, we will release our secret-formula rating of all teams of the Pac-10. The BootPowerRating™ (BPR) is calculated by utilizing a wide range of factors rumored to include: past results, statistics, common-opponent comparative results factor, strength-of-schedule, home-venue environment, cheerleader attitude and an unrevealed school spirit multiplier. The resulting rating score falls within a 1-100 scale, where 100 approximates a championship-bound team and a score of 1 is somewhere south of D-1.

Pac-10 BootPowerRatings
As of 1/15/08

1. UCLA (3-0, 13-2)
[BPR=86]
In a shockingly foul and turnover free game, the Howlandettes ground out a typical ugly win by holding USC to nine points over the last 11 minutes on their home floor. Still not very scary, but still 3-0 without a home game yet so still #1. Saturday they welcome ASU as the 2nd half of a monster CBS doubleheader, following Georgetown at Duke. Looks like another day of putting things off until tomorrow for the Jester! Polls:8 Sagarin:22 RPI:42  [Bruin Report Online]
2. California (4-0, 15-2)
[BPR=85]
Road sweep in Washington, including a triple OT heart stopper over the Huskies, sent the crack Bootleg research staff off on a depressing investigation. Last time kal swept a road trip while The Beloved Cardinal was getting swept? Shockingly enough, it happened in 2005 in Los Angeles! How they beat eventual NCAA runner-up UCLA on the road and then lost at home to OSU a week later is a question only Ben Braun can answer. Boy do I miss him. Polls:22.5 Sagarin:15 RPI:11  [The Bear Insider]
3. Arizona St. (3-1, 14-2)
[BPR=84]
Took out their anger over the kal loss on the poor Beavers, who went from celebrating their first conference win in ages to their normal station in life in just four days. 69-38 is just mean. Aforementioned UCLA game this week the biggest for ASU this century, as they are on the cusp of a top 10 ranking. But have to get by USC first, watch out for the Trojan Trap! (add that to your dirty euphemism list) Polls:15.5 Sagarin:9 RPI:23  [DevilsDigest.com]
4. Washington (2-1, 11-4)
[BPR=79]
Huskies have to be black and purple from kicking themselves over how they lost to kal. Up eight with 3:11 to play, they don't score another point in regulation. Up three with 2:44 to play in OT, they don't score again. Up five with 33 seconds and still up three with nine seconds to play in the 2nd OT they blow it again, this time on an incredibly dumb old fashioned three-point play when "don't foul" was the only thing to remember. They took still another four point lead in the 3rd OT before fading. Achilles' heel is Brockman's Shaq-like decline from the line, now 5-17 in conference play. Easiest roadie of the year starting with Oregon tonight. Polls:42,NR Sagarin:42 RPI:37  [Dawgman.com]
5. Stanford (1-3, 11-3)
[BPR=78]
[Insert favorite string of expletives. Repeat] Brutal back-to-back, last second, one-point losses a true test of half-full vs. half-empty glass theory. Without anyone having a great game and unfriendly refs at the end the Cardinal came close to sweeping a very tough road trip. Or 1-3 in conference, can't rebound and neither Washington is very good. Take your choice. Can't rely on the traditional home gimme vs. kal this week. Anthony Goods must break out of an awful 14-54 shooting slump immediately or its curtains for the Cardinals ("s" courtesy of Lenny Wilkens). Polls:NR Sagarin:45 RPI:45  [TheBootleg.com]
6. USC (1-2, 10-5)
[BPR=77]
If ever a loss can be defined as good, hanging with the Bruins in a low scoring slugfest qualifies. Taj Gibson played only 23 minutes before fouling out, if he stays on the court for 30 maybe they win. But playing basically six guys is only going to get tougher as the season wears on, the Arizona schools at home this week will tell all. #6 spot could change radically in either direction. Polls:NR Sagarin:75 RPI:107  [SCPlaybook]
7. Arizona (2-2, 11-5)
[BPR=76]
Maybe they should stay at a Holiday Inn Express, or take their pillows with them, or something, anything…Cuz these guys are lions at home and pussy cats on the road. Now 8-1 at home, 3-0 neutral, 0-4 away. Spankee in Week One, when outscored by 30 on NorCal trip. Spanker in Week Two with a +32 point differential. Is Budinger out of his slump, or do the Oregon schools just stink? The El Lay trip is no way to end road woes. Polls:NR Sagarin:49 RPI:59  [WildcatInsider.com]
8. Washington St. (1-2, 9-6)
[BPR=67]
"Erupted" for 55 points in nail biter over Stanford, with the youngest looking 23 year old in the country Taylor Rochestie going for a season high 21. FYI, last time Cougs bested 55 was Dec 13 vs. Montana St. With Rochestie scoring one-third of their points so far in conference games expect the little twerp to become the focus of opposing defenses, especially since they don't seem inclined to get giant Aussie Aron Baynes any shots. Game at OSU tonight promises levels of ugliness not seen since "Two Fat Ladies" was on the Food Network Polls:NA Sagarin:70 RPI:116  [Cougfan.com]
9. Oregon St. (1-3, 6-8)
[BPR=60]
Reality bites (speaking of which, sweet little Winona is 37 years old, man). From queens for a day to punching bag again. With just 85 points in two games in the desert, it will probably take some type of Presidential brother-in-law intervention to stop the Beavers from returning to their usual spot at the bottom, but for now they remain just above the dysfunctional Ducks. Home attendance of 3,602 doesn't provide much of an edge for pair against the Washingtons. Polls:NR Sagarin:204 RPI:233  [BeaverFootball.com]
10. Oregon (0-4, 6-10)
[BPR=59]
Remember how adorable little Tajuan Porter was when he used to knock down 30-footers and the Feathered Fowl were flying? Yelling at teammates, 1-9 shooting and getting benched for an entire half while getting swept in Arizona: not so cute. Just like Week One, they once again either can't or won't get the ball to their two decent bigs. 16 shots combined in two games for Catron and Dunigan is inconceivable. And yes, I do have them on my fantasy team, that has nothing to do with it Mr. Smarty Pants. Polls:NR Sagarin:135 RPI:109  [eDuck]


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