IT picks the SEC

InsideTennessee entertains you, as well as informs you. Check out the staff's predictions for this weekend's football action in our weekly "IT Picks The SEC" feature:

A lot of intrigue surrounds this weekend’s SEC football schedule: Can Texas A&M upset a struggling Alabama team in Tuscaloosa? Can a Georgia team without Todd Gurley outscore ground-hugging Arkansas? Can Kentucky continue its surprising run in Baton Rouge? Can Tennessee hang with Ole Miss in Oxford?

InsideTennessee staffers agree that the Vols won’t beat the third-ranked Rebels but two panelists expect the Big Orange to beat the 17-point spread.

Each of the three IT staffers went 6-3 straight up last week but Josh Woodward had another hot week against the spread, going 5-2. Danny Parker and Randy Moore went 3-4 each against the points.

Woodward (55-15) maintains a one-game lead over Parker and a two-game lead over Moore picking winners this season. Woodward now has a sizzling 39-25-1 record versus the spread and a commanding lead in this category over both Parker (32-32-1) and Moore (31-33-1).

Here are this week’s IT staff picks, with year-to-date records in parenthesis:

JOSH WOODWARD (55-15, 39-25-1 vs. line)


Texas A&M at Alabama (-11.5): This is a tough game for me to pick, because I think A&M can score some points on the Crimson Tide. I guess I will go with the home team. 38-31 Alabama

Georgia (-3.5) vs. Arkansas in Little Rock: No Todd Gurley then Georgia doesn't win this one, they just can't beat this physical Arkansas team on the road. 33-24 Arkansas

Missouri at Florida (-6): Missouri looked horrible against Georgia and will likely do the same against Florida. 21-10 Gators

Kentucky at LSU (-9): This spread seems too close, is Kentucky really that good? They are better, but they can't keep within 9 points at LSU. I'm going with 10 points. 34-24 Tigers

Furman at South Carolina (no line): I thought about going over and dressing out at the game to get some of those hundred dollar handshakes Stephen Garcia was talking about. That will likely be the only thing talked about since this game is not going to be much to watch.

Notre Dame at FSU (-12): FSU should win this game, but I'm pulling for Notre Dame. I’m so tired of all this Jameis Winston crap that is going around, it makes my head hurt. 38-31 FSU

Tennessee at Ole Miss (-17): Tennessee rolls down to Oxford for a showdown with a team that is playing as well as anyone in the country. The only thing going for Tennessee is no one is expecting them to win. Can they go to Oxford with the same underdog mentality like they did at Georgia? Tennessee will need some breaks to beat the Rebels, an interception or two by Bo Wallace will help, maybe a defensive score. The Tennessee defense will keep this one close and if the offense can move the football then this could be a scare down in the Delta. 24-20 Rebels

Vanderbilt at Bye (-3) Vanderbilt has a tough task this weekend on its bye week especially since they are underdogs. I think they can pull off the upset. 6-3 Dores.

DANNY PARKER (54-16, 32-32-1 vs. line)


Texas A&M at Alabama (-11.5): Surprised by the spread on this one. Money must have been leaning one way or the other. Tough one to pick straight up, let alone with a line. Have said for a few weeks now that the Tide could very well lose four games this season in spite of having immense talent. Well, this one could be one of them. Texas A&M, 35-24.

Georgia (-3.5) vs. Arkansas in Little Rock: No idea what to make of the Bulldogs (or anyone in the East for that matter). That Razorbacks running game—when they pound it like they should—may be the best in the country. Arkansas, 20-17.

Missouri at Florida (-6): Yet another one that could easily go either way. My head is hurting picking these games. Mercy. Have to think the Gators defense will be too much for Mizzou if Georgia could shut them out in Columbia. Florida, 16-12.

Kentucky at LSU (-9): This one should at least show us if the Wildcats are for real or simply been opportunistic. LSU, 30-14.

Furman at South Carolina (no line): Yes, I took a look to see how Furman is playing this season before making my pick. Sad. South Carolina, 30-6.

Notre Dame at FSU (-12): Is Notre Dame for real? No better time and place to prove it. Don't see it happening, even though this team of Seminoles is of no comparison to last year's. Florida State, 26-20.

Tennessee at Ole Miss (-17): Sacks, sacks and more sacks. From limping tight ends to missing wide receivers to an injured left tackle, the Vol offense simply has too much to overcome to be effective enough to pull off the upset. In spite of a valiant effort by the defense, expecting this to be the most lopsided margin of defeat for Team 118. Ole Miss, 38-10.

RANDY MOORE (53-17, 31-33-1 vs. line)


Texas A&M at Alabama (-11.5): Both lost to Ole Miss and both are wildly inconsistent. Tough game to pick. Bama, 27-20

Georgia (-3.5) vs. Arkansas in Little Rock: The Dawgs aren’t as good as Missouri made them look last Saturday. I like the Hogs in a mild upset. Arkansas, 24-20

Missouri at Florida (-6): The Tigers cannot possibly play as badly this Saturday as they did against Georgia last Saturday. Still, the Gators always seem to get the breaks in The Swamp. Florida, 20-17

Kentucky at LSU (-9): “Lucky Les” will need all of the good fortune he can muster against a fast-improving Wildcat squad. Tigers, 24-20

Furman at South Carolina (no line): The Paladins are so bad they lost by 18 to Western Carolina … at home, no less. Gamecocks, 44-14

Notre Dame at FSU (-12): Brian Kelly is a really good coach, and the Seminoles just don’t seem to have the magic they did a year ago. It’s a toss-up except for the home-field advantage. FSU, 24-17

Tennessee at Ole Miss (-17): I think the Vol defense will keep this game fairly close … unless the offense is so bad that the defenders are gassed in the fourth quarter. Rebels, 24-10

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