IT picks the SEC

Sit back, relax and enjoy the latest "IT picks the SEC" as our staff geniuses give you expert analysis, with a few wisecracks thrown in for free.

If the oddsmakers are correct there will be minimal intrigue in this Saturday’s SEC football action. Except for Ole Miss being a 3.5-point favorite at LSU, the Las Vegas boys see all mismatches on this weekend’s league schedule.

Arkansas is a 22.5-point pick against UAB, Missouri is a 20.5-point favorite against Vanderbilt, Mississippi State is a 13.5-point pick at Kentucky, Auburn is a 17.5-point selection against South Carolina and Alabama is a 17-point pick at Tennessee.

InsideTennessee staffers Josh Woodward and Randy Moore went 5-2 on last week’s SEC picks, while Danny Parker checked in at 4-3. Parker did best against the spread, however, going 4-2. Woodward and Moore went 2-4 each.

For the season Woodward (60-17) carries a two-game lead over Parker and Moore, both 58-19. Woodward continues to hold a commanding lead versus the spread with a 41-29-1 record. Parker (36-34-1) is second. Moore (33-37-1) continues to show why the closest he gets to Las Vegas is watching CSI each Sunday night.

Here are this week’s IT staff picks, with year-to-date records in parenthesis:

JOSH WOODWARD (60-17, 41-29-1 vs. line)


UAB at Arkansas (-22.5): Shouldn't be much of a game unless Arkansas just flat out doesn't show up. I expect the Hogs to roll. 38-10 Arkansas

Mississippi State (-13.5) at Kentucky: Kentucky is going through the SEC West gauntlet after getting pounded by LSU, I see this week being the same. 42-17 Bulldogs

Vanderbilt at Missouri (-20.5): They should make the loser of this game not be able to use black on their uniform, I mean something good should happen from this game. Missouri shouldn't have any problem with Vanderbilt. 35-14 Tigers

Ole Miss (-3.5) at LSU: LSU at home used to be money in the bank on a win, but the Tigers are down a little bit. Ole Miss is riding high and has a great defense. Ole Miss wins as long as Bo Wallace plays well. 28-20 Rebels

South Carolina at Auburn (-17.5): I'm not sure South Carolina can keep it within 17.5 against Auburn. I look for the Gus Bus to roll them. 45-17 Tigers

W.Virginia at Oklahoma State (-1): Lets burn some couches folks. West Virginia coming off the big win last week will likely carry the momentum to a win against Oklahoma State. 42-37 Mountaineers

Alabama (-17) at Tennessee: Alabama coming off an explosive win over Texas A&M comes into Neyland Stadium back in the playoff picture, Tennessee on the other hand will be limping as it runs through the T on Saturday night. This is a rivalry game, but Tennessee is too banged up and not talented enough at the quarterback position and offensive line to keep this one close. Lane Kiffin will keep his foot on the gas to let Tennessee fans know who’s boss. This could get ugly. 38-10 Crimson Tide

DANNY PARKER (58-19, 36-34-1 vs. line)


UAB at Arkansas (-22.5): The only question is by how many points a much-improved Razorbacks squad will win. Arkansas, 45-7.

Mississippi State (-13.5) at Kentucky: Awful tiny spread considering the Bulldogs are a no-doubt-about-it Top 5 team in the land. Although improved, the Wildcats have been up and down this fall. Mississippi State, 34-13.

Vanderbilt at Missouri (-20.5): Curious as to how much the tickets are in Columbia in this one with the Commodores faithful filing into town and taking over the city. Guessing in the four-figure range. Oh, the passion. Missouri, 24-10.

Ole Miss (-3.5) at LSU: How much better are the Tigers? Likely not good enough to score more than 1-3 touchdowns on that Land Sharks defense. Impressive group Hugh Freeze has. Imagine if Tennessee had not held off the Rebels to sign Derek Barnett. Ole Miss, 23-13.

South Carolina at Auburn (-17.5): Vols fans will want to pull for the Tigers/War Eagles to throttle Steve Spurrier's boys with the O&W heading to Columbia the following week. Can easily see that happening as I have Auburn as one of the Top 10 teams in the nation. Auburn, 49-20.

W.Virginia at Oklahoma State (-1): Defensive stops will be at a premium in this one, which is typical for that league. They'll be as common as a pterodactyl flyover in Sweetwater. Oklahoma State, 42-34.

Alabama (-17) at Tennessee: No quarterback. No right tackle. No starting wide receiver. Banged up all to heck all over the offensive two-deep. Can see the Volunteers having a quality defensive performance before eventually collapsing to being on the field too much and being placed in bad spots. Anxious to see how the offense looks with Nathan Peterman in the gun and if the redshirt comes off Joshua Dobbs. Both may have to play because that position is not physically safe in this league behind that line. The other issue is employees potentially being struck by batteries and beer bottles intended for a certain former coach. Have a mask and chest protector from former umpiring days. Anyone have any hockey pants with pads? Alabama, 35-6.

RANDY MOORE (58-19, 33-37-1 vs. line)


UAB at Arkansas (-22.5): After losing a heartbreaker to Bama and suffering a butt-kicking at the hands of Georgia, the Hogs should be looking to vent some frustration. Welcome to Fayetteville, Blazers. Razorbacks, 34-7

Mississippi State (-13.5) at Kentucky: I will not pick against Mississippi State. I will not pick against Mississippi State. I will not … Bulldogs, 31-14

Vanderbilt at Missouri (-20.5): The Tigers have more ups and downs than the elevators at Trump Tower. The Dores, conversely, are consistently bad. Missouri, 35-7

Ole Miss (-3.5) at LSU: Can Ole Miss withstand a night crowd in Baton Rouge and the Les Miles four-leaf clover collection? Yes and yes. Rebels, 20-13

South Carolina at Auburn (-17.5): A bad Gamecock defense + a dynamic Tiger offense = a long day for the Head Ball Coach. Auburn, 41-20

W.Virginia at Oklahoma State (-1): Show up for football, get a track meet for free. Cowboys, 44-41

Alabama (-17) at Tennessee: The Vols haven’t scored a touchdown in their past eight quarters of SEC competition. With Worley gimpy (at best) and a patchwork offensive line further depleted by injuries, I’m thinking the streak will be 12 quarters by Sunday morning. Tide, 24-3

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