IT picks the SEC

Visit InsideTennessee each Friday for our staff's colorful and insightful feature known as "IT picks the SEC." Below are this week's projections:

If the oddsmakers are correct, there won’t be many dramatic finishes to SEC games this weekend. Only one game on the schedule features a spread under 10 points. That would be Alabama at LSU, with the Tide favored by 6.5.

The second-most competitive game, according to Vegas, is Georgia at Kentucky. Coming off a shocking beat-down at the hands of Florida, the Bulldogs are favored by 10 in Lexington. All three InsideTennessee staffers see this as a closer game than that, with one staff member actually picking the Big Blue in an upset.

Ole Miss and Mississippi State are such prohibitive favorites this weekend that the oddsmakers declined to post a line on either game.

Danny Parker led the way with a 7-1 record in last week’s SEC Picks. Randy Moore was next at 6-2, followed by Josh Woodward at 5-3. Woodward continues to lead for the season with a 71-20 record. Parker’s a game back at 70-21 and Moore two games back at 69-22.

Parker was 7-1 against the spread last weekend, Moore 5-3, Woodward 3-5. Woodward continues to lead versus the points for the season with a 47-38-1 mark. Parker is next at 46-39-1 and Moore follows at 40-45-1.

Here are this week’s IT staff picks, with year-to-date records in parenthesis:

JOSH WOODWARD (71-21, 47-38-1 vs. line)

WOODWARD

Alabama (-6.5) at LSU: Well the game of the week in the SEC. I look for it to be a close game in the first half with the home field advantage for the Tigers, but the second half I see Armari Cooper torching the LSU secondary as he has most all secondaries this season. 35-24 Tide

Texas A&M at Auburn (-21.5): Wow what a line for this one. I think Auburn wins, but 21.5 points is large. I’m going just a shade under. 38-20 Tigers

Florida (-14.5) at Vanderbilt: Florida riding high after beating Georgia, I do see a letdown for this game, but I think they still win. 24-10 Gators

Georgia (-10) at Kentucky: Talk about a must win game for Mark Richt. This could put some heat on the seat in Georgia if they lose to Kentucky. I see Kentucky pulling out all the stops like Florida did against Georgia. Close game here. 24-21 Georgia

Presbyterian at Ole Miss (no line): Ole Miss coming off a heart breaking loss to Auburn shouldn't have issues with Presbyterian. 38-7

UT Martin at Miss. State (no line): These late season cupcakes might hurt Miss. State if they don't blow them out, so I see a big score here. 70-10 Bulldogs

Ohio State at Mich. State (-3.5): I know Michigan State has a great defense, I know that Ohio State is usually over rated. So I'm going with the Spartans. 33-28 Michigan State

DANNY PARKER (70-22, 46-39-1 vs. line)

PARKER

Alabama (-6.5) at LSU: Always a tough task to venture into Tiger Stadium and trot out victorious, however, the Tide has something the Tigers don't — Amari Cooper. Alabama 23-20.

Texas A&M at Auburn (-21.5): Kyle Allen has a bright future ahead but the Aggies receivers aren't performing up to their talents. The Tigers are one of the top 5 teams in the nation and were my pick to win the SEC preseason. Auburn, 54-17.

Florida (-14.5) at Vanderbilt: Running out of material describing the black and gold apocalypse that occurs each time the Commodores have a game in Music City. Bedlam. Anarchy. Children hyped up on Mt. Dew. Job status is sure to be the least of Will Muschamp's worries as his squad boards the plane this weekend. He has to fulfill promises to about 75 mothers to take care of their sons and facing Vandy is a dangerous venture. Having said all that, the Gators do run the ball well these days. Florida, 42-6.

Georgia (-10) at Kentucky: Crazy things happen at Commonwealth Stadium. Something in me tells me Big Blue Nation could pull this one off. The Bulldogs have looked amazing at times this fall but were awful last week. I'm gonna do it. Kentucky, 31-30.

Presbyterian at Ole Miss (no line): Honestly, had no idea Presbyterian has a football team. Ole Miss, 57-0.

UT Martin at Miss. State (no line): Dan Mullen will want to get his two-deep on the bench as soon as possible. Lots of football remaining and some talented teams to beat to keep that single digit next to their name. Mississippi State, 61-0.

Ohio State at Mich. State (-3.5): Gut-wrenching pick to make. Have to assume the road environment paired with this being an elimination game for the Big Ten and the College Football Playoff will be too much for J.T. Barrett. Michigan State, 24-17.

RANDY MOORE (69-23, 40-45-1 vs. line)

MOORE

Alabama (-6.5) at LSU: I’m glad Tennessee has an open date because I plan to be in front of the TV to watch Lane Kiffin’s Tide offense challenge John Chavis’ Tiger defense. Advice to Chavis: You might want to keep an eye on Amari Cooper. He’s good. Bama, 20-17

Texas A&M at Auburn (-21.5): Coming off a huge win in Oxford, the Tigers will be a little flat at the start of this game. I’m guessing they’ll finish strong, though. Auburn, 38-14

Florida (-14.5) at Vanderbilt: This game might set back offensive football 20 years. The Gators will be fat-headed after manhandling Georgia last weekend but the Commodores lack the firepower to take advantage. Florida, 24-7

Georgia (-10) at Kentucky: The Dawgs figure to be enraged after choking last Saturday against Florida. The Cats have dropped three games in a row after a 5-1 start. Make it four in a row. Georgia, 31-24

Presbyterian at Ole Miss (no line): Many years ago I attended a Presbyterian church with a girlfriend who was a former cheerleader and pretty hot. That has nothing to do with this game; I just enjoy reliving the memory. Rebels, 49-7

UT Martin at Miss. State (no line): I guess if you live in Mississippi this is a good weekend to skip football and attend to the items on your “honey-do” list. Miss. State, 49-7

Ohio State at Mich. State (-3.5): One of my ex-wives was an Ohio State fan with anger issues, so I never, ever pick the Buckeyes. Probably should’ve married the cheerleader. Michigan State, 35-7


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