A team that has the same number of road wins as home losses in SEC play will have a Home/Road Rating of zero and will project to finish at the .500 level (8-8). A team at plus-1 projects to finish two games above .500 (9-7). A team at plus-2 projects to finish four games above .500 (10-6). A team at plus-3 projects to finish six games above .500 (11-5). A team at plus-4 projects to finish eight games above .500 (12-4). The system works the same way in reverse. A team at minus-1 projects to finish two games below .500 (7-9), etc.
Tennessee and LSU currently lead the SEC with plus-3 ratings. That means both will finish 11-5 if they win their remaining home games and lose their remaining road games. However, a win Saturday at Georgia would boost Tennessee's rating to plus-4, putting the Vols on track to finish 12-4 if they simply win the rest of their home games. LSU also could move to plus-4 if it beats Florida Saturday in Gainesville.
Beating Kentucky Tuesday night in Lexington was huge for Tennessee because it represented a two-point swing. The Vols gained a point by virtue of winning a road game and the Cats dropped a point by virtue of losing a home game. Tennessee went from plus-2 to plus-3 and the Big Blue slipped from plus-1 to 0.
Tennessee's plus-3 rating is due to three road wins (at South Carolina, at Mississippi State, at UK) and a 5-0 home record. SEC East runner-up Florida slipped from plus-2 to plus-1 by losing at home Wednesday night to South Carolina.
Here are the SEC Home/Road ratings, through Wednesday night's games:
Tennessee +3 (3 road wins … 0 home losses)
Florida +1 (2 road wins … 1 home loss)
Kentucky 0 (3 road wins … 3 home losses)
Georgia 0 (2 road wins … 2 home losses)
South Carolina 0 (2 road wins … 2 home losses)
Vanderbilt -1 (1 road win … 2 home losses)
LSU +3 (3 road wins … 0 home losses)
Alabama + 1 (2 road wins … 1 home loss)
Arkansas 0 (1 road win … 1 home loss)
Ole Miss -1 (1 road win … 2 home losses)
Mississippi State -3 (0 road wins … 3 home losses)
Auburn -3 (0 road wins … 3 home losses)