Aggie Websider Game Predictions - SFA

The Texas A&M football team opens up the 2010 season Saturday night when the Lumberjacks of SFA lumber into Kyle Field to face the Aggies for the first time in almost 75 years. Our new prognostication panel is up to the task of predicting the outcome.

Time for another season and another Aggie Websider prognostication panel. We've opened it up to three lucky posters to see if they can match wits with Hop and the boys. Let's roll.


Texas A&M 45
SFA 17

Setting the final score for week 1 has to be the toughest task of the year. In a game where A&M will likely lead a lot to a little heading into the 4th the Aggie D will pull back on the reigns, get the 2's (and 3's) some reps and SFA will capitalize with a few late scores. Of course I'd rather not see this, I'd like it to be 70-0 and be a completely dominant performance but we know that isn't Sherman's style and I'm not sold on the defense putting together four quarters just yet.

On offense we should have little trouble moving the ball both on the ground and through the air. We'll see a lot of running between the tackles which could lead to some nice play action opportunities. For an FCS team SFA actually has some decent speed at the LB position and are used to seeing the short/intermediate passing game in practice everyday. However their DL is woefully undersized (as well as having lost their 2 starting DE's from 2009) and with our experience in the interior OL I expect Christine and Cyrus to get behind guys like Pat and Evan and just grind SFA down early and often as we did against teams like Baylor, ISU, and to a greater degree Texas Tech. I'm not sure what to expect for the aerial assault but what I'm looking for is the tempo of the offense to be in mid-season form and to see how Terrence McCoy performs as the #1 at the Z.

Defensively I expect the switch to the 3-4 to pay immediate dividends with more speed in the front 7 and the ability to match up better with the spread. I am predicting a low number of sacks but as long as there is pressure the SFA QB will make plenty of mistakes into our disguised coverage packages. I'd expect DeRuyter to play things close to the chest and not show much more than our base defense. No reason to show future opponents different looks unless he wants teams to see them. Teams like Louisiana Tech, OSU, and Missouri will rely heavily on their passing games so it appears the schedule ramps up nicely going forward.

We'll rush for 300+ yards, throw for 200+ more, and at the end of the day just have too much size and depth for our FCS foe. It sure would be nice for Mr. Sims/Williams to see us throw up 300+ yards rushing in Game 1.


Texas A&M 35
SFA 17

Texas A&M wins the toss and elects to put the defense on the field first as the Aggie faithful go wild in Kyle Field.

The defense starts the game with the adrenaline pumping as the Aggies go after the Lumberjack QB quickly on the first series. Unfortunately, Moses shows his composure and throws the ball well under pressure to move the lumberjacks into the red zone on the first possession. The Aggies defense tightens up and forces the Lumberjacks to kick a field goal to go up 0-3. Jerrod Johnson and company come out throwing on first down and hit Fuller for a big gain followed by another big gain to Ryan Swope. The Aggies immediately transition to the run allowing C-Mike to punch it in for the TOUCHDOWN.

The Aggies settle into a balanced attack using the smash mouth running duo of Michael and Gray to keep the Lumberjacks off balance while throwing to the long list of talented Aggie receivers for regular 8-12 yard gains. The Lumberjack defense does a decent job staying behind the Aggies skilled receivers to prevent the big play but they just aren't talented enough to prevent the Aggies balanced attack from being successful.

After the first series, the Aggie defense makes a few adjustments in the defensive front and begins to put more and more pressure on the Lumberjack offense. The Aggie defensive backs play strong at the line of scrimmage to put pressure on the young Lumberjack receivers allowing the Aggies to contain the Lumberjack offense.

The Aggies go into halftime leading 21-3 and confidence is running high. That confidence translates poorly on special teams as the Aggies have a special teams issue that allows the Lumberjacks great field position and a score.

The Aggies end up with a balanced offense attack 250 yards passing and 200 running as they control the tempo, both lines of scrimmage and allow no big plays. Your Aggie defense performs well by containing the high powered Lumberjack offense as they allow only 240 yards of total offense.


Texas A&M 48
SFA 10

Sherman and Co will have the team ready to make a run this year. Expect the offense to throw the ball off play action with Swope and Fuller having field days against a lesser foe in SFA's defensive backs .... they can't and won't keep up with our talented receivers. At least 2 WR's with 6 + catches and 100 yards each. That opens things up for C-Mike and Gray to rush for 250+ yards. Jerrod leaves in the 3 rd quarter and RT gets some productive snaps (finally). Offense continues where they left off in 2009 with 450 + total yards.

Special Teams - they have something to prove this year, as do the coaches. With players from the 2 deep on the field ...... no drop punts, no missed tackles, no missed FG's ...... gotta believe they will be much improved. One can only hope (and in this case pray).

Defense - yes, they will shut down the mighty SFA spread and Jeremy Moses. The lumberjacks lost their top receivers, are without their 2 most productive running backs .... 21 interceptions and a total of 36 turnovers last year ...... the Ag's will disrupt Moses early, frustrate the crap outta him and will eventually force 4 turnovers, one interception for a TD, and the other 3 into 17 points. Expect a few mistakes in the debut, but the Ag's are faster and more talented.

The slumberjacks head east beaten down 48-10. The Ag's are 1-0. Good start for the good guys.


Texas A&M 56

The Aggies come out today pissing vinegar with a fire in the bellies similar to their opening performance against New Mexico a year ago. Texas A&M is improved on both sides of the ball and it will show Saturday night at Kyle Field as the game is well won in the first quarter and the backups get quality playing time while giving up two field goals. Expect several redshirts to be burned in mop up duty.


Texas A&M 41
SFA 13

A&M fields its new defense against a small school with a well coached and potent I-AA offense. It's a nice trial warm-up, and while the Ags' new look should do fine, I still think first game glitches allow 13 for the Lumberjacks potent offense. They'll find paydirt once and penetrate into field goal range a few times, making two and missing one as a good kicker gets overwhelmed by a roaring Kyle Field. On offense the Aggies wear down a technically sound but weaker defense, both through some pounding up front and the tempo of the offense. While finding their rhythm early, A&M wracks up 24 in the first half offensively, giving up a few good chances as JJ has a few float on him. They start rolling but give younger players some reps late as Sherman doesn't see the need in running up the score on a I-AA team.


Texas A&M 45
SFA 10

There's been a lot of hype regarding SFA's spread offense and Dick Olin QB protégé Jeremy Moses who's on the watch list for the Water Payton Award. Well, he threw for a lot of TD's and yards last season against FCS competition, but what you don't hear is that he threw 21 INT's as well. Also, SFA didn't have any film to prepare for the new 3-4 A&M defense and there's no way that the Lumberjacks can simulate Von Miller. I think you'll see at least four sacks and two INT's in a defensive performance that will seem easier than expected. SFA has a couple of very good defensive players at DE and LB, but there's no way the Lumberjacks can cover Jeff Fuller and the other receivers. Plus, Christine Michael will have two runs over 40 yards and will break the century mark early in the third quarter. It will be a solid start for the men in maroon.

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