Game Preview: Troy

Some would say the Bobcats have very little to play for at this point. The chances of getting a bowl invite are slim and none. The best option at QB has a broken, surgery required, throwing hand. Texas State needs to put all of that behind them and try to end their season on a high note.

The Troy Trojans are basically in the same position as Texas State. They currently are not bowl eligible, but sit above Texas State in the Sun Belt rankings. Troy is just trying to end their season with a win, basically all either team can ask for.

Let's go over what Texas State is significantly better at first. The Bobcats easily outperform the Trojans in total defense, turnover margin, time of possession, opponents yards per play, opponent passing, rushing TD's, and rushing yards per attempt.

Texas State's defense is ranked 56th in the FBS as compared to Troy's 114th. Texas State gives up on average just under 400 yards a game, which has been trending upward lately. The addition of LB David Mayo to the lineup somehow seemed to drop their total defense rankings, especially their rushing stats. Luckily Troy is more of a spread offensive threat, although they've scored as many touchdowns on the ground as the Bobcats this season.

As far as the Bobcat offense, it hasn't been something to brag about. The biggest hope for an offensive boost all season, Tyler Jones, is basically limited to short rushes and shorter routes. Last week against WKU, he passed the ball longer than 15 yards 4 times. Only 1 of those landed in a receivers hands. The majority of passing routes from Jones were quick slants, short outs, and drag routes. Robert Lowe has been a focus of every defense ever since reaching top 10 in the nation in yards per carry earlier this season. He'll have to have a big game as well in order to make sure San Marcos doesn't have a bad taste in their mouth through next September.

Now, here's what Troy outdoes the 'Cats in, of course purely statistical. The Trojans beat the Bobcats in total offense, pass yards per attempt, completion percentage, passing TD's, 3rd down conversion percentage, and sacks.

Yikes, Troy can pass the ball. They're completing 2 of every 3 passes on average and gain 8 yards per completion. This should clash with Texas State's secondary who allows just over half of their opponents passes to be completed. When they do, the 'Cats are only giving up 6.3 yards per catch. Troy's use of the passing game will make or break their team, but as coach Franchione said last week,

"We're much better at stopping spread teams as opposed to power rushing teams."

Should this be true, the Bobcats may be able to hold their head high for the possibly the last time in the 2014 season.

Talk about the match up against Troy here in the Eat'em Up FREE Forum


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