Bowl Outlook

With Texas State now bowl eligible, BobcatIllustrated takes a look at some bowl opportunities, including one bowl who had their rep at Thursday night's game.

The roller coaster ride continues for Texas State. After beating Arkansas State on Thursday night, the Bobcats now sit with an overall record of 6-5 (4-3), and are bowl eligible for the second year in a row. In all of the uncertainty, one thing is for sure, the Bobcats will need 7 wins for any type of bowl selection.

Two weeks ago, before TXST picked up it's 6th win, BI told you that two bowls had already reached out to Texas State, the Armed Forces and Texas Bowl. Bobcatillustrated can confirm that a rep from the Armed Forces Bowl was in attendance and was evaluating both the Red Wolves and Bobcats as potential suitors. If either were selected, it would be as an "At-Large" bowl bid.

The Sun Belt only has three bowl tie-ins: The New Orleans Bowl, Godaddy.com Bowl, and the Camelia Bowl. Including Texas State, there are now four teams in the SBC who are fully eligible: Louisiana Lafayette, Arkansas State, South Alabama and the Bobcats. It is very likely that one team could be left without a slot. Conference front runner Georgia Southern and Appalachian State are not fully eligible and need to have multiple unlikely scenarios fall their way to go bowling.

So where does this leave Texas State?

With all the recent conjecture, we bring you a couple of facts for the sake of clarity.

(FACTS)

1. Restating the obvious, Texas State will need a 7th win just to have a shot at bowling.
2. The Sun Belt does NOT choose it's bowl teams by the date of when they became eligible. Biggest factor is who can generate the most revenue, it's that simple.

The variables of uncertainty are still too much and it doesn't change this weekend either.

In the last weekend of action for Sun Belt teams, wins and loses could have a huge impact on how the selection of teams plays out. If the Bobcats beat Georgia State, would a 7 win Texas State be picked over a 6 win South Alabama? The Jaguars travel to South Carolina as a heavy underdog and tangle with the Gamecocks in their season finale. Could Arkansas State lose three conference games in a row and fall to a two win New Mexico State team at home? A loss would also keep them at 6 wins. ULL sits at 7-4 and travels to Troy. It would be just fitting if all four teams (ULL, ASU, TXST, USA) finished 7-5 after a full season.

As of Sunday evening, here's a quick look at some of the major bowl projections:

ESPN has Texas State currently out of the bowl picture.
CBS Sports shows the Bobcats going to the Camelia Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama.
FOX Sports had the Bobcats out as of November 18th, and didn't have any other recent updated projections.

All Texas State can do is win. Beat Georgia State and the 'Cats will have done all they can going forward. A loss next Saturday, and all the conjecture turns into reality, TXST would have missed a bowl for the second straight season.

Talk about our "Bowl Outlook" in the 'Cats Den Insider forum.


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