Longhorn Soft Commits

Three Longhorns are listed as "soft commits" in the Scout.com database. What are the odds that each signs with the Longhorns on National Signing Day?

Garrett Gray, WR/TE, Marble Falls

One of the most interesting recruits from a potential standpoint in the Texas class, Gray is a 6-foot-5 big-bodied player who ran 4.4-flat at Texas camp and had a monster season for Marble Falls. Not surprisingly, that meant that Gray attracted other attention after the Longhorns made a coaching switch, and Gray vowed that he would visit California. But the new staff met with Gray, talked with him, and he wound up canceling his Cal visit this past weekend. So Gray is technically listed as a soft commitment, but he hasn't visited anywhere, and at this point isn't planning to visit anywhere. Nothing in recruiting is a sure thing, but this appears to be about as close as you can get.

Odds He Winds Up At Texas: 95 percent

Lorenzo Joe, WR, Abilene Cooper

The first Texas commitment of the 2014 class and the bell cow of this crop of Texas prospects, Joe was assumed to be as solid as anybody else. Then he planned visits to USC and TCU, and everyone was caught off guard. Joe wound up canceling the USC visit, but he went to TCU this past weekend. While it was a good visit, I don't know that TCU was able to swing him off his original Texas commitment. Joe grew up a Texas fan, and while him going ahead with his TCU visit makes this somewhat less than a sure thing, I'd be surprised if he wound up elsewhere.

Odds He Winds Up At Texas: 85 percent

John Bonney, DB, Houston Lamar

Bonney took a visit to Baylor this past weekend after visiting Auburn the week before. And while Baylor appears to be a much greater menace to the Longhorns, don't be shocked if Bonney decides to stay with his initial Texas pick. Reports were that he had a great time on his Baylor visit, and Houston Lamar teammate Ira Lewis is already committed to the Bears. Is that enough to sway him? It just might be. One thing's for sure here: Bonney is the least likely of the three to wind up in Austin. Still, I'm calling this one a coin flip.

Odds He Winds Up At Texas: 50 percent

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