Predicting Texas Longhorns Offensive Success In 2016

Question of the day: Will Texas have two 1,000-yard rushers and one 1,000-yard receiver in 2016?


I know after six years of quarterback-starved offense without any sign of an All-Big 12 running back or receiver, it seems almost impossible to think of an offense that will suddenly explode with two 1,000-yard rushers and a 1,000-yard receiver.

But bear with me for a second.

Sterlin Gilbert's G-Force offense is built around running the football, and Texas has two backs who put up formidable yards-per-carry in 2015 that make me believe there's a chance for two, 1,000-yard rushers in 2016.

D'Onta Foreman averaged 7.2 yards per carry (681 rushing yards total, 5 TDs), and Chris Warren averaged 6.6 ypc (470 yards, 4 TDs). Plug those two into the G-Force offense, and I think they both get to 1,000 yards.

I expect the lead back - probably Foreman - to get more than 175 carries, and the No. 2 back - probably Warren - to get roughly 125 carries and the No. 3 back - either Kirk Johnson or Kyle Porter - to get roughly 100 carries.

Last year, at Tulsa, Gilbert's offense produced a back with 201 carries (Zack Langer, 777 yards, 18 TDs) and one with 162 carries (D'Angelo Brewer, 837 yards, 6 TDs).

Tulsa had two 1,000-yard receivers last season in Keyarris Garrett (96 catches for 1,588 yards, 8 TDs) and Josh Atkinson (76 catches for 1,071 yards, 5 TDs).

I think either John Burt, Collin Johnson or Devin Duvernay will hit 1,000 yards receiving this season as long as their chemistry with QB Shane Buechele continues to grow.

I know there are some of you who think I'm crazy, but I think Texas ends up with two, 1,000-yard rushers and one 1,000-yard receiver in 2016.




Before I get attacked, let me start this out by saying I DO think it COULD be possible for Texas to have two 1,000-yard rushers and one 1,000-yard receiver. However, without knowing some valuable information at this point, it is difficult to definitively say it WILL happen.

While I do believe Sterlin Gilbert's offense will be a great fit for the personnel on the team, I think it is too early to definitively say Texas will have two 1,000-yard rushers and a 1,000-yard receiver on the team in 2016.

Is there enough talent on the roster for this to be a realistic scenario? Absolutely.

Do I fully believe it will happen in year one of a new offensive scheme install? Not exactly.

Looking at the numbers, Baylor was the only Big 12 program that achieved this last season, and that same Baylor team was the No. 1 offense in college football. (Take away one rushing yard from Johnny Jefferson, and the Bears would not have two 1,000-yard rushers and one 1,000-yard receiver in 2015.)

Obviously Baylor is not going to be the same team it was in 2015, but Art Briles is one of the best offensive minds in the game and his team barely achieved this task.

I do think there could be two 1,000-yard rushers on the team with D'Onta Foreman and Chris Warren. However, I'm not sure where the 1,000-yard receiver comes into play at this point. 

There's reason to believe the quarterback battle could come down to Jerrod Heard and Shane Buechele. Heard is not the most pass-friendly QB on the roster and Buechele will be a true freshman. It's extremely difficult to predict either of those quarterbacks will be able to throw 1,000 yards to one individual receiver.

While I don't think it will happen in 2016, I do believe that Texas could put out two 1,000-yard rushers and one 1,000-yard receiver in the near future if the offensive install goes as it is expected.



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