Arkansas State at Ole Miss – The politically incorrect Indians of Arkansas State will try their luck against the SEC again, after losing to LSU 53-3 a few weeks ago. They should fare somewhat better against the Eli-less Rebels, but not that much. Ole Miss 35, Ark St. 10.
And now for the looming shipwreck(s)... it seems like all the teams I WANT to pick are visitors – and underdogs. How much is the home field worth?
South Carolina at Alabama – Alabama's aura of invincibility in Tuscaloosa is long gone. South Carolina is better than expected, the Tide worse. Regardless of the betting public, I like South Carolina, 17-13.
Arkansas at Florida – Both teams have lost the only big games they've played in this year. The only sure bet for this game is that one of them won't lose this big game. Home advantage for the Swamp. Florida 20, Arkansas 10.
LSU at Georgia – The Dawgs have seemingly been doing it with smoke and mirrors for the last several years. I don't see anything changing here. LSU is one of the most erratic teams I've ever seen, and Georgia should manage to keep the Bengals confused. It'll probably come down to a missed extra point, one way or the other. Georgia 28, LSU 27.
Mississippi State at Vanderbilt – As far as the historians on VandyMania can tell, this is the first time Vandy has ever been a double-digit favorite to beat a Southeastern Conference foe. BUT, Vandy's tendency in must-win games, especially when favored, is abysmal. I really think Vandy is better than the 0-3 record. Mississippi State is just bad. If Vandy were just a 3-4 point favorite, I'd go with MSU, but the betting public is rarely wrong when the spread gets to above a TD or so. Commodores 28, MSU 17.
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