Here is Howell Peiser's PiRate computer rating for the SEC and top 25 for the week of November 1 and gives us an update on the bowl situation.
PiRate Top 25 For November 1, 2005
1 Southern California 8 - 0 132.6
2 Texas 8 - 0 131.8
3 Virginia Tech 8 - 0 127.0
4 U C L A 8 - 0 121.4
5 Alabama 8 - 0 120.7
6 L S U 6 - 1 118.6
7 Miami (FL) 6 – 1 118.2
8 Georgia 7 – 1 117.9
9 Oregon 7 – 1 117.1
10 Penn State 8 – 1 116.7
11 Auburn 6 – 2 116.5
12 Florida 6 – 2 116.1
13 Ohio State 6 – 2 116.0
14 Notre Dame 5 – 2 115.8
15 Wisconsin 8 – 1 115.3
16 Florida State 7 – 1 115.0
17 Texas Tech 7 – 1 114.8
18 Fresno State 6 – 1 113.7
19 Michigan 6 – 3 113.6
20 West Virginia 6 – 1 112.5
21 Colorado 6 – 2 112.4
22 T C U 8 – 1 112.0
23 California 6 – 2 111.3
24 Oklahoma 5 – 3 111.0
25 Boston College 6 – 2 110.7
PiRate Ratings For SEC
South Carolina 105.3
L S U 118.6
Ole Miss 98.5
Mississippi State 95.9
Virginia Tech just pulls farther away from the pack with each passing week. The Hokies should wrap up the Coastal Division when they dispose of Miami this week. Florida State is in control in the Atlantic Division, but the Seminoles appear to lack the horses to compete with Va. Tech in the title game. With six bowl bids, the ACC now has five guaranteed locks to become bowl eligible and six other teams fighting to get to six wins. One team should accomplish the feat, but it isn't a given.
With four losses, North Carolina State must face Boston College and Florida State on the road. It looks like bad news in Raleigh. Chuck Amato, sunglasses and all, may be in trouble.
North Carolina gave Miami fits until the Hurricanes wore them down. The four-loss Tar Heels have Boston College and Virginia Tech in November, so it looks like 5-6 at best in Chapel Hill.
4-3 Virginia should have no trouble picking up win number five against Temple, but the November 12 game against Georgia Tech will be the decisive game. The Cavs close with Virginia Tech and Miami. A loss to the Techsters and the Cavs would join the traffic jam at 5-6.
Clemson and Maryland are both 4-4 and fading fast in the Atlantic Division. The Tigers should beat Duke, but then they must beat either Florida State or South Carolina to get win number six. The Terps get North Carolina, Boston College, and North Carolina State. They could win all three or lose all three, but they are most likely to
win no more than one time to finish, you guessed it, 5-6.
Wake Forest has no room for error at 4-5, but they are the hot. They could upset Georgia Tech, but they would have to knock off Miami to get their sixth win. I don't think so.
BCS Virginia Tech
Peach Florida State
Champs Sports Boston College
Meineke Car Care Georgia Tech
MPC Computers Virginia (or at-large team)
This league almost took the week off, as only three teams played. Rutgers beat Navy to officially become bowl eligible. West Virginia could still lose a game or even two, but for now the Mountaineers look like the Big East champ this year.
Any title chance South Florida might have had left with Hurricane Wilma. The Bulls will not have played for three weeks when they take on Rutgers in New Brunswick this week. They will host West Virginia at the end of the year, but USF would have to win four November games for that to matter.
BCS West Virginia
Meineke Car Care (must find at-large) unless S. Florida or Pittsburgh pull an upset
Wisconsin plays at Penn State and closes league play at home against Iowa (UW also plays at Hawaii). Penn State hosts Wisconsin and plays at Michigan State. Ohio State has the best chance of going 7-1, as they face Illinois, Northwestern, and Michigan. The Wolverines are hot and should easily dispose of Indiana, making the game in the Big House against the hated Buckeyes very important. Iowa and Northwestern still hold faint hopes of running the table and finishing 6-2, but don't bet on it. Look for a four-team tie at 6-2, with four other teams finishing with the needed six total wins.
BCS Penn State (based on highest BCS)
Capital One Wisconsin
Outback Ohio State
Sun Michigan State
Music City Iowa
Motor City Minnesota
At-large availability Northwestern
Texas was on the ropes against Oklahoma State yet again, and like a horse coming from 20 lengths off the pace, raced past the Cowboys to a 47-28 win. It was enough to knock the Longhorns down a notch to number two nationally.
Oklahoma is 5-3, but the three losses have come to undefeated Texas, undefeated UCLA, and once beaten TCU. The Sooners are better than first thought. Texas Tech will have to earn the runner-up spot by beating Oklahoma; if the game were played today, OU might be a slight favorite.
As for Texas A&M, Dennis Franchione's squad folded at home against Iowa State. Sorry Aggie fans, no bowl for you, not with the three toughies in your division still to play.
The North now looks to be in the control of the Buffalo stampede. Colorado won at Kansas State, while both Nebraska and Missouri lost. Iowa State and Kansas should play their season finale with a bowl bid on the line. Nebraska will limp to the finish but should find a sixth
BCS (ROSE) Texas
Holiday Texas Tech
Champs Sports Nebraska
Independence Iowa State
Ft. Worth (must find at-large)
Texas-El Paso and Tulsa are tied in the West. They play this week at the Sun Bowl. The winner should eventually cop the crown. Houston, Southern Mississippi, and Central Florida are near locks to get to six wins, while, Memphis, and possibly Marshall are left to fight it out for bowl eligibility and an at-large selection. A Tiger win over Tennessee might put them over the top. UAB is on the outside looking in; it looks like 5-6 at best for Watson Brown's Blazers.
Liberty U T E P
GMAC Southern Miss.
Ft. Worth Tulsa
New Orleans Central Florida
At-large availability Memphis
What a weird week! What's up with the Mid-American Conference? The last time someone this weak devoured someone that strong, it was in Pharaoh's dream that Joseph interpreted. Are seven lean years about to follow seven good years in the MAC?
Meek Ball State thoroughly devoured strong Northern Illinois thanks to the running of Charles Wynn and the passing of Joey Lynch. Without Omar Jacobs, Bowling Green fell to Akron, throwing the East Division race wide open. Central Michigan knocked off Toledo and ace QB Bruce Gradkowski. The Chippewas won their fourth in a row and now control their destiny in the West. The top nine teams in this league could
play each other in a double round robin and all finish 9-9. So, it's nearly impossible to figure out which two will get bowl bids. This is just a wild guess (then again aren't they all?)
Motor City Miami (O)
TCU got quite a scare from San Diego State when the Aztecs chose to bring their A-game Saturday night. The Horned Frogs hung on for a three-point win to further strengthen their hold on first place.
Colorado State took a huge stride toward bowl eligibility with a win at New Mexico. The Lobos should still finish above .500. The Utah/BYU winner will finish with enough wins, while Wyoming should as well. Since this league only gets three bids, two teams will have to bite their nails in hopes of receiving an at-large bid.
Las Vegas T C U
Emerald Colorado State
Poinsettia BYU/Utah winner
At-large availability New Mexico
I just had to say it, and the opposite came true. I talked about Arizona being overrated and how the odds makers made a mistake making them just an eight-point dog at Oregon State. So, the Wildcats not only covered, they won the game outright. Now, the Beavers must beat Stanford along with their expected win over Washington to gain bowl eligibility.
Speaking of Stanford, if the Cardinal could beat OSU and upset California (or Notre Dame), they would finish 6-5. That loss to UC Davis could haunt the fans of the big tree.
Let's hear it for UCLA. The Bruins are doing their best to revive the memories of the cardiac 1967 Indiana Hoosiers. For the third week in a row, UCLA came from well off the pace after it looked like the game was out of reach and won again. The Bruins should take out the two teams from the Grand Canyon State, meaning the finale at the Coliseum could be the "Game of the Year."
As for Southern Cal, they reclaimed the top spot in the PiRate Top 25 with an easy win over Washington State. In that game, the Trojans gained 761 total yards! USC hosts Stanford, plays at a weaker Cal, and hosts fairly strong Fresno State before playing UCLA.
Arizona State still holds hopes of winning twice more. The Sun Devils play Washington State and Arizona, so it's highly possible. Then again, Arizona has upset them more times than not the last twenty years.
BCS (ROSE) Southern Cal
BCS (at-large) UCLA
Insight Arizona State
Las Vegas Oregon State or Stanford (only one should win 6)
Emerald (must find at-large)
Well, our friends 185 miles east of Nashville are all of a sudden not a sure thing to win six times this year. Notre Dame should have their way with the Vols, while Memphis could nail the stake in the Big Orange's bowl coffin. It will be difficult for UT to find something new that works this late in the season.
Georgia fans must be crying in their beverages after watching the Bulldogs lose a close one to Florida. D.J. Shockley was worth more than the four points they lost by to the Gators. Now, Shockley better be fully recovered in two Saturdays, when The ‘Dogs take on Auburn. Florida will nab the divisional crown if Georgia loses to the War Eagles. The Gators should take out Vanderbilt and South Carolina to
In the West, will Alabama have enough depth to withstand assaults from both LSU and Auburn? I think the Tide will lose at least one and possibly both games. If so, then LSU will win the West. If Alabama beats LSU, and Auburn beats Georgia, then the Iron Bowl will decide the West title.
South Carolina needs to beat either Arkansas or Clemson to finish bowl eligible; there's a good chance they will do both. Vanderbilt is still very much alive if they can dispose of Kentucky and gain enough confidence heading to Knoxville. The Vols can be had if Vandy can score three touchdowns and a field goal (but chances are still less than 50-50).
Capital One Georgia
Music City South Carolina
Independence Tennessee/Vanderbilt winner?
Houston (must find at-large)
Army, Navy, Air Force, Marines! Well, at least Army and Navy. Former Navy head man Charlie Weatherbie (HC) and former Army head man Todd Berry (OC) have the Louisiana Monroe Indians at 3-0 in the SBC and in first place. They own a win over once-beaten Arkansas State, so the Indians from Jonesboro haven't much chance of winning the crown. North Texas has all four previous Sunbelt titles, and the Mean Green host UL-M on November 19. The winner will play in the New Orleans Bowl in Lafayette, Louisiana. Heads up UL-M: Air Force head man Fisher DeBerry might be available to add to the staff.
New Orleans North Texas/Louisiana-Monroe winner
Boise State crushed Nevada, while Fresno State trounced Hawaii. These two teams have wrapped up the two bowl bids. Even though Fresno State should win the conference title, Boise will probably get the first choice MPC Computers Bowl bid on their home field.
MPC Computers Boise State
Hawaii Fresno State
Notre Dame still looks like an odds-on favorite to run the table and get a BCS at-large bid at 9-2. Navy is 4-3 with games against Tulane, Notre Dame, Temple, and Army remaining. Seven wins should get them an invitation somewhere.
BCS At-Large Notre Dame
At-large Availability Navy