East Florida | Georgia | Kentucky | South
Carolina | Tennessee | Vanderbilt
Alabama | Arkansas | Auburn | LSU | Ole Miss | Miss
- Part SEC Predictions: Week
1 | Week
2 | Week
3 | Week
4 | Week
How are the picks so far? SU: 41-4
... ATS: 23-17-1
Predictions, Week 6, Part 2 | Get
Tickets for These Games
SEC Game of the
LSU (4-1) at Florida (5-0) 3:30 PM
EST CBS Saturday October 7th
Why to Watch: Now we get to see just
how good these two teams really are. Florida's win at Tennessee was obviously
tremendous and the home victory over Alabama wasn't without its charm, but the
next three games will show if Urban Meyer's team is just a contender for the SEC
title or if it's worthy of being the lead dog in the national title chase. No
offense to Ohio State, but the Gators have to be ranked number one, at least
based on who deserves the top spot, if they can beat LSU, win at Auburn, and
then beat Georgia. LSU is still a mystery team. Oh sure, it looked great
blowing the doors off UL Lafayette, Arizona, Tulane and Mississippi State, but
those teams aren't going to exactly challenge for the BCS. The only road game so
far, and the only game against anyone with any talent, was at Auburn in a
controversial 7-3 loss. A win in Gainesville won't erase that, but it would mean
LSU has to be considered in the mix again for the SEC title, and maybe
Why LSU Might Win: The Tiger defense is the real deal proving to
be a rock against the pass thanks to an aggressive, fearsome pass rush that'll
generate consistent pressure on Gator QB Chris Leak. Florida, likely without top
RB DeShawn Wynn thanks to a sprained knee that knocked him out of the Alabama
game, won't be running it much. Kestahn Moore and backup QB Tim Tebow might get
a decent run here and there, but forget about consistently pounding the ball on
the Tiger defensive front. Now, Florida might have to be a pure passing team
which fits right into LSU's hands.
Why Florida Might Win: Talk about
no running game, LSU's is mediocre. Oh sure, it did a great job against Arizona
and wasn't bad against Tulane, and there have been 14 touchdowns on the ground
so far, but against Auburn, the one, true measuring stick for LSU, there were
only 42 yards. Florida's secondary might be getting it done with smoke and
mirrors, but it's an opportunistic group that's only allowed three touchdowns so
far with eight interceptions including two picks of Tennessee's Erik Ainge. This
group will bend, but it doesn't break.
Who to Watch: Put the kids to
bed; this game is for the adults. All the SEC quarterback talk this year has
been about star freshmen Mitch Mustain at Arkansas, Matthew Stafford at Georgia,
and Tebow, but this game will be all about veterans JaMarcus Russell of LSU and
Leak. Russell has been nothing short of terrific ranking second in the nation in
passing efficiency with ten touchdown passes and only one interception while
completing 70% of his passes, while Leak, despite having to look over his
shoulder waiting for Tebow to come in and provide a spark, has been magnificent
completing 65% of his throws with 14 touchdown passes tossing at least two in
every game. Considering the woes of both running games, the quarterback that
plays better will win the game.
What Will Happen: If you enjoy
defenses, this will be for you. Florida's issues in the secondary will finally
be exposed with Russell coming up with his sharpest game of the
LSU 16 ... Florida 13 ...
Line: Florida -1.5
Must See Rating: (5 skip the birth of your
first born - 1 Rachael Ray) ...
Arkansas (3-1) at Auburn (5-0) 12 PM
EST Saturday October 7th
Why to Watch: If Arkansas wants to step
up to the big boy table, this is the game it has to have. With two weeks off
after the double-overtime missed kick fest over Alabama, the Hogs are rested and
ready for their toughest test since getting whacked by USC in the season opener.
The team isn't playing particularly well, but it's 2-0 in SEC play and 3-1
overall with a shot to go on a huge run if they can come up with the huge upset
with SE Missouri State, Ole, Miss and UL Monroe ahead. The Tigers are generally
acknowledged as having one of the three best teams in America, but they could
use a big game after struggling a little too much to put away South Carolina in
a 24-17 win last Thursday night. With Florida ahead next week, there can't be a
Why Arkansas Might Win: South Carolina showed last week
that the Auburn defense can be penetrated with short, quick passes and a calm,
cool passer. While Arkansas doesn't have that, at least not yet, it does have
something Auburn hasn't seen yet: a running game. LSU and South Carolina aren't
moving the ball particularly well on the ground, and Washington State is all
about throwing the ball. The Hogs will try to pound away on the smallish Tiger D
and hope to keep things close into the fourth quarter. QB Mitch Mustain hasn't
been sharp so far, but he should get a little bit of time behind a line that's
doing a decent job in pass protection against the fearsome Auburn pass rush
Why Auburn Might Win: Mitch Mustain. The Hog quarterback is showing
signs of becoming special, but he's not there yet and he's almost certain to
turn it over at least twice. South Carolina was able to stay in the game against
Auburn thanks to a nearly flawless game from Syvell Newton. Mustain won't be
able to do the same. Arkansas is dead last in America in turnover margin losing
seven interceptions and only coming up with one takeaway in four games. To beat
Auburn, the Hogs have to come up with several big plays and force some big
mistakes. If Auburn keeps the game plan relatively conservative and Brandon Cox
is effective at keeping the chains moving, there won't be a problem.
to Watch: Since moving from safety to linebacker, Auburn's Will Herring has
found ways to keep making plays. He came up with a key broken up pass in the end
zone against the Gamecocks last week, and he has been solid against the run
leading the Tigers with 27 stops. It'll be up to him to be the first line of
defense against Darren McFadden and the Arkansas running game. If Herring is
making tackles five yards past the line, Auburn's D might be in trouble. If he's
able to sniff things out keep the long gains to a minimum, the Arkansas offense
won't go anywhere. A savvy veteran, watch for him to bait Mustain into at least
two bad throws.
What Will Happen: Arkansas is better than its
being given credit for, but Auburn's defense will swarm all over the Hog
offense. Expect a ruthlessly efficient day from Cox and the Tiger offense. By
the way, Auburn PK John Vaughn has hit eight of ten field goal tries and all 17
CFN Prediction: Auburn 34 ...
Arkansas 14 ... Line: Auburn -16
Must See Rating: (5 skip the
birth of your first born - 1 Rachael Ray) ...
Vanderbilt (2-3) at Ole
Miss (1-4) 12 PM
EST Saturday October 7th
Why to Watch: While Kentucky and
Mississippi State might have something to say about it, this might be the game
to determine the SEC's worst team. This isn't the Toilet Bowl it might have been
in past seasons with both teams playing relatively well considering their
records, but each team desperately needs this win to keep alive any possible
dreams of a bowl shot. Ole Miss has almost certain losses against Auburn and LSU
ahead, and it has to go on the road to face Alabama and Arkansas over the next
two weeks, so the current four-game losing slide could get brutally ugly if it's
not good enough to beat Vandy at home. The Commodores still have all the big
boys from the East to deal with, but with a home game against South Carolina
along with dates with Duke and Kentucky still to play, getting to six wins isn't
impossible if they can come away from Oxford with the victory. They're 0-2 in
SEC play so far, but the losses came to Alabama and Arkansas by a combined total
of five points.
Why Vanderbilt Might Win: Ole Miss can't score. The
Rebels are averaging a mere 8.25 points per game with no consistent production
coming from anyone on offense. Either the running game is effective, of the
passing game goes into the tank, or vice versa. Vanderbilt's defense has been
surprisingly effective holding Michigan to a season-low 27 points (also
accomplished by Wisconsin) and has been surprisingly solid at not getting
steamrolled over by everyone's running game other than the Wolverines'. Making
matters worse for Ole Miss has been problems with the run defense. Vandy should
be able to roll for 150 yards on the ground without a problem.
Miss Might Win: Even in the best of times, Vandy isn't a juggernaut. Now it
has to deal with several injury issues, especially on defense, where there's
some shuffling going on with the loss of safety Ben Koger to a broken leg and
linebackers Kevin Joyce and Marcus Bugg to injuries suffered against Temple.
Freshman Patrick Benoist might end up starting at linebacker. If the Rebels
can't take advantage and put up some decent yards this week, that likely means
they won't be good enough to come up with much the rest of the year.
to Watch: It might be do or die time, at least this season, for Ole Miss QB
Brent Schaeffer. He was never expected to be Peyton Manning, but he's only
completing 46% of his passes with six interceptions and only four touchdown
passes. The key to his game was supposed to be running the ball, but he hasn't
done nearly enough to spark the offense netting just 105 yards so far. Backup
Seth Adams completed eight of 11 passes for 84 yards in the 27-3 loss to Wake
Forest last week, and could quickly find his way into the game if Schaeffer
What Will Happen: The Ole Miss woes continue.
The lines aren't playing well and there's simply not enough happening on
offense. The Vanderbilt running game will control the clock and the overall
Vanderbilt 20 ... Ole Miss 17
... Line: Vanderbilt -1.5
Must See Rating: (5 skip the birth of
your first born - 1 Rachael Ray) ...
West Virginia (4-0) at Mississippi State
(1-4) 2:30 PM EST Saturday October 7th
Why to watch: West Virginia gets back to work
with a rare trip into SEC country. The fourth-ranked Mountaineers are in
that small handful of teams positioning for a shot at a national championship,
so any letdown in Starkville, or even a close call, would be catastrophic.
Hotshot RB Steve Slaton is on the short of Heisman candidates, while shifty QB
Pat White will be returning home this weekend. Well, sort of.
White's from Daphne, Ala., which is about a five-hour drive down US-45.
Mississippi State is no stranger to top ten teams having already been throttled
by Auburn and LSU, but it has enough of a defense to make this interesting. The
Bulldogs regressed last week against LSU, although the offense has shown small
signs of life ever since Omarr Conner switched back to quarterback from wide
Why West Virginia might win: Save for one half of garbage
time against Maryland, the West Virginia defense was solid throughout the month
of September. The ‘eers are creating turnovers and allowing an average of
only 11 points a game, an insurmountable combination for a Mississippi State
offense that generates just 235 yards a game and is leaning on a couple of
freshman to shoulder the load on the ground.
Why Mississippi State might
win: The Bulldogs are brutal against the pass, but are only giving up 104
yards a game on the ground. That's actually a formula that can work
against a West Virginia offense that leans heavily on the run, yet is
93rd nationally throwing the ball. East Carolina showed two
weeks ago that when you stack the box, Slaton can be contained and White will
Who to watch: Uhhh, isn't it about time West Virginia
bags its first quarterback sack of 2006? It's hard to believe, but the
Mountaineers are the only one of 119 I-A teams technically without a sack
(although, there appeared to be one in the season opener, but you get the
idea). Before Big East play begins, they've got to start getting more
pressure on the quarterback, meaning it's time for Keilen Dykes to begin
asserting himself like he did during his breakout sophomore season.
will happen: Playing on the road and for the first time in two weeks, West
Virginia will start slowly, but Mississippi State won't have the weapons on
offense to capitalize. White will throw his fourth and fifth touchdown
passes of the year, one each to Brandon Myles and Darius Reynaud.
West Virginia 38 ...
Mississippi State 16 ... Line: West Virginia -25
Rating: (5 skip the birth of your first born - 1 Rachael Ray) ...
Predictions, Week 6, Part 2 |
Get Tickets for These
SEC Fearless Predictions, Week 6
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