ESPN gives Boise State only a 17.5 percent chance of beating the Cougs in Pullman on Sept. 9. WSU also has an 82 percent of chance beating Oregon State in Week Three, and a 96.2 percent chance of topping Nevada the following week.
WSU has a 98.8 percent chance of beating Montana State in its opener according to ESPN.
The Cougs are an underdog in Week Five against USC. But it’s a virtual coin flip, with WSU holding a 46.4 percent chance of running its record to 5-0 against Southern Cal.
Interestingly, ESPN gives the Cougs less of a chance at Oregon the following week: Wazzu has a 40.3 percent chance of beating the Ducks.
ESPN predicts three wins to follow: at Cal (75.5 percent); Colorado (77.6 percent) and at Arizona (68.8 percent).
In Week 10, ESPN projects Washington State will lose at home to Stanford but it’s close: WSU has a 43.4 percent chance of beating the Cardinal.
The Cougs are predicted to win at Utah (64.4 percent) before losing at UW (26.3 percent) to finish 8-4 on the season.
- WSU is slotted 13 spots higher this year, it was No. 38 in last year's preseason FPI.
- Six Pac-12 teams are listed in the ESPN FPI top 25: UW (9); Stanford (11); USC (12); Oregon (21); UCLA (23) and WSU (25). Ohio State is No. 1, Alabama No. 2 and Oklahoma is No. 3.
- Misses: In last year's preseason FPI, ESPN projected the Cougs had a 97.2 percent chance of beating Eastern in the season opener. Other misses included WSU with just a 26 percent chance of beating Stanford on the road, a 34.9 percent chance of taking care of business at home vs. UCLA and a 47.3 percent chance of beating ASU on the road. Back in 2015, WSU was given a 97.1 percent chance at beating Portland State by the FPI, and just an 8 percent chance to beat Oregon and a 9.3 percent chance to top UCLA.
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