Washington vs Southern California By-the-Numbers

Well, it's USC. And that normally means the Huskies are the underdog. Even in Seattle, it has been the case a lot over the past 20 years. What do the numbers tell us about this year's matchup? Let's find out . . .

USC at Washington
Saturday, Oct 25, 2003, 12:30pm PDT
TV - ABC
FieldTurf@
Probability(1):

67%


Southern California

Washington
Overall record
Location record

Scoring/G: PF&PA (Rank)

Yardage/G: YF&YA (Rank)
Rushing/G: YF&YA (Rank)
Passing/G: YF&YA (Rank)

Turnover margin/G

AP Poll
Coaches Poll

Sagarin's Rating(Team)
IDawg D-Index

vs. same-field
opponents (3)

STANFORD
California
Arizona

Schedule/Results

8/30
9/6
9/13
9/20
9/27
10/4
10/11
10/18
10/25
11/1
11/8
11/15
11/22
11/29
12/6
6 - 1 (.857)
3 - 1 (.750) on the road

  39.4 (9)         19.4 (30)

426.9 (26)       334.4 (35)
152.9 (58)         79.0 (9)
274.0 (24)       255.4 (36)*

+1.14 (12)

5(5)
4(4)

5
12


1 - 1 (.500)

[Oct 11 44-21]
[Sept 27 31-34OT]
[Nov 15]

6-1 (.857)

@Auburn, Won 23 to 0
BYU, Won 35 to 18
Hawaii, Won 61 to 32
BYE
@Cal, Lost 31 to 34 OT
@ASU, Won 37 to 17
Stanford, Won 44 to 21
@Notre Dame, Won 45 to 14
@UW
WSU
BYE
@Arizona
UCLA
OSU
4 - 3 (.571)
3 - 1 (.750) at home

   27.3 (54)       23.3 (57)

404.1 (42)       328.9 (30)
124.9 (85)       107.7 (26)
279.3 (22)       221.1 (35)*

-0.57 (90)

NR
NR

51
22


1 - 0 (1.000)

[Sept 27 28-17]
[Nov 15]
[Nov 8]

4-3 (.571)

@Ohio St lost 9 to 28
Indiana won 38 to 13
BYE
Idaho won 45 to 14
Stanford won 28 to 17
@UCLA lost 16 to 48
Nevada lost 28 to 17
@OSU won 38 to 17
USC
Oregon
@Arizona
@California
@WSU
 
 

Last meeting (2002) Washington 21
  Southern California 41

* Rank shown is for pass efficiency defense.
(1) Probability determined by dawgman.com staff.

Even More Numbers

Statistics Southern California Washington
Differentials
+favors USC
-favors UW
Statistic Nev OPP DIFF UW-UCLA OPP DIFF USC-UW OPP DIFF DIFF DIFF
Pts / G 39.4 19.4 20.0 27.3 23.3 4.0 12.1 -3.9 16.0
Yds / G 426.9 334.4 92.4 404.1 328.9 75.3 22.7 5.6 17.2
Rushing Yds / G 152.9 79.0 73.9 124.9 107.7 17.2 28.0 -28.7 56.7
Passing Yds / G 274.0 255.4 18.6 279.3 221.1 58.2 -5.3 34.3 -39.6
Tl Yds / Play 6.3 4.5 1.8 5.2 4.8 0.4 1.1 -0.3 1.4
Rushing Yds / Car 4.3 2.3 2.0 3.1 2.9 0.2 1.2 -0.5 1.7
Passing Yds / Att 8.3 6.2 2.1 7.3 7.0 0.3 1.0 -0.8 1.8
Passing Yds / Cmp 13.9 11.1 2.8 12.8 13.8 -1.0 1.1 -2.7 3.8
Passing Cmp % 60.0 55.9 4.1 57.1 50.5 6.6 2.9 5.5 -2.5
Punt Return Avg 7.7 6.3 1.4 13.0 4.6 8.4 -5.3 1.7 -7.0
Yds / 7 Pts 75.8 120.5 44.7 103.7 98.8 -4.8 27.9 21.6 39.5
Plays / 7 Pts 12.1 27.0 14.9 20.1 20.8 0.7 8.0 6.2 15.2
Rushing Play % 51.9 45.1 6.7 51.2 54.1 -2.9 0.7 -9.0 9.7
Passing Play % 48.1 54.9 -6.7 48.8 45.9 2.9 -0.7 9.0 -9.7
Turnovers / G 2.0 3.1 1.1 2.6 2.0 -0.6 -0.6 -5.1 1.7
Fumbles / G 1.0 1.6 0.6 1.3 0.7 -0.6 -0.3 -2.3 1.1
Intercept / G 1.0 1.6 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.0 -0.3 -2.9 0.6

Who's Who between the 2 teams

Players Ranked Among Top 50 Within an NCAA Statistical Category(2003)

Washington
Rank Category Player Value Units
8 Interceptions Derrick Johnson .57 gm
9 Receptions Reggie Williams 7.0 gm
13 Receiving Reggie Williams 94.43 yds/gm
20 All-Purpose Running Charles Frederick 140.43 yds/gm
22 Total Offense Cody Pickett 265.86 yds/gm
23 Punt Returns Charles Frederick 12.96 yrds
42 Punting Garth Erickson 41.7 yrds
43 Field Goals Evan Knudson 1.14 gm
45 Rushing Rich Alexis 80.86 yrds/gm

Southern California
Rank Category Player Value Units
1 Punting Tom Malone 48.89 yds
5 Receiving Mike Williams 106.14 yrds/gm
10 Passing Efficiency Matt Leinart 155.92 rating
11 Scoring Ryan Killeen 10.00 gm
12 Receptions Mike Williams 6.86 gm
14 Feild Goals Ryan Killeen 1.71 gm
25 Interceptions Will Poole 0.43 gm
26 Total Offense Matt Leinart 257.71 yrds/gm
46 Receiving Keary Colbert 79.71 yrds/gm
46 Punt Returns Greig Carlson 10.09 yrds

Other team tidbits(2002):

Category/strong> Southern California Washington
Average Height 6'2" 6'2"
Average Weight 229 lbs 227 lbs
% Seniors 18% 18%
% In State 85% 48%
Top States CA-79 WA-51
FL-2 CA-29
WA-2 HI-6
Total Players 94 107
Data current as of Oct 21, 2003
Direct any questions about accuracy to
pthrapp@dawgman.com

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