Washington vs. Michigan By-the-Numbers

OK. It's the first game of the year, and it's a rematch of last year's opener. Only difference being, the game is in Ann Arbor this time around. Will the Huskies be able to capture lightning in a bottle two years in a row? Well, let's just take a peek at what the numbers tell us, shall we?

Washington at Michigan
Saturday, August 31, 2002

Natural Grass
ABC
Probability(1):

64%


Washington

Michigan
Overall record
Location record

Scoring/G: PF&PA (Rank)

Yardage/G: YF&YA (Rank)
Rushing/G: YF&YA (Rank)
Passing/G: YF&YA (Rank)

Turnover margin/G

AP Poll
Coaches Poll

Sagarin's Rating(Team)
Collegio Rating**

7-year record
as Favorite

and Underdog
at location

vs. same-field
opponents (0)


8 - 4 (.667)
2 - 3 (.400) on the road

28.2 (47) 29.4 (82)

391.2 (50) 382.6 (66)
111.7 (96) 162.6 (68)
279.5 (16) 220.0 (93)*

-0.27 (72)

9
9

13
31

9-13-0 (.409)
as ROAD Underdog

13-4-0 (.765)
as ROAD Favorite





8 - 4 (.667)
5 - 1 (.883) at home

27.6 (54) 17.5 (9)

360.7 (6)  301.6 (12)
146.6 (19) 90.5 (8)
214.1 (32)  211.1 (25)*

-0.36

12
10

11
40

34-6-0 (.850)
as HOME Favorite

2-1-0 (.667)
as HOME Underdog





Last meeting (2001) Michigan 18
  Washington 23

* Rank shown is for pass efficiency defense.
** The Collegio rating is from 0 to 100, where 100 is equivalent to the 1995 Nebraska team. See bottom for further details.
(1) Probability determined by collegio software.

Even More Numbers

Statistics
Washington

Michigan
Differentials
+favors UW
-favors UM
Statistic WASH OPP DIFF MICH OPP DIFF WASH - ASU OPP DIFF DIFF DIFF
Pts / G 28.2 29.4 -1.2 27.6 17.5 10.1 0.6 11.9 -11.3
Yds / G 391.2 382.6 8.5 360.7 301.6 59.1 30.5 81.0 -50.6
Rushing Yds / G 111.7 162.6 -50.9 146.6 90.5 56.1 -34.9 72.1 -107.0
Passing Yds / G 279.5 162.6 59.5 214.1 211.1 3.0 65.4 8.9 56.5
Yds / Play 5.3 5.6 -0.3 4.9 4.3 0.6 0.4 1.3 -0.9
Rushing Yds / Car 2.9 4.2 -1.2 3.6 2.5 1.0 -0.7 1.7 -2.2
Passing Yds / Att 7.9 7.5 0.4 6.5 6.0 0.4 1.4 1.5 0.0
Passing Yds / Cmp 14.4 13.2 1.2 12.1 11.4 0.7 2.3 1.8 0.5
Passing Cmp % 55.0 57.1 -2.1 53.6 53.1 0.4 1.4 4.0 -2.5
Punt Return Avg 13.3 9.6 3.7 10.8 7.8 3.0 2.5 1.8 0.7
Yds / 7 Pts 97.2 91.2 -5.9 91.7 121.0 29.3 5.5 -29.8 -35.2
Plays / 7 Pts 18.2 16.3 -1.9 18.8 28.3 9.5 -0.6 -12.0 -11.4
Rushing Play % 51.8 57.2 -5.4 55.2 50.5 4.8 -3.4 6.7 -10.2
Passing Play % 48.2 42.8 5.4 44.8 49.5 -4.8 3.4 -6.7 10.2
Turnovers / G 2.4 2.1 -0.3 2.0 1.6 -0.4 0.4 0.5 0.1
Fumbles / G 0.9 1.3 0.4 0.8 0.6 -0.2 0.1 0.7 0.6
Intercept / G 1.5 0.8 -0.6 1.2 1.0 -0.2 0.3 -0.2 -0.4
Turnover % 3.2 3.1 -0.2 2.7 2.3 -0.4 0.5 0.8 0.2
Fumble % 2.4 3.2 0.9 2.0 1.8 -0.2 0.4 1.4 1.1
Intercept % 4.1 2.8 -1.3 3.6 2.9 -0.7 0.5 -0.1 -0.6

Who's Who between the 2 teams

Players Ranked Among Top 50 Within an NCAA Statistical Category(2001)

Michigan
Rank Category Player Value Units


Washington
Rank Category Player Value Units
6 Kickoff Returns Roc Alexander 29.21 yds @
23 Receiving Yards Reggie Williams 88.45 yds/g
26 Field Goals John Anderson 1.27 fg/g
28 Total Offense Cody Pickett 246.3 yds/g
34 Interceptions Roc Alexander 0.36 int/g
44 Punting Derek McLaughlin 41.23 yds @

Other team tidbits:

Category /strong>
Washington

Michigan
Average Height 6'1" 6'2"
Average Weight 231 lbs 232 lbs
% Seniors 24% 20%
Average Experience 2.08 yrs 2.07 yrs
% In State 43% 31%
Top States WA-48 MI-43
CA-38 OH-15
AZ-4 CA-10
Total Players 104 110
Data current as of January 7, 2002
Source:
FREE Download and Trial of College Football Tracking Software + Electronic Media Guide
Direct any questions about accuracy to pthrapp@dawgman.com

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