Washington vs California By-the-Numbers

Well, with the non-conference schedule behind them, the Washington Huskies open up league play this weekend as they host the Golden Bears of Cal. How does Dr. Thrapp and his number-crunching machine predict the outcome of Saturday's supposed slobberknocker? Well, they aren't as confident as last week, that's for sure.

California at Washington
Saturday, October 5, 2002, 12:30PM PDT

FieldTurf
No TV
Probability(1):

75%


California

Washington
Overall record
Location record

Scoring/G: PF&PA (Rank)

Yardage/G: YF&YA (Rank)
Rushing/G: YF&YA (Rank)
Passing/G: YF&YA (Rank)

Turnover margin/G

AP Poll
Coaches Poll

Sagarin's Rating(Team)
Collegio Rating**

8-year record
as Favorite

and Underdog
at location

vs. same-field
opponents (4)

ARIZONA
at Arizona St.
at USC
UCLA
3 - 2 (.600)
1 - 0 (1.000) on the road

41.8 (7) 25.6 (60)

389.6 (52) 395.8 (87)
116.0 (90) 146.8 (58)
273.6 (22) 249.0 (97)*

+2.20 (5)

Not Rated
Not Rated

47
41

6-29-0 (.171)
as ROAD Underdog

4-3-0 (.571)
as ROAD Favorite


0 - 0 (.000)

TBD [Nov 16]
TBD [Nov 10]
TBD [Oct 13]
TBD [Oct 19]
3 - 1 (.750)
3 - 0 (1.000) at home

35.5 (29) 18.8 (29)

503.5 (3) 337.0 (45)
118.8 (88) 91.5 (12)
384.8 (2) 245.5 (49)*

-0.5 (77)

12 (13)
12 (13)

36
49

34-7-0 (.829)
as HOME Favorite

3-2-1 (.583)
as HOME Underdog


0 - 0 (.000)

TBD [Oct 12]
TBD [Oct 27]
TBD [Oct 19]
TBD [Nov 2]

Last meeting (2001) Washington 31
  California 28

* Rank shown is for pass efficiency defense.
** The Collegio rating is from 0 to 100, where 100 is equivalent to the 1995 Nebraska team. See bottom for further details.
(1) Probability determined by collegio software.

Even More Numbers

Statistics
California

Washington
Differentials
+favors Cal
-favors UW
Statistic CAL OPP DIFF WASH OPP DIFF CAL - WASH OPP DIFF DIFF DIFF
Pts / G 41.8 25.6 16.2 35.5 18.8 16.7 6.3 -6.8 -0.5
Yds / G 389.6 395.8 -6.2 503.5 337.0 166.5 -113.9 -58.8 -172.7
Rushing Yds / G 116.0 146.8 -30.8 118.8 91.5 27.3 -2.8 -55.3 -58.1
Passing Yds / G 273.6 146.8 24.6 384.8 245.5 139.3 -111.2 -3.5 -114.7
Yds / Play 5.8 5.5 0.3 6.2 5.0 1.2 -0.4 -0.5 -0.9
Rushing Yds / Car 3.7 3.6 0.1 3.1 2.9 0.2 0.6 -0.7 -0.1
Passing Yds / Att 7.5 8.0 -0.5 8.9 6.7 2.2 -1.4 -1.3 -2.7
Passing Yds / Cmp 13.3 13.7 -0.4 12.9 11.6 1.4 0.4 -2.1 -1.8
Passing Cmp % 56.6 58.3 -1.7 68.8 58.2 10.6 -12.2 -0.1 -12.3
Punt Return Avg 15.3 10.6 4.6 3.7 12.0 -8.3 11.6 1.4 12.9
Yds / 7 Pts 65.2 108.2 43.0 99.3 125.8 26.5 34.1 -17.6 16.5
Plays / 7 Pts 11.3 19.7 8.4 16.1 25.3 9.2 4.8 -5.6 -0.8
Rushing Play % 46.2 56.7 -10.5 46.9 46.1 0.8 -0.7 -10.6 -11.3
Passing Play % 53.8 43.3 10.5 53.1 53.9 -0.8 0.7 10.6 11.3
Turnovers / G 1.0 3.2 2.2 2.5 2.0 -0.5 1.5 1.2 2.7
Fumbles / G 0.2 2.0 1.8 2.0 0.7 -1.2 1.8 1.3 3.0
Intercept / G 0.8 1.2 0.4 0.5 1.2 0.7 -0.3 0.0 -0.3
Turnover % 1.5 4.4 3.0 3.1 3.0 -0.1 1.6 1.4 3.1
Fumble % 0.6 4.9 4.3 5.2 2.4 -2.8 4.6 2.5 7.1
Intercept % 2.2 3.8 1.6 1.2 3.4 2.3 -1.0 0.4 -0.7

Who's Who between the 2 teams

Players Ranked Among Top 50 Within an NCAA Statistical Category(2002)

Washington
Rank Category Player Value Units
2Total OffenseCody Pickett368.0yrds/g
5Passing EfficiencyCody Pickett160.7rtg pts
20Field GoalsJohn Anderson1.5fg/g
33All-Purpose RunningRich Alexis140.5yds/g
36RushingRich Alexis95.25yds/g
38ScoringJohn Anderson8.5pts/g

California
Rank Category Player Value Units
10Kickoff ReturnsLaShaun Ward29.08yds @
10ScoringMark-Christian Jensen11.4pts/g
18InterceptionsJames Bethea0.6int/g
22ReceptionsGeoff McArthur6rec/g
23Punt ReturnsJemeel Powell4.55yds @
29Total OffenseKyle Boller242.2yds/g
44RushingJoe Igber89ds/g
50Passing EfficiencyKyle Boller130.3rtg pts

Other team tidbits:

Category /strong>
California

Washington
Average Height 6' 1" 6' 2"
Average Weight 232 lbs 234 lbs
% Seniors 20% 14%
Average Experience 2.10 yrs 1.63 yrs
% In State 87% 50%
Top States CA-92 WA-54
AZ-3 CA-28
UT-2 HI-5
Total Players 106 107
Data current as of September 30, 2002
Direct any questions about accuracy to
pthrapp@dawgman.com

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