Washington vs USC By-the-Numbers

There was only a 64 percent chance last week of a Husky victory, according to our own Professor Thrapp. Now that the Dawgs hit the road for the first time in over a month, the odds have swung dramatically. The probably of a Washington win this Saturday at USC? Well...

Washington at USC
Saturday, October 19, 2002, 12:30pm PDT

Natural Grass
ABC
Probability(1):

81%


Washington

Southern Cal
Overall record
Location record

Scoring/G: PF&PA (Rank)

Yardage/G: YF&YA (Rank)
Rushing/G: YF&YA (Rank)
Passing/G: YF&YA (Rank)

Turnover margin/G

AP Poll
Coaches Poll

Sagarin's Rating(Team)
Collegio Rating**

8-year record
as Favorite

and Underdog
at location

vs. same-field
opponents (4)

CALIFORNIA
at Oregon
OREGON STATE
at Washington State

4 - 2 (.667)
0 - 1 (.000) on the road

33.5 (28) 22.8 (43)

480.3 (4) 367.7 (65)
99.8 (107) 85.8 (9)
380.5 (2) 281.8 (96)*

-0.50 (73)

22 (22)
17 (18)

46
40

10-16-0 (.385)
as ROAD Underdog

14-5-0 (.737)
as ROAD Favorite


0 - 1 (.000)

Lost 34 - 27 [Oct 5]
TBD [Nov 16]
TBD [Nov 9]
TBD [Nov 23]
4 - 2 (.667)
3 - 0 (1.000) at home

27.2 (64) 17.5 (18)

389.0 (48) 274.5 (8)
116.8 (92) 117.8 (29)
272.2 (21) 156.7 (20)*

+1.00 (22)

19 (20)
20 (24)

12
52

28-13-1 (.679)
as HOME Favorite

3-4-0 (.429)
as HOME Underdog


2 - 1 (.667)

Won 30 - 26 [Oct 12]
TBD [Oct 26]
Won 22 - 0 [Sept 28]
Lost 30 - 27 [Oct 5]

Last meeting (2001) USC 24
  Washington 27

* Rank shown is for pass efficiency defense.
** The Collegio rating is from 0 to 100, where 100 is equivalent to the 1995 Nebraska team. See bottom for further details.
(1) Probability determined by collegio software.

Even More Numbers

Statistics
Washington

Southern Cal
Differentials
+favors UW
-favors USC
Statistic WASH OPP DIFF USC OPP DIFF UW-USC OPP DIFF DIFF DIFF
Pts / G 33.5 22.8 10.7 27.2 17.5 9.7 6.3 -5.3 1.0
Yds / G 480.3 367.7 112.7 389.0 274.5 114.5 91.3 -93.2 -1.8
Rushing Yds / G 99.8 85.8 14.0 116.8 117.8 -1.0 -17.0 32.0 15.0
Passing Yds / G 380.5 85.8 98.7 272.2 156.7 115.5 108.3 -125.1 -16.8
Yds / Play 5.9 5.4 0.5 4.9 4.5 0.4 1.0 -0.9 0.1
Rushing Yds / Car 2.7 2.6 0.1 2.9 3.5 -0.5 -0.2 0.9 0.6
Passing Yds / Att 8.6 8.0 0.5 6.8 5.8 1.0 1.8 -2.2 -0.5
Passing Yds / Cmp 12.8 13.3 -0.6 11.4 12.2 -0.8 1.4 -1.1 0.2
Passing Cmp % 67.0 60.2 6.9 59.8 47.5 12.3 7.2 -12.7 -5.4
Punt Return Avg 6.2 7.0 -0.8 7.8 8.7 -0.9 -1.6 1.7 0.1
Yds / 7 Pts 100.4 112.7 12.3 100.2 109.8 9.6 -0.2 2.9 2.7
Plays / 7 Pts 16.9 20.8 3.9 20.6 24.4 3.8 3.7 -3.6 0.1
Rushing Play % 45.1 48.2 -3.1 50.1 55.7 -5.6 -5.0 7.5 2.5
Passing Play % 54.9 51.8 3.1 49.9 44.3 5.6 5.0 -7.5 -2.5
Turnovers / G 2.3 1.8 -0.5 1.8 2.8 1.0 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5
Fumbles / G 1.7 0.8 -0.8 0.8 2.0 1.2 -0.9 -1.2 -2.0
Intercept / G 0.7 1.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 -0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5
Turnover % 2.9 2.7 -0.2 2.3 4.6 2.3 -0.6 -1.9 -2.5
Fumble % 4.6 2.6 -2.0 2.1 5.9 3.8 -2.5 -3.3 -5.8
Intercept % 1.5 2.8 1.3 2.5 3.1 0.6 1.0 -0.3 0.7

Who's Who between the 2 teams

Players Ranked Among Top 50 Within an NCAA Statistical Category(2002)

Washington
Rank Category Player Value Units
2Field GoalsJohn Anderson2fg/g
2Total OffenseCody Pickett369.5yds/g
11Passing EfficiencyCody Pickett152.1rtg pts
23ScoringJohn Anderson9.17pts/g

Southern Cal
Rank Category Player Value Units
24Total OffenseCarson Palmer257.8yds/g
31PuntingTom Malone41.75yds @
31ReceptionsKeary Colbert5.5rec/g
45RushingSultan McCullough88.17yds/g
45Receiving YardsMike Williams72.33yds/g

Other team tidbits:

Category /strong>
Washington

Southern Cal
Average Height 6'2" 6'1"
Average Weight 234 lbs 229 lbs
% Seniors 14% 26%
Average Experience 1.63 yrs 2.36 yrs
% In State 50% 85%
Top States WA-54 CA-75
CA-28 WA-2
HI-5 LA-2
Total Players 107 88
Data current as of October 14, 2002
Direct any questions about accuracy to
pthrapp@dawgman.com

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