Washington vs Arizona State By-the-Numbers

It was bound to happen. The day is finally upon us. The numbers have turned ugly. Professor Thrapp has thrown his digits (not HIS digits, mind you) into his blender o' truth and has come up with a not-so-startling revelation - Arizona State will beat Washington this Saturday at Sun Devil Stadium.

Washington at Arizona State
Saturday, October 26, 2002, 7:00pm PDT

Natural Grass
No TV
Probability(1):

83%


Washington

Arizona St
Overall record
Location record

Scoring/G: PF&PA (Rank)

Yardage/G: YF&YA (Rank)
Rushing/G: YF&YA (Rank)
Passing/G: YF&YA (Rank)

Turnover margin/G

AP Poll
Coaches Poll

Sagarin's Rating(Team)
Collegio Rating**

8-year record
as Favorite

and Underdog
at location

vs. same-field
opponents (5)

CALIFORNIA
at Oregon
OREGON STATE
at Southern Cal
at Washington State

4 - 3 (.571)
0 - 2 (.000) on the road

31.7 (34) 25.4 (56)

462.6 (8) 375.4 (71)
84.9 (111) 84.1 (9)
377.7 (3) 291.3 (105)*

-0.43 (72)

NR (22)
NR (17)

47
34

10-16-0 (.385)
as ROAD Underdog

14-5-0 (.737)
as ROAD Favorite



0 - 2 (.000)

Lost 34 - 27 [Oct 5]
TBD [Nov 16]
TBD [Nov 9]
Lost 41 - 21 [Oct 19]
TBD [Nov 23]
6 - 2 (.750)
4 - 1 (.800) at home

36.4 (15) 25.5 (57)

417.0 (27) 358.6 (50)
119.5 (92) 104.9 (21)
297.5 (10) 253.7 (46)*

+0.88 (25)

23 (NR)
25 (NR)

26
40

26-11-0 (.703)
as HOME Favorite


6-7-0 (.462)
as HOME Underdog



2 - 0 (1.000)

TBD [Nov 10]
Won 45 - 42 [Oct 19]
Won 13 - 9 [Oct 13]
TBD [Nov 17]
TBD [Nov 2]

Last meeting (2001) Washington 33
  Arizona State 31

* Rank shown is for pass efficiency defense.
** The Collegio rating is from 0 to 100, where 100 is equivalent to the 1995 Nebraska team. See bottom for further details.
(1) Probability determined by collegio software.

Even More Numbers

Statistics
Washington

Arizona St
Differentials
+favors UW
-favors ASU
Statistic WASH OPP DIFF ASU OPP DIFF UW - ASU OPP DIFF DIFF DIFF
Pts / G 31.7 25.4 6.3 36.4 25.5 10.9 -4.7 0.1 -4.6
Yds / G 462.6 375.4 87.1 417.0 358.6 58.4 45.6 -16.8 28.7
Rushing Yds / G 84.9 84.1 0.8 119.5 104.9 14.6 -34.6 20.8 -13.8
Passing Yds / G 377.7 84.1 86.4 297.5 253.7 43.8 80.2 -37.6 42.6
Yds / Play 5.7 5.5 0.1 5.7 5.1 0.6 0.0 -0.4 -0.5
Rushing Yds / Car 2.5 2.6 -0.1 3.2 3.1 0.1 -0.7 0.5 -0.2
Passing Yds / Att 8.0 8.3 -0.4 8.3 7.0 1.2 -0.3 -1.3 -1.6
Passing Yds / Cmp 12.2 13.8 -1.6 15.8 14.3 1.5 -3.6 0.5 -3.1
Passing Cmp % 65.4 60.4 5.0 52.6 49.3 3.3 12.8 -11.1 1.7
Punt Return Avg 6.4 6.1 0.3 8.9 7.8 1.1 -2.5 1.7 -0.8
Yds / 7 Pts 102.1 103.3 1.2 80.2 98.4 18.2 -21.9 4.9 -17.0
Plays / 7 Pts 18.0 18.7 0.7 14.0 19.2 5.2 -4.0 -0.5 -4.5
Rushing Play % 41.8 48.4 -6.7 50.9 48.6 2.3 -9.1 0.2 -9.0
Passing Play % 58.2 51.6 6.7 49.1 51.4 -2.3 9.1 -0.2 9.0
Turnovers / G 2.3 1.9 -0.4 2.4 3.2 0.9 0.1 -1.3 -1.3
Fumbles / G 1.4 0.9 -0.6 1.4 1.4 0.0 0.0 -0.5 -0.6
Intercept / G 0.9 1.0 0.1 1.0 1.9 0.9 0.1 -0.9 -0.8
Turnover % 2.8 2.7 -0.1 3.3 4.6 1.4 0.5 -1.9 -1.5
Fumble % 4.2 2.6 -1.6 3.7 4.0 0.3 -0.5 -1.4 -1.9
Intercept % 1.8 2.9 1.0 2.8 5.2 2.4 1.0 -2.3 -1.4

Who's Who between the 2 teams

Players Ranked Among Top 50 Within an NCAA Statistical Category(2002)

Washington
Rank Category Player Value Units
2Total OffenseCody Pickett363.40yds/g
5Field GoalsJohn Anderson1.71fg/g
17Passing EfficiencyCody Pickett144.8rtg pts
31ScoringJohn Anderson8.29pts/g

Arizona St
Rank Category Player Value Units
6Receiving YardsShaun McDonald117.63yds/g
8Passing EfficiencyAndrew Walter153.9rtg pts
11ReceptionsShaun McDonald6.88rec/g
16Field GoalsMike Barth1.5fg/g
20PuntingTim Parker42.4yds @
23InterceptionsR.J. Oliver0.5int/g
25ScoringMike Barth8.63pts/g
31Total OffenseAndrew Walter245yds/g
45Kickoff ReturnsHakim Hill23yds @

Other team tidbits:

Category /strong>
Washington

Arizona St
Average Height 6'2" 6'1"
Average Weight 234 lbs 233 lbs
% Seniors 14% 19%
Average Experience 1.63 yrs 2.06 yrs
% In State 50% 29%
Top States WA-54 CA-38
CA-28 AZ-27
HI-5 TX-7
Total Players 107 93
Data current as of October 21, 2002
Direct any questions about accuracy to
pthrapp@dawgman.com

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