Huskies Favored, but by 26 Points?

For only the second time all season the Washington Huskies will be entering a game as favorites. The bookies have set the points at 26 and considering that Washington hasn't even scored 26 points in seven of their 10 games, they must be thinking the Washington State Cougars are really bad. They are probably right, if statistics are your thing.

The Cougars aren't just bad statistically; they're terrible, awful, and almost unbelievably so in some categories: They average less than two touchdowns per game and give up almost seven. Opponents average well over 500 yards per game, which is almost double the Cougars' output. They have played three quarterbacks and are dead last in 23 of 33 statistical categories. They have lost more fumbles, thrown more interceptions, and given up the most sacks (by almost 20) than anyone in the conference. They're also the worst in the Pac-10 when it comes to forcing sacks, scoring touchdowns and kicking field goals.

Still, putting the Huskies as nearly a four-touchdown favorite seems a bit of a stretch considering they have dropped four in a row and six of their last seven games. The Huskies have only scored 17, 19, 23, and 21 points in each of their last four games, but they are going to win by 26? Go figure.

They do have a nice punter in Reid Forrest, who averages almost 45 yards per attempt and unfortunately for WSU has had to punt over 20 more times than any other punter in the league. He can stick 60-yarders or rugby kick on the run. He might be their best player.

Obviously, who they play at quarterback will largely determine in what they do on offense. Should they start their true freshman, Jeff Tuel, then we are liable to see more of a running quarterback. I think they want to run the no huddle, shotgun spread, read-option game that Oregon does and Tuel appears to be their best runner and passer for that matter.

I know who they won't start, and that is Marshall Lobbestael, who looked like a deer in headlights in his last appearance against UCLA, throwing three interceptions in his first five passes and damn near another that was dropped. He was terrible and was replaced by Kevin Lopina, a senior who will likely get the start because WSU Head Coach Paul Wulff said earlier this week that he would. But Steve Sarkisian and his staff are also preparing to see Tuel.

I would imagine that if he can play, Tuel will be their guy. Considering they are trying to win their third-straight Apple Cup he will be called upon early, even if he doesn't start. The Cougars have never won three in a row against Washington in the history of a rivalry that started in 1900 with a tie score of 5-5 (figure that one out).

Coach Wulff had praise for his offensive line coming out of their last game against Oregon State game, and considering how that unit has been decimated by injuries that is a positive for whoever the quarterback is.

The key to beating the Cougs seems to be blitzing them in the first quarter. Every team this year has blasted them in the opening stanza. Arizona took shot after shot at the Cougar corners until they finally burned them deep. Of course returning the opening kickoff helped, but that game was over by the end of the first quarter. Washington would do well to score touchdowns and not field goals early on and try to gain some early momentum.

Most teams have found success at running the ball right at the Cougar defenders, who are so thin they have been forced to use an odd-man front simply because they don't have enough defensive linemen.

The Cougars have also given up lots of yards on kick returns, but considering the Huskies' return game it hardly looks like an advantage area for the home team. They also have an average kicker (Grasu) who can miss at any range, so that might help the Huskies as well.

Rivalry games are always unpredictable and it still goes back to respect. When you don't have that for your opponent is when you get beat. The Husky coaches would do well to hide the statistics and let the Dawgs simply watch film.

There should be close to a full stadium if it doesn't absolutely pour (30 percent chance of rain, high of 49) and this game is always a toss up anyway. Washington would do well to play within itself on offense and let Chris Polk soften WSU up with slams into the line and an occasional bounce outside. He should get at least 20 carries and Washington should win

But by 26? I don't know.

I'm not going to say that the Huskies have the best player going into the game because I don't want to jinx it. I'll just say hand the ball off to Polk and occasionally let the quarterback run it himself. That, and have it put away by the start of the fourth quarter, or anything can and will happen - because this is the Apple Cup and that's just the way it is.


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","mobileBody":"The Cougars aren't just bad statistically; they're terrible, awful, and almost unbelievably so in some categories: They average less than two touchdowns per game and give up almost seven. Opponents average well over 500 yards per game, which is almost double the Cougars' output. They have played three quarterbacks and are dead last in 23 of 33 statistical categories. They have lost more fumbles, thrown more interceptions, and given up the most sacks (by almost 20) than anyone in the conference. They're also the worst in the Pac-10 when it comes to forcing sacks, scoring touchdowns and kicking field goals.

Still, putting the Huskies as nearly a four-touchdown favorite seems a bit of a stretch considering they have dropped four in a row and six of their last seven games. The Huskies have only scored 17, 19, 23, and 21 points in each of their last four games, but they are going to win by 26? Go figure.

They do have a nice punter in Reid Forrest, who averages almost 45 yards per attempt and unfortunately for WSU has had to punt over 20 more times than any other punter in the league. He can stick 60-yarders or rugby kick on the run. He might be their best player.

Obviously, who they play at quarterback will largely determine in what they do on offense. Should they start their true freshman, Jeff Tuel, then we are liable to see more of a running quarterback. I think they want to run the no huddle, shotgun spread, read-option game that Oregon does and Tuel appears to be their best runner and passer for that matter.

I know who they won't start, and that is Marshall Lobbestael, who looked like a deer in headlights in his last appearance against UCLA, throwing three interceptions in his first five passes and damn near another that was dropped. He was terrible and was replaced by Kevin Lopina, a senior who will likely get the start because WSU Head Coach Paul Wulff said earlier this week that he would. But Steve Sarkisian and his staff are also preparing to see Tuel.

I would imagine that if he can play, Tuel will be their guy. Considering they are trying to win their third-straight Apple Cup he will be called upon early, even if he doesn't start. The Cougars have never won three in a row against Washington in the history of a rivalry that started in 1900 with a tie score of 5-5 (figure that one out).

Coach Wulff had praise for his offensive line coming out of their last game against Oregon State game, and considering how that unit has been decimated by injuries that is a positive for whoever the quarterback is.

The key to beating the Cougs seems to be blitzing them in the first quarter. Every team this year has blasted them in the opening stanza. Arizona took shot after shot at the Cougar corners until they finally burned them deep. Of course returning the opening kickoff helped, but that game was over by the end of the first quarter. Washington would do well to score touchdowns and not field goals early on and try to gain some early momentum.

Most teams have found success at running the ball right at the Cougar defenders, who are so thin they have been forced to use an odd-man front simply because they don't have enough defensive linemen.

The Cougars have also given up lots of yards on kick returns, but considering the Huskies' return game it hardly looks like an advantage area for the home team. They also have an average kicker (Grasu) who can miss at any range, so that might help the Huskies as well.

Rivalry games are always unpredictable and it still goes back to respect. When you don't have that for your opponent is when you get beat. The Husky coaches would do well to hide the statistics and let the Dawgs simply watch film.

There should be close to a full stadium if it doesn't absolutely pour (30 percent chance of rain, high of 49) and this game is always a toss up anyway. Washington would do well to play within itself on offense and let Chris Polk soften WSU up with slams into the line and an occasional bounce outside. He should get at least 20 carries and Washington should win

But by 26? I don't know.

I'm not going to say that the Huskies have the best player going into the game because I don't want to jinx it. I'll just say hand the ball off to Polk and occasionally let the quarterback run it himself. That, and have it put away by the start of the fourth quarter, or anything can and will happen - because this is the Apple Cup and that's just the way it is.

[MEDIA:752869]

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