Prediction: Hawaii vs. No.22 Wisconsin

BadgerNation looks at the matchup between Wisconsin and Hawaii at Camp Randall Stadium Saturday night.

Hawaii (2-1, 0-0 Mountain West Conference) vs. No.22 Wisconsin (2-1, 0-0 Big Ten)

Date/Time - Saturday, September 26 at 7:12 p.m. CT

Stadium –Camp Randall Stadium (80,321/FieldTurf)

Television –Big Ten Network (Joe Beninati, J. Lehman and Jay Wilson)

Radio - Wisconsin Radio Network (Matt Lepay, Mike Lucas and Mark Tauscher)

Series –Wisconsin leads 5-1 (Wisconsin leads 1-0 in Madison)

Last Meeting - Wisconsin won, 51-10, on December 5, 2009 at Honolulu

Series Notes

Saturday will mark the fourth meeting between Hawaii and Wisconsin since 2000. The only nonconference opponent UW has faced more often in that time frame is UNLV (six games). The Badgers also have faced Fresno State and Northern Illinois four times each since 2000.

Wisconsin claimed the teams’ only previous meeting in Madison, a 28-7 victory for the Badgers in 1987.

The Badgers are 6-2 in games vs. Mountain West Conference teams, with their last matchup with the league a 51-17 win over UNLV in 2011. Including the six teams that have been added to the league since 2011, Wisconsin is 28-7 all-time vs. the current membership of the Mountain West Conference.

Saturday's game marks the fifth time a UH team plays two members of the Big Ten Conference in the same season. Most recently, the Rainbow Warriors did it in consecutive seasons from 2004-2005. Two of the previous seasons have included Wisconsin as well. Across those four years, against Big Ten teams UH has gone: 2-0 twice, 1-1 once and 0-2 twice. This will be the first time both games will be played on the road.

UH is 6-14 in home games vs. the Big Ten and 2-5 on the road. In its last eight meetings vs. Big Ten opponents, UH is 3-5 with wins over Northwestern (2004), Michigan State (2004), and Purdue (2006).

First-year UW defensive backs coach Daronte’ Jones joined the Badgers after spending the last three seasons as secondary coach at Hawaii under Rainbow Warriors head coach Norm Chow.

Wisconsin defensive coordinator Dave Aranda spent four seasons on the staff at Hawaii from 2008-11 under previous head coach Greg McMackin. Aranda was UH’s defensive line coach in 2008 and 2009 before taking over as defensive coordinator in 2010 and 2011. Aranda’s 2010 defense led the nation in turnovers (38).

Wisconsin defensive line coach Inoke Breckterfield is a native of Kaneohe, Hawai’i. Kaneohe is located on the east side of Oahu, less than 15 miles from the University of Hawaii campus in Honolulu. UW redshirt freshman OL Micah Kapoi, who earned his first career start last week vs. Troy, is a native of Kapolei, Hawai’i. Kapolei is located on Oahu, just west of Honolulu.

Wisconsin Note to Consider

The Badgers are 37-30 all-time in night games, including a 12-5 mark at Camp Randall Stadium.

Among teams that have played two home games, the Badgers are tied with Illinois for the fewest points allowed at home this season (3). Since Dave Aranda took over as UW’s defensive coordinator in 2013, the Badgers have allowed an average of 11.4 points per game at home — the best mark of any FBS team in that time frame.

In its last eight non-conference home games, Wisconsin has held its opponents to an average of 6.3 points per game — including four games in which the Badgers have not surrendered a touchdown.

Stave’s 67.4% completion percentage ranks behind only RutgersChris Laviano among Big Ten quarterbacks this season. His pass efficiency rating of 150.86 is third-best in the league, behind Indiana’s Nate Sudfeld (164.46) and Michigan State’s Connor Cook (154.39).

Hawaii Notes to Consider

In 2014, UH posted its fourth consecutive non-winning season and fifth in the last six seasons. Hawaii’s last winning season occurred in 2010 (10-4) and the last time UH has posted four straight non-winning seasons was from 1994-98.

UH has notched 10 wins versus teams from the Power 5 conferences since 2003—placing them sixth among non-Power 5 schools in that span.

Seven of UH’s 13 opponents in 2015 made appearances last year in postseason play. All seven participated in FBS bowl games, with Ohio State earning two opportunities and the first College Football Playoff title.

Key Matchup

Prediction

Worgull's Predictions

Straight up: 3-0

Against the Spread: 3-0


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