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Scout.com updates its projections for the 2016 N.C.A.A. tournament

In his ninth year doing bracketology, Scout.com's Kyle Reichert updates his bracket for the 2016 N.C.A.A. men's basketball tournament.

Kyle Reichert/Scout.com

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We are officially less than a month away from Selection Sunday and past the halfway point of conference play. As has been the case all season, parity reigns supreme in college basketball. While the top of the bracket has remained largely unchanged over the past several weeks, the bubble is changing on a nightly basis.

In the most notable upset of the past weekend, Wisconsin blew past Maryland in College Park. This win vaulted the Badgers into the field, and Wisconsin has a great opportunity to extend its consecutive NCAA Tournament appearance streak to 18.

Duke has rebounded nicely after a rocky start to ACC play. The Blue Devils fell all the way down to the seven line on the projection in January, but a last-second win over Virginia Saturday put Duke back on the four seed line, much more familiar territory for a Coach K team.

Kentucky is another traditional power seems to have righted the ship after struggling early on. After routing South Carolina Saturday, Kentucky joins Duke on the four seed line. The blowout loss for the Gamecocks can be seen as the culmination of a month of exposure. South Carolina rode a hot start in nonconference play to put themselves in good position in the field, but five SEC losses are starting to carry more weight relative to the weak nonconference schedule. The relatively weak SEC is benefiting from an overall weak bubble, as the conference currently has six bids in the projected field.

Some games with bubble implications to keep an eye on in the coming days: Wisconsin at Michigan State, SMU at Connecticut, Cincinnati at Tulsa, Utah at UCLA, California at Washington, Florida at South Carolina, Georgia at Vanderbilt, Xavier at Georgetown, St. Bonaventure at Dayton, Pittsburgh at Syracuse, Butler at Villanova, Connecticut at Cincinnati, Stanford at Washington, Texas Tech at Oklahoma State, Saint Mary’s at Gonzaga, Colorado at UCLA.

As always, stay tuned to @ScoutBrackets on Twitter as I offer my opinions on how the bracket is impacted by the daily action. 


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