The bubble has been scrutinized for weeks and now we are about to find out what the committee values. Who’s in and who’s out?
Syracuse, despite hiccup city in the ACC tournament, and USC remain in the field in accordance with the committee’s recent trend of favoring power conference teams over mid-major teams with solid win/loss records. The main opportunity for a bid steal lies with Rhode Island today. If they can beat VCU, the Rams will claim the A-10 auto bid and knock Syracuse out of our projection.
Illinois State will likely end up on the outside looking in due to a lack of top-50 RPI wins. If the Redbirds end up in the field, it will be a significant departure from the recent trend of power conference teams with quality wins.
In the Big Ten, Wisconsin and Michigan meet for the championship, and the Badgers are back in the mix for a five or six seed. In a down year for one of the traditional power conferences, the Big Ten will likely not have any team among the top four seed lines. As we’ve learned in the past few years, the outcome of the B1G championship game likely has little to no impact on the seed list.
Be sure to tune into the Selection Show on CBS, and follow along on Twitter with @ScoutBrackets to see how our projection stacks up to the actual bracket.
Teams that won or are projected to win automatic bids in parentheses
|1. Villanova (Big East)||1. North Carolina|
|16. Kent State (MAC) vs. UC Davis (Big West)||16. North Carolina Central (MEAC) vs. North Orleans (Southland)|
|8. Miami (Fl)||8. Northwestern|
|9. Oklahoma State||9. Seton Hall|
|5. Virginia||5. Purdue|
|12. UT Arlington (Sun Belt)||12. Nevada (MWC)|
|4. Iowa State (Big 12)||4. Notre Dame|
|13. Bucknell (Patriot)||13. East Tennessee State (SoCon)|
|6. Cincinnati||6. Creighton|
|11. Marquette||11. Wake Forest|
|3. Florida||3. UCLA|
|14. Northern Kentucky (Horizon)||14. Florida Gulf Coast (Atlantic Sun)|
|7. Maryland||7. Wichita State (MVC)|
|10. VCU (A-10)||10. Michigan State|
|2. Duke (ACC)||2. Baylor Bears|
|15. Mount Saint Mary's (NEC)||15. North Dakota (Big Sky)|
|1. Gonzaga (WCC)||1. Kansas|
|16. Jacksonville State (OVC)||16. South Dakota State (Summit)|
|8. Arkansas||8. Virginia Tech|
|9. South Carolina||9. Dayton|
|5. West Virginia||5. SMU (AAC)|
|12. UNC Wilmington (CAA)||12. Kansas State vs. USC|
|4. Butler||4. Florida State|
|13. Vermont (America East)||13. Princeton (Ivy)|
|6. Wisconsin (B1G)||6. Minnesota|
|11. Xavier||11. Providence vs. Syracuse|
|3. Louisville||3. Oregon|
|14. Winthrop (Big South)||14. New Mexico State (WAC)|
|7. Saint Mary's||7. Michigan|
|10. Vanderbilt||10. Middle Tennessee (CUSA)|
|2. Arizona||2. Kentucky (SEC)|
|15. Iona (MAAC)||15. Texas Southern (SWAC)|