Capital One Bowl By the Numbers

Badgermaniac breaks down the 2007 Capital One Bowl matchup between the Wisconsin Badgers and the Arkansas Razorbacks. Today's focus is the passing offense of Wisconsin against the passing defense of Arkansas.

Over the next few weeks, I will be attempting to break down some of the numbers for the 2007 Capital One Bowl adversaries by comparing various numbers against the team's opposition in order to control for the opposition that each team faced. For instance, holding Purdue and their 30 PPG average to 3 points is much more impressive than holding Buffalo and their 20 PPG to 3 points. I have tossed out the games involving the respective teams and compared each game result to an expected average total given the opponent.

In today's analysis, I take a look at the Wisconsin passing attack vs. the Arkansas passing defense. Note that both teams played a 1-AA team, which have been thrown out of the numbers due to those teams playing in a totally different context.

Wisconsin Passing Offense

Passing Offense

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Opponent

ATT

COMP

%

YDS

TD

INT

YPA

SCK

SCK%

Bowling Green

15

9

0.60

124

1

1

8.3

1

0.06

Avg. Game

25.3

16.3

0.64

178.8

14

11

7.1

2.5

0.09

SD State

23

12

0.52

85

1

0

3.7

5

0.18

Avg. Game

24.7

14.8

0.60

179.5

21

9

7.3

0.9

0.04

Michigan

43

22

0.51

248

1

0

5.8

4

0.09

Avg. Game

36.4

19.4

0.53

207.8

14

12

5.7

3.4

0.09

Indiana

23

18

0.78

330

3

1

14.3

0

0.00

Avg. Game

26.8

16.2

0.60

219

26

12

8.2

1.3

0.05

Northwestern

21

16

0.76

220

1

1

10.5

1

0.05

Avg. Game

29

17.6

0.61

202.7

13

10

7.0

2

0.06

Minnesota

19

12

0.63

193

4

0

10.2

2

0.10

Avg. Game

32.7

20.2

0.62

259

18

16

7.9

1.9

0.05

Purdue

22

13

0.59

201

0

1

9.1

3

0.12

Avg. Game

34.1

20.9

0.61

246.1

18

10

7.2

2.3

0.06

Illinois

26

15

0.58

217

2

1

8.3

1

0.04

Avg. Game

28.1

15.5

0.55

179.1

9

9

6.4

1.8

0.06

PSU

26

16

0.62

174

1

0

6.7

4

0.13

Avg. Game

34.3

18.5

0.54

192.7

9

12

5.6

3.1

0.08

Iowa

24

17

0.71

228

2

0

9.5

1

0.04

Avg. Game

32.6

18

0.55

199.6

16

14

6.1

1.8

0.05

Buffalo

27

16

0.59

308

2

1

11.4

3

0.10

Avg. Game

22.5

15.3

0.68

196.3

19

9

8.7

2

0.08

UW Games

269

166

0.62

2328

18

6

8.7

25

0.09

 

24.5

15.1

 

211.6

 

 

 

 

 

Avg Games

327

193

0.59

2261

177

124

6.9

23

0.07

 

29.7

17.5

 

205.5

 

 

 

 

 

The Badger offense averaged 15 completions on 24 attempts (62%) for 212 yards per game. Their TD/INT ratio was 18-6. They averaged 8.7 yards per attempt and allowed sacks on 9 percent of their attempts.

Wisconsin opponents typically allowed 18 completions on 30 attempts (59%) for 206 yards per game. Their TD/INT ratio was 177/124. They allowed 6.9 yards per attempt and sacked the QB on 7% of the passing attempts.

So what does it mean? Well, Wisconsin typically threw the ball a little less than the opponents were used to, which makes sense for a team that won 11 games. The picked up about 3% in terms of completion percentage and nearly 2 yards per pass attempt, both very solid numbers. Their TD/INT ratio of 3-1 was also a nice step up from the expected 1.5-1 that their opponents typically allowed. The only stat of worry is the sacks allowed total. Wisconsin's pass protection was actually below average as they allowed sacks on 2% more of their passing attempts than would have been expected given the opposition.

They began the year with two pretty poor games against Bowling Green and San Diego State before getting things going a bit against Michigan and then rattling of some exceptional games in the middle of the season and through the end of the schedule.

Continued in Part B....


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