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Fantasy Baseball Week 12: NL Closer Report

Senior Fantasy Baseball Expert Shawn Childs takes an in-depth look at the backend of each team's bullpen in the National League.

NL East

Atlanta Braves

Saves have been tough to come by for the Braves in 2016 due short wins (22) after 68 games. Arodys Vizcaino has been successful in eight of his ten save tries. He only has one save chance in the last week. Vizcaino hasn’t allowed a run in his last 3.1 innings with six Ks. His ERA (2.08) remains in a winning area with some risk in his WHIP (1.25) due to 14 walks in 30.1 innings. Jim Johnson picked up a save on June 18th. He improved his scoreless streak to seven innings with no walks and five Ks. Johnson still has a poor ERA (5.16) and WHIP (1.32). Hunter Cervenka hasn’t allowed a run in his last 4.3 innings to lower his ERA to 2.95. The Braves are 22nd in the majors in bullpen ERA (4.37) after 69 games with ten wins, 15 losses, and 12 saves.

Miami Marlins

Miami sits 12th in baseball in bullpen ERA (3.73) after 71 games with 13 wins, 14 losses, and 26 saves. A.J. Ramos remains perfect in his 22 save chances with a plus ERA (1.84). Ramos hasn’t allowed a run in his last five innings with six Ks. David Phelps gave up a game-tying two-run homer on June 21st to end his five-inning shutout streak. His arm has some regression in his last 15 games (3.94 ERA with 18 Ks in 16 innings). Kyle Barraclough has 51 Ks in 28.2 innings leading to success in ERA (3.14), but he still issues too many walks (22) leading to failure in his WHIP (1.43). Since returning from the DL, Mike Dunn allowed two runs and nine baserunners in 7.1 innings with eight Ks.

New York Mets

Jeurys Familia extended his shutout streak to 6.2 innings with nine Ks and five saves. Familia has yet to blow a save chance in 23 opportunities. He lowered his ERA to 3.18 with 33 Ks in 34 innings. Addison Reed has struggled in three of his last five games (four runs and seven baserunners in four innings with two Ks). Hansel Robles has pitched extended innings in three of his last five games (nine innings with two runs, 16 baserunners, and 13 Ks).Jerry Blevins hasn’t allowed a run in his last 12 innings with 14 Ks. New York continues to have one of the better bullpen ERAs (3.11 – 3rd) in the league. After 69 games, they have nine wins, nine losses, and 24 saves.

Philadelphia Phillies

http://www.scout.com/player/88590-jeanmar-gomez?s=532

The Phillies’ bullpen had a nice rise in their success in May, but they have slid to 24th in bullpen ERA (4.44) after 71 games with ten wins, nine losses, and 21 saves. Jeanmar Gomez hasn’t had a save since June 7th. Over his last six games, Gomez allowed four runs and 11 baserunners with six Ks.  Jeanmar is 19-for-21 in save conversions. David Hernandez turned into a wood tick in his last three games (eight runs and 12 baserunners in 3.1 innings with three Ks). Hector Neris has faded as well over his last 13 games (eight runs and 23 baserunners in 12.1 innings with 14 Ks. Since being called up from the minors, Severino Gonzalez allowed one run and five baserunners in 5.1 innings with six Ks. Over 33.1 innings at AAA in 2016, Severino had a 3.51 ERA with 25 Ks.

Washington Nationals

Shawn Kelley converted both of his save chances since Jonathan Papelbon went on the DL. Over his last four games, Kelley hasn’t allowed a run or hit in five innings with six Ks. Shawn started to fade on late May and early June when he allowed seven runs and eight baserunners in 5.2 innings with eight Ks. His success in 2016 (2.45 ERA and 0.82 WHIP with 35 Ks in 25.2 innings) is on track with his success in San Diego last year. Blake Treinen extended his shutout streak to 14.2 innings with 15 Ks. Blake has shown risk in baserunners allowed (12) in his last five innings of work. Sammy Solis has been tough to hit in his last 11 games (one run and seven hits in 13 innings with 19 Ks). There still isn’t a clear update on the length of Jonathan Papelbon’s injury. The Nationals fell to 7th in bullpen ERA (3.33) after 71 games with ten wins, nine losses, and 20 saves.

NL Central

Chicago Cubs

Chicago is 10th in bullpen ERA (3.39) after 66 games with eight wins, six losses, and 13 saves. Hector Rondon blew his first two save tries in 14 opportunities in 2016 over the last week. He’s allowed two runs and five baserunners in his last six innings with six strikeouts. Hector ranks poorly in saves due to weak chances as the Cubs continue to have the best scoring edge (+169 runs after 69 games) in baseball. Pedro Strop tosses three shutout innings over the last week with no walks and four Ks. Over his last 13 games, Strop has a 1.64 ERA with 18 Ks in 11 innings. Justin Grimm rebounded after a couple of poor games early in June (five runs and six baserunners in one-third of an inning) to throw four shutout innings with nine baserunners allowed). Trevor Cahill has pitched well over his last 11 games (2.19 ERA and 0.97 WHIP with 17 Ks in 12.1 innings.

Cincinnati Reds

Over his last six innings, Tony Cingrani hasn’t allowed a run with two walks, one K, and three saves. On the year, Tony is 8-for-13 save conversions with a 3.69 ERA, but he’s allowed 19 walks in 31.2 innings. I fully expect Raisel Iglesias to emerge as the Reds closer over the second half of the year. He returned from the DL on June 21st when he threw two shutout innings. Over 30.1 innings in 2016, Raisel has a 3.26 ERA with 29 Ks. J.J. Hoover has pitched much better since he returned from the DL (no runs in five innings with four Ks). Cincinnati has the worst bullpen ERA (5.99) in the major after 70 games with 13 wins, 18 losses, and 12 saves.

Milwaukee Brewers

Jeremy Jeffress hasn’t thrown the ball well in his last six games (three runs and 13 baserunners over five innings with four Ks), but he picked up four saves. On the year, Jeremy has been successful in 19 of his 20 save opportunities. Tyler Thornburg had his 13.2 innings shutout streak end on June 17th when he allowed a HR. Tyler struggled in his next game as well (one run and four baserunners in two-thirds of an inning). Overall, Thornburg has a 3.07 ERA and 42 Ks in 29.1 innings. Will Smith hasn’t been sharp in his last five games (two runs and eight baserunners over five innings with 5 Ks). The Brewers rank 21st in bullpen ERA (4.24) after 71 games with ten wins, 11 losses, and 23 saves.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh continues to rank poorly in bullpen ERA (4.37) after 70 games with seven wins, ten losses, and 22 saves. Mark Melancon improved his scoreless streak to 9.2 innings with seven Ks. Mark is 20-for-21 in save conversions with strength in his ERA (1.59) while delivering short strikeouts (22 in 28.2 innings). Tony Watson is back on the uptick after getting drilled for seven runs and eight baserunners in 2.1 innings in three games in June. Watson hasn’t allowed a run in his last five innings with six Ks. Just like his struggles early in the year, the Pirates have limited the innings for Neftali Feliz over his last three games (1.2 innings with no runs allowed and no Ks).

St. Louis Cardinals

http://www.scout.com/player/133929-trevor-rosenthal?s=532

Somehow Trevor Rosenthal remains the top option in the bullpen for the Cardinals. Over his last six games, Trevor allowed five runs and 14 baserunners in four innings with six Ks, three saves, a blown save, and a loss. In his last 14 games, Rosenthal has an 8.18 ERA and 2.36 WHIP. Even with his tightrope approach to the 9th inning, Trevor has been successful in 14 of his 16 save opportunities. Seung-Hwan Oh has only allowed one run in his last seven innings with 10 Ks, but St. Louis refuses to give him a job upgrade. On the year, OH’s allowed only 30 baserunners in 37 innings with 50 Ks in 37 innings. Kevin Siegrist hasn’t allowed a run in his last three innings with two Ks. His arm is also viable for saves when someone finally kicks the chair out from under Rosenthal. St. Louis is 13th in bullpen ERA (3.80) after 69 games with 12 wins, seven losses, and 15 saves.

NL West

Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona is 18th in bullpen ERA (3.98) after 72 games with seven wins, ten losses, and 18 saves. Brad Ziegler has pitched his best ball over his last 11.1 innings (one run and nine baserunners with eight Ks). Brad still hasn’t blown a save in his 15 opportunities. After Ziegler pitched in three straight games, Daniel Hudson finally had a chance to earn a save on June 21st. He threw a clean inning leading to a save. Over his last five games, Hudson hasn’t allowed a run or hit in 4.1 innings with two strikeouts. His 2016 resume (1.55 ERA and 0.76 WHIP) still points to a possible closing opportunity down the road unless he’s traded. Tyler Clippard bounced back after bad run over four games in June (five runs and seven baserunners in 3.2 innings) to toss 3.1 shutout innings in his last four games with three Ks. Jake Barrett has a 1.80 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over his last ten innings with 12 Ks including three straight shutout innings.

Colorado Rockies

Carlos Estevez extended his shutout streak to seven innings with four hits allowed and eight strikeouts, which coincides with the DL move for Jake McGee. Estevez has converted all four of his save chances over the last two weeks. McGee has been long tossing over the last week, but there is still no clear update on his return. Jason Motte hasn’t allowed a run in his last seven innings with only one hit allowed in his last six innings. Since returning from the DL, Jason has a 1.80 ERA with 11 Ks in 10 innings. Miguel Castro hasn’t looked sharp since returning from the minors (three runs and five baserunners over the last two innings). Colorado is 25th in bullpen ERA (4.48) after 70 games with nine wins, nine losses, and 20 saves.

Los Angeles Dodgers

LA moved to second in the majors in bullpen ERA (3.01) after 70 games with 15 wins, 12 losses, and 21 saves. Kenley Jansen improved his shutout streak to six innings with 10 Ks. Jansen is 21-for-24 in save conversions with three wins. His ERA (1.48) and WHIP (0.69) remain in an elite area. Pedro Baez allowed two runs on June 16th over two innings to end his 7.1 innings scoreless streak. Over his last 13 games, Pedro has a 1.80 ERA and 16 Ks in 15 innings. The success of Joe Blanton has been a big part of the rise of the Dodgers’ bullpen. Over 37.2 innings, he’s allowed only 18 hits with 37 Ks. Joe hasn’t allowed a run in his last 6.1 innings with three Ks.

San Diego Padres

http://www.scout.com/player/50499-fernando-rodney?s=532

Fernando Rodney allowed his first run of the season in June 21st to end his 25.1 innings scoreless streak. He did pick up his 15th save in as many chances. Rodney has nine Ks in his last 5.1 innings with one run. He’s ERA dropped to 0.34 with success in his WHIP (0.90) as well. Ryan Buchter hasn’t allowed a run in his last 7.2 innings with 11 Ks. Buchter has 46 Ks in 31.2 innings with a career-best ERA (1.71). Kevin Quackenbush has allowed two runs and seven baserunners in 11 innings with six Ks since returning from the minors. The Padres still have risk in bullpen ERA (4.48 – 26th) after 72 games with 12 wins, nine losses, and 17 saves.

San Francisco Giants

The Giants are 14th in baseball in bullpen ERA (3.84) after 66 games with 14 wins, eight losses, and 19 saves. Santiago Casilla didn’t pitch over the last week due to leaving the ball club to have a baby. Casilla has been successful in 14 of his 18 save tries. Hunter Strickland still hasn’t looked closer worth in 2016. Over his last 14 games, Hunter has a 3.12 ERA with six Ks in 8.2 innings. With Santiago away from the team, Cory Gearrin earned a save on June 18th when he allowed a HR. Over his last 14 games, Cory allowed two runs and 11 baserunners in 12.2 innings with 14 Ks.


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