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NASCAR DFS: Quaker State 400 Post-Qualifying

Qualifying has been cancelled due to severe storms so the lineup for this week's Quaker State 400 has been determined another way. With that in mind, NASCAR DFS Expert Brian Polking points out the top drivers to target on DraftKings!

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Quaker State 400

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Qualifying for the Quaker State 400 at Kentucky Speedway was originally scheduled for Friday evening, but Mother Nature had other ideas. Severe weather hammered the 1.5-mile oval early in the day, and NASCAR opted to cancel qualifying early with the hope of adding additional practice time at some point.

As a result of qualifying being washed out, the starting lineup will be set by owner points, putting Kevin Harvick on the pole with Brad Keselowski joining him on the front row. Kurt Busch, Joey Logano, and Carl Edwards will round out the top five.

The field being set by owner points also benefits Tony Stewart. He ranks 30th in driver points, but he will start 22nd based on the owner points for the No. 14 car. On the flip side, Ty Dillon will be forced to start based on the No 95 team's owner points, which has him rolling off 30th.

From a fantasy standpoint, the rain can make lineup decisions harder. After all, the drivers that are typically the strongest are now all starting at the front of the field, so there are several strong candidates to dominate the laps led and fastest laps run categories.

Also, all the middle-tier options are now bunched together in the middle of the pack, giving all these drivers nearly identical potential through the place differential category.

Throw in the repaved, reconfigured track and the new aerodynamic package being used this weekend, and roster decisions aren't going to be easy this weekend. Fortunately, Scout Fantasy is here to help, and with the starting lineup locked in for Saturday night's race, it's time to take a closer look at the drivers to target for your DFS NASCAR lineups at DraftKings.

Must-Own Drivers

Kevin Harvick ($10,600)

Harvick has yet to have a dominant run at Kentucky, but Mother Nature has him starting on the pole at a repaved track. Plus, he does have back-to-back top 10s at Kentucky, and he has top 10s in all five races at 1.5-mile tracks in 2016. Track position should be huge on the new pavement, and Harvick could parlay the pole into a dominating performance Saturday night.

Kyle Busch ($10,200)

His numbers at Kentucky are second to none. His two wins here are tied for the most of any driver, and his 3.8 average finish, five top five finishes and 437 laps led at the track are all tops in the series. Busch has also led more than 100 laps in three of his five starts here. Busch will roll off sixth Saturday night, so he could be at the front of the field in short order on his way to piling up points in the laps led and fastest laps run categories.

Brad Keselowski ($9,800)

Keselowski's numbers at Kentucky speak for themselves. He is a two-time winner here, and he has led 408 laps in five starts here, leading more than 60 laps in four different times. Rain has Keselowski starting on the front row, so he is in prime position to add to his impressive resume here by dominating the laps led and fastest laps run categories.

Value Plays

Matt Kenseth ($8,700)

Kenseth will start 11th based on owner points, but in five previous starts at Kentucky, he has never finished worse than seventh. In fact, he has never finished worse than fifth in three starts at the track with Joe Gibbs Racing. Armed with one of the best records of any driver at Kentucky and a bit of upside through place differential, Kenseth could provide high-end production at a slightly discounted price.

Kyle Larson ($8,300)

His luck at Kentucky has been awful, but after posting a top five time in second practice, Larson appeared to have a shot at his second straight pole at the track. Instead, rain hit, saddling him with the 20th-place starting spot. He is a boom-or-bust option, but with a legit chance to crack the top five and add 15-plus points to his final score through place differential, Larson deserves your attention in GPP games.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. ($6,800)

Stenhouse has enjoyed a strong season at the 1.5-mile tracks, and his excellent practice times suggest that he is more than capable of backing up his 11th-place run at Kentucky last year. However, the rain will force him to start 21st, which gives Stenhouse added upside through the place differential category. He has 40-point potential at DraftKings.

Paul Menard ($6,700)

Menard has posted back-to-back top 15s at Kentucky, and he has shown solid speed in the practice sessions this weekend. With qualifying being rained out, he will have to start 24th, but a solid finish and a place differential of around +10 could be on tap. Menard could approach 40 fantasy points this weekend, making him an intriguing roster addition in any format.

Ty Dillon ($6,400)

With qualifying being set by owner points, Dillon becomes a must-own driver in cash games. He starts 30th, and he has cracked the top 25 in all seven of his Cup starts this year, finishing in the top 20 in two previous starts at 1.5-mile tracks. Dillon offers a safe floor for a great price.

Sleeper Special

Brian Scott ($5,800)

It has been a very underwhelming year for Scott, he is your best bet if you are looking for a driver priced below $6,000 at DraftKings. He starts 32nd, so he is nearly guaranteed to log a positive place differential as long as he keeps his car on the track. Scott should at least be able to challenge for a top 25 and provide 20-plus fantasy points.

2016 Quaker State 400 Starting Lineup 

Pos

No.

Driver

Sponsor

Make

1

4

Kevin Harvick

Busch Light

Chevrolet

2

2

Brad Keselowski

Miller Lite

Ford

3

41

Kurt Busch

Monster Energy/Haas Automation

Chevrolet

4

22

Joey Logano

Shell-Pennzoil/Autotrader

Ford

5

19

Carl Edwards

ARRIS Surfboard

Toyota

6

18

Kyle Busch

M&M's 75th Anniversary

Toyota

7

78

Martin Truex Jr.

Furniture Row

Toyota

8

24

Chase Elliott

NAPA Auto Parts

Chevrolet

9

48

Jimmie Johnson

Lowe's

Chevrolet

10

11

Denny Hamlin

FedEx Freight

Toyota

11

20

Matt Kenseth

Dollar General

Toyota

12

3

Austin Dillon

Dow

Chevrolet

13

88

Dale Earnhardt Jr.

Nationwide

Chevrolet

14

31

Ryan Newman

Caterpillar

Chevrolet

15

21

Ryan Blaney

Motorcraft/Quick Lane Tire + Auto Center

Ford

16

1

Jamie McMurray

Cessna

Chevrolet

17

6

Trevor Bayne

AdvoCare

Ford

18

5

Kasey Kahne

Great Clips

Chevrolet

19

47

AJ Allmendinger

Kroger/Clorox

Chevrolet

20

42

Kyle Larson

Target

Chevrolet

21

17

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

Fifth Third Bank

Ford

22

14

Tony Stewart

Rush Truck Centers/Mobil 1

Chevrolet

23

16

Greg Biffle

KFC

Ford

24

27

Paul Menard

Sylvania/Menards

Chevrolet

25

15

Clint Bowyer

AccuDoc Solutions

Chevrolet

26

43

Aric Almirola

Smithfield

Ford

27

10

Danica Patrick

Nature’s Bakery

Chevrolet

28

13

Casey Mears

GEICO

Chevrolet

29

38

Landon Cassill

MDS Transport

Ford

30

95

Ty Dillon

Chevy Summer Sell Down

Chevrolet

31

23

David Ragan

Dr. Pepper

Toyota

32

44

Brian Scott

Medallion Bank

Ford

33

7

Regan Smith

Advanced Auto/Quaker State

Chevrolet

34

34

Chris Buescher

Love's Travel Stops

Ford

35

83

Matt DiBenedetto

Anest Iwata

Toyota

36

98

Cole Whitt

Speed Stick

Chevrolet

37

46

Michael Annett

Pilot Flying J

Chevrolet

38

32

Jeffrey Earnhardt

Keen Parts/Visone RV

Ford

39

55

Reed Sorenson

Unsponsored

Chevrolet

40

30

Josh Wise

Curtis Key Plumbing

Chevrolet


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