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Plays of the Day
Value: Yordano Ventura is turning around his season and tonight he’ll face a Tigers lineup that has scored the fewest runs (38) in the Majors over the last 14 days and should only continue to struggle with Miguel Cabrera (biceps) out for a few days. The Tigers are still posting one of the 10 highest K-Rates in the MLB this year and they'll send a RHP to the mound in Anibal Sanchez who has been routinely lit up this season, so Ventura seems to have a great chance to earn a third consecutive Win.
Fade: Jon Lester struggled the last time he faced the Brewers and it’s easy to understand why. Milwaukee has a host of RHB that excel against the platoon and might be the most aggressive team in the Majors on the base paths, while Lester simply can’t hold runners on first and will therefore get into trouble if he allows runners to reach.
- Chance of rain delays during games in Baltimore and Chicago (Cubs) tonight.
- Indians hosting RHP Anthony Ranaudo
- Rangers hosting LHP Sean Manaea
- Dodgers visiting RHP Jake Thompson
- Mariners visiting LHP Tyler Skaggs
- Royals visiting RHP Anibal Sanchez
Longshot Stack: Reds hosting RHP Andrew Cashner
Yu Darvish: (TEX) vs. OAK DK:$11,400/FD:$10,200
Darvish is an excellent cash game play right now and certainly a superior option in terms of safety when compared to the other expensive SPs at the top of the board in David Price and Jon Lester. The Rangers ace is rolling with a 2.72 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 11.89 K/9 ratio over his last 6 starts, which included much tougher matchups than a home tilt against the weak Athletics offense. Oakland is also sending a rookie LHP to the mound in Sean Manaea against a Rangers lineup that’s sporting the 3rd highest collective batting average (.275) in the Majors against lefties. That gives Darvish a great chance to earn his 4th Win of the year and he always has the ability to flash much more upside with double-digit strikeout potential.
Carlos Carrasco: (CLE) vs. CWS DK:$8,700/FD:$9,800
Carrasco was strangely under priced on DK ahead of his last start and he certainly paid off that price tag by going 7 strong innings to beat the Angels and produce 25 DK points. Tonight he’s relatively cheap once again and his Indians are heavily favored with a weak SP slated to go for the White Sox in young Anthony Ranaudo. Carrasco has been pitching much better since he overcame a slight hamstring injury and he's already posted a Quality Start in a meeting with the White Sox earlier this season. The White Sox are struggling to score with the 2nd fewest runs produced over the last 14 days and they don't have great collective splits against this flamethrower.
Yordano Ventura: (KC) @ DET DK:$7,800/FD:$8,200
Ventura came through as another excellent value play last week in a dominant effort against the Twins. He recorded 9 strikeouts while allowing 3 ER on 2 homers to earn a Win and produce 51 FanDuel points in that outing and is clearly turning it around after a controversial and disappointing first half to his season. Now he'll face a Tigers lineup that has scored the fewest runs (38) in the Majors over the last 14 days and should only continue to struggle with Miguel Cabrera (biceps) out for a few days. The Tigers are still posting one of the 10 highest K-Rates in the MLB this year and they'll send a RHP to the mound in Anibal Sanchez who has been routinely lit up this season, so Ventura seems to have a great chance to earn a third consecutive Win.
Dylan Bundy: (BAL) vs. BOS DK:$4,600/FD:$7,500
DraftKings continues to tempt DFSers with mediocre SP options at dirt cheap price tags, and Bundy is tonight’s longshot in a tough matchup against the slugging Red Sox. While Boston is the best offensive team in the Majors overall, several Sox batters are slowing down during the dog days of summer and Bundy has handled tough lineups with four consecutive quality outings against the Rockies, Rangers, White Sox and Giants. The rookie is 4-2 as a starter with a 2.93 ERA overall and he’s actually a tougher on lefties with a .224 BAA against the platoon, so perhaps he can hold David Ortiz and company in check while keeping the Orioles competitive in this important A.L. East clash.
Matt Wieters: (BAL) vs. BOS DK: $2,800/FD: $2,800
If you also like to save at the catcher position on DraftKings, Wieters might be your guy tonight. The Orioles host inconsistent LHP David Price at hitter-friendly Camden Yards, and Wieters is one of several batters on that team with extensive experience against the Red Sox ace, as he’s 15-for-50 (.300) with 6 doubles and a HR in his career against Price. Wieters has been streaky all year and he’s hot again with a .314 batting average over his last 10 appearances, highlighted by an impressive 5-for-5 performance on Monday. The switch hitter is a career .271 hitter against LHP and he’s a longshot to jump in on a rally or two if Price has another one of his trademark implosions.
Travis d’Arnaud ($3600/$2700) had a big game last night and will be worth a look tonight against rookie RHP Zack Godley.
Jonathan Lucroy ($4700/$3400) is a preferred option on FanDuel at that reasonable price tag and an elite GPP play if you can pay up at cathcer.
Mike Napoli: (CLE) vs. CWS DK:$5,000/FD:$3,800
The Indians offense is rolling right now and clearly an elite stacking option against weak RHP Anthony Ranuado. The White Sox young starter is sporting a rough 8.71 ERA over 3 appearances this year and a 6.09 ERA over 3 brief campaigns in the Majors. He’s coughing up a 20% HR/FB ratio to post a 9.43 FIP on the year and Napoli is a prime candidate to take him deep. The Indians RHB is slashing .405/.476/.676 with 4 doubles and 2 homers over his last 10 appearances and he’s hit safely in 14 straight. He’s been much more comfortable at Progressive Field with a .323 batting average and 19 of his 29 homers coming at home this year and is a strong play in any format against this vulnerable starting pitcher.
Eric Hosmer ($3300/$3300) broke out of a long drought with a homer last night and he’s worth a look as a cheap addition to a Royals stack against RHP Anibal Sanchez.
Adrian Gonzalez ($5200/$3100) is suddenly on fire for the Dodgers and he remains rather cheap on FanDuel, so give him a look in GPP formats against Phillies rookie RHP Jake Thompson.
Dee Gordon: (MIA) @ CIN DK:$4,900/FD:$3,500
It didn’t take Gordon long to re-establish his presence as a premier speed threat once again, as he now leads the Marlins with 14 stolen bases on the year despite missing more than half the season due to suspension. He’s 7-for-17 over his last 4 appearances to produce double-digit FPs in each outing and he draws a plus matchup with the platoon advantage this evening against RHP Homer Bailey. The Reds starter just posted some great numbers in a start against a strikeout-prone Brewers squad, but is still vulnerable against certain lefties and is one of the worst pitchers in the game when it comes to holding runners on first. Bailey has allowed a 74% success rate on stolen base attempts over his last 6 seasons in the Majors and if he lets Gordon reach, you can bet that the speedster will try to swipe second.
Robinson Cano ($3600/$3600) is suddenly very cheap on DraftKings, but he still has upside in a LvL matchup against Angels southpaw Tyler Skaggs.
Jason Kipnis ($5400/$3800) is expensive for good reason as he could jump in on an Indians rally or two against vulnerable RHP Anthony Ranaudo.
Adrian Beltre: (TEX) vs. OAK DK:$5,100/FD:$3,500
The Rangers should be licking their chops at the prospect of facing rookie LHP Sean Manaea at home tonight. The A's young starter is sporting a rough 6.88 ERA with a .317 BAA on the road and the Rangers happen to be one of the most deadly offenses for a lefty to face across the Majors this year, with Beltre and his .339 batting average against the platoon leading the way. He's always been a tough matchup for southpaws, and happens to be 3-for-6 against Manaea, while the Rangers are 20-for-62 (.323) as a stack against the inconsistent LHP.
Hernan Perez ($3300/$2700 as OF on FD) is a high-upside option tonight because of his ability to potentially steal against Cubs starter Jon Lester.
Jose Reyes ($4200/$2800 as SS on FD) continues to flash upside at a relatively modest price tag and he’ll face a struggling RHP tonight in Zack Godley.
Jonathan Villar: (MIL) vs. CHC DK:$5,000/FD:$4,000 as 3B
Apparently DraftKings had it right with their algorithms last night, because Villar went 0-for-4 and failed to meet the value of his severely diminished price tag. Now he’s priced at 5K for good reason, because he’s an easy candidate to steal a base off Jon Lester if he can reach tonight. Lester simply refuses to throw over to first because he’s a head case, and that’s a big reason why he’s allowed a startling 77 stolen bases over his last three seasons. Villar is the second-leading thief in the Majors with 46 stolen bags and he’s better against the platoon with a .325 batting average against LHP this year.
Xander Bogaerts ($3500/$3600) might be slumping, but he has no business in this price range on DK in a decent matchup against RHP Dylan Bundy.
Perhaps Shawn O’Malley ($3000/$2600 as OF on FD) will draw a start tonight with the Mariners facing LHP Tyler Skaggs.
Nelson Cruz: (SEA) vs. LAA DK:$4,900/FD:$3,700
It may seem redundant, but you simply have to consider Cruz anytime the Mariners are slated to face a vulnerable LHP. The slugger is on a bit of a tear with a .359/.444/.692 slash line and 3 HR over his last 10 appearances and he’s always been deadly against the platoon. Cruz is posting an eye-popping .352 ISO Mark with a .416 wOBA against LHP this year and he’s worth a look at this reasonable price tag even though he has yet to tag Angels southpaw Tyler Skaggs over 8 career at-bats.
Paulo Orlando: (KC) @ DET DK:$4,500/FD:$3,100
He's gone 0-for-8 over his last 2 appearances, but now is the time to go back to Orlando in a fantastic matchup. The Royals will face a struggling RHP tonight in Anibal Sanchez, who is sporting a 6.80 ERA with a .305 BAA over his last 10 appearances, as he followed up a rare Quality Start in 2016 with a horrendous outing in Texas last week. Sanchez has been worse in RvR matchups and Orlando is hitting all pitching with a .326 batting average, which should place him atop the Royals lineup and potentially at the head of a productive stack.
Brandon Guyer: (CLE) vs. CWS DK:$3,900/FD:$2,500
He's not just a platoon specialist, and we’ll see if the Indians coaching staff confirms that by slotting Guyer into the lineup tonight against vulnerable RHP Anthony Ranaudo. The former Rays outfielder is slashing .429/.520/.667 over his last 10 appearances, so it would be hard to seat him on the bench on a night where the Indians offense should roll. This is simply one of the best stacks to consider on Wednesday’s evening slate and Guyer could serve as a cheap addition.
Alex Gordon ($3600/$2900) is coming around for the Royals and will be worth a look with struggling RHP Anibal Sanchez on the mound.
There’s a chance that Franklin Gutierrez ($3400/$3200) cracks the Mariners lineup tonight as another RHB to stack against Skaggs.
Andrew Benintendi ($2500/$2800) remains dirt cheap on both main DFS sites and he’ll have the platoon advantage once again tonight.
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