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2016 San Francisco 49ers Coaching Tree

Fantasy Football Expert Joe Jefferson dives into the San Francisco 49ers' offensive system and which players could provide value for Fantasy owners.

San Francisco 49ers

Offensive Coordinator: Curtis Modkins (DET RB) (New OC in 2016)

Head Coach: Chip Kelly (PHI HC) (New HC in 2016)

Head Coach Involvement: Kelly is heavily included in the offensive game plan and play calling. He takes over as head coach after being fired in Philadelphia last year.

Offensive Basis: Chip Kelly’s offense has its roots in the West Coast, but it’s nowhere near a normal version. Kelly likes to run as many plays as possible, which increases opportunities for everyone on the team. Expect heavy lead RB usage and the RBs will catch the ball out of the backfield. WRs and TEs will both get targets in the passing game.

Where the OC comes from: Modkins has spent time under a number of head coaches, most of them fall under Schottenheimer in the coaching tree, including Whisenhunt, Gailey, and most recently Caldwell. He was most recently RB Coach in Detroit but has OC experience in Buffalo from 2010 to 2012.

I feel the Eagles stats are more relevant here in this analysis. However, we included last year’s stats as a reference.

2015 Eagles

2015 RB Reception Total Rank: #3
2015 WR Receptions Total Rank: #23
2015 TE Receptions Total Rank: #2

2015 QB FF Rank: #26

2015 RB FF Rank: #1
2015 WR FF Rank: #23
2015 TE FF Rank: #7

2014 Eagles

2014 RB Reception Total Rank: #13

2014 WR Receptions Total Rank: #6

2014 TE Receptions Total Rank: #8

2014 QB FF Rank: #9
2014 RB FF Rank: #22
2014 WR FF Rank: #7
2014 TE FF Rank: #8

2015 49ers

2015 RB Reception Total Rank: #12
2015 WR Receptions Total Rank: #29
2015 TE Receptions Total Rank: #14

2015 QB FF Rank: #28

2015 RB FF Rank: #30

2015 WR FF Rank: #29

2015 TE FF Rank: #12

2016 Offensive Player Outlook Overall: It will be interesting to see how Kelly handles the personnel he’s inherited in San Francisco. Blaine Gabbert looks to be the starter in Week 1. However, with Kaepernick behind him, don’t expect Gabbert to get a long leash. I would not draft a San Francisco QB this year because I doubt they will be fantasy relevant. Torrey Smith continues his role as a deep threat and No. 1 WR, but I don’t expect too many catches so he will not be on many of my rosters. Quinton Patton looks to be their No. 2 WR and could get more volume but likely not much value there because I am just not confident in this offense with this personnel. I worry this WR corps will devolve into a revolving committee that will be difficult to predict. Bruce Ellington could be interesting as a slot receiver in Chip Kelly’s offense and Jerome Simpson has talent but never can put it together it seems. Vance McDonald has some interesting sleeper upside at TE. If you need a backup TE in the later rounds of the draft after most teams already have their backup, McDonald is a viable choice, but I can’t count on anything here.

Sleeper/Value Players: The only guy from this team I feel good about is Carlos Hyde and only because Hyde should be heavily used in the running game this year. He should be a value play in the early fifth of most drafts. Shaun Draughn is behind him and has shown flashes as a PPR threat, but he would seem to need a Hyde injury to be relevant again besides being the handcuff play. I do expect Kelly to do better with Hyde than he did in Philly for what that is worth. Keep an eye on Kelvin Taylor at RB. It might not happen this season, but if Hyde struggles or is injured Taylor could step in and perform. Second-year RB Mike Davis is a hard, steady runner but he would need lots of help to get enough reps at any point this season to be relevant this season.


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