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2016 Green Bay Packers Coaching Tree

Fantasy Football Expert Joe Jefferson dives into the Green Bay Packers' offensive system and which players could provide value for Fantasy owners.

Green Bay Packers

Offensive Coordinator: Tom Clements (Same as 2015)

Head Coach: Mike McCarthy (Same as 2015)

Head Coach Involvement: McCarthy is very involved since he became HC in 2006. He gave up play calling to Clements last season but continues to create the game plan with the OC each week. McCarthy is another of the West Coast Offense coaching tree branch. He worked in SF with the 49ers in 2005 as OC before joining the Pack in 2006 as HC. McCarthy was also OC in New Orleans from 2000-2004.

Offensive Basis: West Coast Offense modified with lots of 3 WR sets. Not historically a ton of targets for TEs but plenty of upside. Also not a ton of RB targets but still plenty of weekly upside in this dynamic offense with Heavy Lead RB Use.

Where the OC comes from: Clements has also been in Green Bay since 2006 as QB Coach and OC since 2012. Clements has more of a smash mouth football past having worked with Mike Mularkey, Mike Ditka, and Bill Cowher but this is clearly WCO under McCarthy’s system.

Packers 2015

2015 RB Reception Total Rank: #21

2015 WR Receptions Total Rank: #14

2015 TE Receptions Total Rank: #19

2015 QB FF Rank: #14

2015 RB FF Rank: #21

2015 WR FF Rank: #15

2015 TE FF Rank:  #19

Packers 2014

2014 RB Reception Total Rank: #25

2014 WR Receptions Total Rank: #5

2014 TE Receptions Total Rank: #24

2014 QB FF Rank: #2

2014 RB FF Rank: #15

2014 WR FF Rank: #3

2014 TE FF Rank: #25

2016 Offensive Player Outlook Overall: This offense disappointed in 2015, and that includes Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers is a great bet to bounce back, but unless he falls to Rounds 5 to 7 depending on format, I will not draft him as there is so much value at QB this year. However, there is no doubt Rodgers is an elite option because he gets his No. 1 & No. 2 WRs healthy again, and they hope the offensive line improves.

Eddie Lacy also really disappointed last year after reporting to camp out of shape. He looks rejuvenated entering his contract year and more like the back that finished at top 10 RB in 2013 & 2014. He’s in a great offense and should continue to be a fantasy starter and low-end RB1 because he will get plenty of scoring chances. James Starks is a value because he has a solid role and he’s the obvious handcuff to Lacy. He is still a high-level handcuff because I know he would produce big if Lacy were out for any extended period and Lacy does have some injury history.

Green Bay is loaded at WRs with Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Davante Adams, Jared Abbrederis, Jeff Janis, Ty Montgomery and rookie, Trevor Davis, all potentially in the mix. There will be plenty of passes to go around as the stats show very consistent high-end WR receptions so I like both Nelson and Cobb as borderline studs. I’d be happy to draft Cobb in the mid third round because I feel like he was hurt most of the last year, and he works better as a WR2. Nelson scares me a bit coming back from a knee injury. However, I could condone drafting him because of his elite upside in the late second if he falls. Adams disappointed last year with a big opportunity so he is only worth a flier pick as a late round guy that could win the No. 3 WR job. The field behind Adams is loaded with lots of young talent that have a chance to emerge with or without an injury so keep an eye out for a WR that may develop in the season in this explosive offense. I have liked what I have seen from Montgomery, so he has upside but so do possession guys like Abbrederis or Janis.

Sleeper/Value Players: Jared Cook is a late round, deep sleeper I like because Cook has big talent and this change to such a prolific offense could produce bigger numbers than most are expecting. Cook is a great fantasy backup with starter potential that can be had after most teams have already drafted a backup TE. However, Richard Rodgers was more involved last year and showed a nose for the end zone so he may just split enough time to hamper Cook’s fantasy value.

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