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Plays of the Day
Value: Ivan Nova has gone 3-0 with a 3.20 ERA and 18 strikeouts while walking just one batter over 4 appearances with his new club. The Pirates are certainly capable of providing run support this afternoon against struggling RHP Chase Anderson, while Nova should be brimming with confidence after holding an excellent A.L. lineup in the Astros to one ER during a complete-game effort in his last time out.
Fade: Rays RHP Chris Archer is the most expensive arm on the board today by default, as very few true aces are slated to pitch. Yet he’s been rather unreliable on the road this season and he’ll face an Astros lineup that can really make a hard-throwing pitcher pay for any mistakes with their collective power.
- Slight chance of delays in Detroit this afternoon.
- Nationals hosting RHP Chad Bettis
- Blue Jays hosting RHP Kyle Gibson
- Orioles visiting LHP C.C. Sabathia
- Pirates visiting RHP Chase Anderson
- Rangers hosting RHP Danny Salazar
Longshot Stack: Cardinals hosting RHP Andrew Triggs
Kevin Gausman: (BAL) @ NYY DK:$8,700/FD:$8,400
There are no truly elite options at SP this Sunday, and Gausman simply stands out as one of the more reliable pitchers in the upper-tier on both main DFS sites. The Orioles young RHP has posted Quality Starts in 6 of his last 8 appearances and is sporting a solid 3.92 ERA while averaging 17.1 DK PPG over his last 10 outings. While he’s been unlucky with a 5-10 record on the year, Gausman can get on a roll and start dealing, which has been the case in each of his 3 starts against the Yankees struggling offense this season. He’s allowed the Bronx Bombers to score just 3 runs with 15 strikeouts and only 3 walks over those appearances and his Orioles (-104) are favored going into a road test against veteran C.C. Sabathia and the Yankees this afternoon.
Vince Velasquez: (PHI) @ NYM DK:$8,200/FD:$7,800
With Velasquez, it's all about how he's going in terms of his strikeout potential, and recently he's been hot in that regard with 17 Ks over his last 2 appearances. The sophomore RHP might have given up 5 ER in each of those outings, but that came in matchups against the feisty Cardinals and the hottest team in the N.L. in the Dodgers. Now he'll face a Mets team that is ranked 27th in terms of collective batting average (.242) with the 7th highest K-Rate (22%) in the Majors this year. Velasquez has posted a 13:3 K:BB ratio over 2 excellent performances against the Mets this year and he was unlucky to give up 3 unearned runs in those outings. Current Mets are batting just .154 (4-for-26) with 9 strikeouts and only one XBH in their careers against Velasquez, so this might be his bounce back spot.
Ivan Nova: (PIT) @ MIL DK:$8,000/FD:$7,000
Nova simply seems to be a SP that is much more at home in the National League, as he’s gone 3-0 with a 3.20 ERA and 18 strikeouts while walking just one batter over 4 appearances with his new club. The Pirates are certainly capable of providing run support this afternoon against struggling RHP Chase Anderson, while Nova should be brimming with confidence after holding an excellent A.L. lineup in the Astros to one ER during a complete-game effort in his last time out.
Anibal Sanchez: (DET) vs. LAA DK:$5,500/FD:$6,600
He's been a punching bag throughout most of the season, but if you look at his career track record, Sanchez is a fine option to consider if he's truly made the proper adjustments. The veteran RHP has spun Quality Starts in 4 of his last 5 outings, with a combined total of just 17 H and 5 ER allowed during those starts. He mixed in a horrendous performance at the launching pad in Arlington, Texas, yet he's been far more reliable with a 3.92 ERA and .238 BAA at home this season versus a horrific 7.66 ERA and .322 BAA on the road. Sanchez has posted a career 3.89 ERA with a matching 3.73 FIP and he's main issue over the last two seasons has been coughing up a much higher HR/FB ratio, but the Angels are a relatively weak teams in terms of their slugging potential and they represent a solid matchup for the vet at home.
Kurt Suzuki: (MIN) @ TOR DK: $2,900/FD: $2,300
If you're looking for safety at the catcher position without paying much for it, Suzuki could be your guy today. The Twins backstop mostly rested over the weekend, but he came up clutch with a pinch-hit, three-run double on Friday and should be in the lineup this afternoon against knuckleballer R.A. Dickey. The Blue Jays SP has struggled at home and generally struggled in venues with artificial turf, while the Twins have had some success against him in the past. Suzuki in particular has not been fooled by the knuckleball, going 5-for-13 with a HR and a BB over 14 career plate appearances against Dickey. He's hitting .320 against RHP on the road this year and seems like a solid cash game play at under 3K on DraftKings.
Francisco Cervelli ($3400/$2900) is another solid cash game option to consider against Brewers RHP Chase Anderson.
Wilson Ramos ($3700/$3100) has been slumping lately, but he could definitely be worth a look today against weak RHP Chad Bettis.
Edwin Encarnacion: (TOR) vs. CLE DK:$4,400/FD:$4,000
While some of his teammates have really struggled since the ASB, Encarnacion is plugging away with a .402 wOBA and a remarkable .315 ISO Mark during the second half to essentially carry the Blue Jays offense. He homered and drove in three runs yesterday to raise his slash line to .308/.400/.590 over his last 10 appearances and he’s a very strong play on a slate with limited elite options at this position. The visiting Twins will start RHP Kyle Gibson, who is sporting a 5.09 ERA and .295 BAA on the year while coughing up a 1.35 HR/9 ratio on the road this season. Encarnacion happens to be 2-for-7 with 2 walks and a HR in his career against Gibson and he possesses that type of solid floor/ceiling combination today.
Ryan Zimmerman ($3500/$3000) is something of a longshot value play given how he’s slumping lately, but he’s still worth a look as part of a Nationals stack today.
Justin Morneau ($3400/$2700) is another boom or bust option with a decent chance to launch a bomb off Mariners RHP Taijuan Walker this afternoon.
Trea Turner: (WAS) vs. COL DK:$4,900/FD:$4,000 as SS
It’s really hard to consider any other players at these middle infield positions on either main DFS site given how consistently productive Turner has been. The rookie has stolen a base in 3 consecutive appearances and is hitting .413 while producing double-digit DK points in 8 of his last 10 starts. Today he’ll take on a weak RHP in Chad Bettis, who has allowed opposing base runners to go 10-for-14 on SB attempts over the past three seasons. Look at Turner as the head of a potentially elite stack today against Bettis.
Cesar Hernandez ($4000/$3000) is still too cheap on FanDuel considering how reliable he’s been over the past several weeks.
Brian Dozier ($4700/$3700) remains red hot for the Twins and he happens to have good career splits against R.A. Dickey.
Adrian Beltre: (TEX) vs. CLE DK:$4,600/FD:$3,300
We’ve yet to touch on the Rangers as a potential stack today, which is a strong option to consider against struggling RHP Danny Salazar. The Indians SP clearly isn’t right, as he just coughed up 6 ER in Oakland against the lowly A’s offense and is sporting a frightening 9.44 ERA over his last 7 appearances. The Rangers are an absolutely elite offensive team at home and Beltre is sporting a .306/.385/.552 slash line at the Launching Pad known as Globe Life Park this year. He’s certainly enjoyed facing Salazar’s straight-line heater considering the fact that he’s 5-for-6 with 2 walks in his career against the young flamethrower, so give Beltre a look at a reasonable price tag this Sunday.
Martin Prado ($3500/$3000) is starting to heat up with a 4-hit performance last night and he’s definitely worth a look in cash games this afternoon.
Manny Machado ($4700/$4200) is also heating up at the right time and he could have a big day if C.C. Sabathia struggles for the Yankees.
Carlos Correa: (HOU) vs. TB DK:$4,200/FD:$4,000
It’s taken some time, but Correa is starting to produce on a elite level once again with a .302 batting average and .376 wOBA since the ASB and he’s heating up recently with 5 hits over his last 3 appearances. The Astros are capable of tagging Rays RHP Chris Archer, who is sporting a rough 5.97 ERA with a 1.49 WHIP on the road this season. Correa is more dangerous against RHB and he’s not necessarily priced according to his potential on DK this afternoon.
Jhonny Peralta ($4000/$3000) is a steady option for the Cardinals as they face vulnerable rookie Andrew Triggs.
Astros RHP Doug Fister tends to struggle early or settle down, so Brad Miller ($4300/$3600) and any other Rays sluggers are worth a look as longshot GPP options.
Starling Marte: (PIT) @ MIL DK:$5,100/FD:$3,900
While he was slumping in recent weeks, Marte has hit safely in four consecutive appearances and he stole two bases in one of those starts to flash his upside. He’s a very strong option this afternoon as part of a Pirates stack against Brewers SP Chase Anderson, who is sporting a 4.99 ERA on the year and allowing RHB to hit .314 with a .407 wOBA. The Pirates have been a thorn in his side and Marte is one of several righties with positive career splits in this matchup, as he’s 4-for-8 with 2 doubles and a HR against Anderson.
Jayson Werth: (WAS) vs. COL DK:$4,000/FD:$3,700
While today's tilt between the Nationals and Rockies is certainly not at Coors Field, some of the Nats batters are truly elite options against a weak SP. Rockies RHP Chad Bettis is sporting a rough 5.29 ERA on the year and he's been equally vulnerable with a 5.21 ERA and .272 BAA on the road this season, while allowing RHB to hit .288 with a .353 wOBA over the course of 26 appearances. Werth is a solid 5-for-15 with 2 HR over his last 3 appearances and he matches up well against Bettis, so consider him as one of the bats atop this potential stack.
David Dahl: (COL) @ WAS DK:$4,000/FD:$3,300
Dahl is another bat to consider in this tilt even though it’s not being played out in Colorado, as the rookie is sporting an equally impressive .319/.356/.507 slash line to average 9.2 DK PPG over 17 appearances on the road this year. The Rockies will look to do some damage today against rookie Lucas Giolito, who struggled to navigate any MLB lineups multiple times during his first stint in the Majors and might have trouble against a lefty-heavy lineup today. Dahl is hitting .327 with a .394 wOBA and providing almost all of his power numbers with a .235 ISO Mark against the platoon this year, so this is a prime spot for him.
Matt Joyce ($3900/$2200) would be a very strong value play to consider at that price tag on FanDuel if he starts for the Pirates.
Kevin Pillar ($3200/$2600) is a solid value play to consider as part of a Blue Jays stack against RHP Kyle Gibson.
Nolan Reimold ($2900/$2100) is worth a look in GPP formats if he’s in the Orioles lineup today against Sabathia.
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