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2016 Indianapolis Colts Coaching Tree

Fantasy Football Expert Joe Jefferson dives into the Indianapolis Colts' offensive system and which players could provide value for Fantasy owners.

Indianapolis Colts

Offensive Coordinator:  Rob Chudzinski (New OC in 2016)

Head Coach:  Chuck Pagano (Same as 2015)

Head Coach Involvement:  Pagano is not included in the offensive game plans. He’s a defensive guy who was DC for Baltimore in 2011 before becoming HC in 2012. He lets the offensive coordinators run the offensive show.

Offensive Basis:  West Coast Offense with potential for two WRs and TE to be heavily targeted. Heavy Lead RB Use but the RB is not heavily targeted in the passing game.

Where the OC comes from:  Rob Chudzinski is named OC in 2016 after serving as Associate HC the last two seasons. Chudzinski took over OC last year after the Week 9 firing of Pep Hamilton. Chudzinski has a long NFL resume with ties starting in Cleveland as TE coach in 2004 before becoming OC there from 2007 to 2008 and later HC there in 2013. He was also OC in Carolina 2011 to 2012. He claims to want the offense to be more flexible and attacking in its first full year under his system.

Colts 2015
2015 RB Reception Total Rank: #27
2015 WR Receptions Total Rank: #11
2015 TE Receptions Total Rank: #15

2015 QB FF Rank: #24
2015 RB FF Rank: #31
2015 WR FF Rank: #14
2015 TE FF Rank: #21

Colts 2014
2014 RB Reception Total Rank: #9
2014 WR Receptions Total Rank: #8
2014 TE Receptions Total Rank: #5

2014 QB FF Rank: #1
2014 RB FF Rank: #17
2014 WR FF Rank: #7
2014 TE FF Rank: #3

2016 Offensive Player Outlook Overall:  Excellent outlook overall as we expect Andrew Luck to bounce back big time in 2016 to look more like the Luck we saw in 2014 than 2015. Luck is finally surrounded with legit developing talent around him and a seemingly improved offensive line. I expect Luck to an elite option at QB, and he is always in the top four QBs drafted. I love his potential in 2016 but I still generally pass on early QB, but he could tempt me if I felt he was lasting too long for the format.

T.Y. Hilton is the No. 1 WR. I love this guy, but he may have topped out with Donte Moncrief and Phillip Dorsett emerging fast. However, T.Y. commands targets as a dynamic playmaker in a potentially great offense. T.Y. is smaller and can rely on the big play too much for his fantasy production, and although I generally shy away from players with that profile, I like the gamble with him. Even in a down season for T.Y. last year, he was still solid without Luck in many outings and proved to me that he is a pro’s pro. This season should be better even with new weapons.

Frank Gore disappointed a bit in 2015. Although he is past his prime, he still runs hard and can catch the football. As long as he stays healthy, he should deliver value for a seventh-round RB due to volume and better situations than last year. He’s not the sexiest pick, but he has a relatively high floor and value for his upside with offensive improvement in 2016. Robert Turbin looks like the backup and handcuff to own here. Josh Ferguson got all the offseason hype, but he has been a dud thus far in preseason. Jordan Todman is here, and I like what he can do from a PPR perspective with the opportunity. Stevan Ridley is also here, but I’d need to see him look good before I’d get excited about him or Try Williams.

Sleeper/Value Players: Third-year man, Donte Moncrief, is a big time breakout candidate because of his potential opportunity in this good offense. He looks to be improved and could emerge as their No. 1 as he is a bigger target than Hilton. Another guy I like as a sleeper is Phillip Dorsett, who looks like the most improved player on this team. I love his potential as the No. 3 here but his value rockets if T.Y. or Moncrief is injured. Draft Dorsett with confidence in the early double-digit rounds as an elite stash. They also have Quan Bray and rookie, Andre DeBose, at WR. However, I do not see either as a threat to the top 3 WRs here at any point this season and would need an injury to have any real potential.

Dwayne Allen has shown a nose for the end zone and now gets the job to himself with the departure of Coby Fleener. Allen is a good value for a starting TE if you wait until most teams in your league have drafted a TE or as a great backup with upside in the mid rounds.

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