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2016 Jacksonville Jaguars Coaching Tree

Fantasy Football Expert Joe Jefferson dives into the Jacksonville Jaguars' offensive system and which players could provide value for Fantasy owners.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Offensive Coordinator: Greg Olson (Same as 2015)

Head Coach: Gus Bradley (Same as 2015)

Head Coach Involvement: Bradley is a defensive HC and has some input on offense but allows his OC to run this offense as he sees fit. He got his start in the NFL as a LB Coach for Tampa from 2006 to 2008. He had tons of later success as the Seahawks DC from 2009 to 2012 before becoming HC here in 2013.

Offensive Basis: West Coast Offense with plenty of use of both WRs and decent use of RB and TE in the passing game. RB by committee approach expected in 2016.

Where the OC comes from: Olson returned to Jacksonville last season after a two-year hiatus as the OC in Oakland. He was also previously the OC in Tampa (2009-11) under Jon Gruden, as well as St. Louis (2006-07) with Scott Linehan and put some huge numbers up as the offensive coordinator there. He also worked for Steve Mariucci in SF as a QB coach when he first entered the league in 2001, so he’s a West Coast Offense guy.

For this analysis we will compare last year’s stats with Olson as OC against Olson’s stats with Oakland from 2014 with another young, developing QB.

Jaguars 2015
2015 RB Reception Total Rank: #26
2015 WR Receptions Total Rank: #13
2015 TE Receptions Total Rank: #18

2015 QB FF Rank: #4
2015 RB FF Rank: #32
2015 WR FF Rank: #4
2015 TE FF Rank: #17

Raiders 2014
2014 RB Reception Total Rank: #5
2014 WR Receptions Total Rank: #19
2014 TE Receptions Total Rank: #21

2014 QB FF Rank: #30
2014 RB FF Rank: #22
2014 WR FF Rank: #26
2014 TE FF Rank: #24

2016 Offensive Player Outlook Overall: Blake Bortles was a monster in his second season, and I rode him to championships in 2015! Many seem to think that they will go to a more balanced approach to Blake’s detriment. However, I like Bortles to continue to develop even if he is unable to top last season’s statistical greatness. He is a QB I like to target as the seventh or eighth QB off the board on draft day for his weekly upside.

Allen Robinson became a star in 2015. Robinson was decently productive as a rookie receiver and now could further develop in his third season. He gets enough looks to do some serious damage, and I expect that to continue. I like him as a late first-round pick in most leagues because he is the prototypical NFL No. 1 WR size-wise and he has an undeniable rapport with Bortles. These two could become a great combo for years to come. Allen Hurns is an underrated producer in this offense. Many argue that he relies on touchdowns, and those are unpredictable, but the guy has proven to be a reliable fantasy producer that can make big plays. Hurns can still be drafted in the sixth or seventh round of most drafts. Rashad Greene and Marqise Lee looks like the only other options at WR so keep them both on your radar if there in an injury to Hurns or Robinson.

I like the potential of TE Julius Thomas in this offense in his second season here with a healthy offseason. I expect Thomas to be a solid fantasy starter as a great red zone target here but not the superstar he was in Denver with so many viable receiving options at WR. I’m happy with Thomas as my starting TE in the TE 7-10 range. Marcedes Lewis is still here and could produce if Thomas is out.

Sleeper/Value Players: Second-year RB T.J. Yeldon disappointed a bit in his rookie year, but he looks to be improved. He could be the starting running back for Jacksonville even with the addition of Chris Ivory. It is expected they will split RB work with Yeldon as the PPR back and Ivory as the goal line option. This position may have more value with offensive improvement than some realize or are willing to admit. I like Yeldon as a PPR value at RB, especially with Olson’s desire to pass to the RBs in this offense. Yeldon is a great value in the ninth round and Ivory is about the same but will likely be drafted a few picks earlier. I expect Denard Robinson to be worked into the offense as a receiver out of the backfield. I liked what I have seen from Denard Robinson PPR sleeper in the past when given the opportunity so be aware of him if another RB, especially Yeldon, is out.

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