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2016 New York Jets Coaching Tree

Fantasy Football Expert Joe Jefferson dives into the New York Jets' offensive system and which players could provide value for Fantasy owners.

NY Jets

Offensive Coordinator: Chan Gailey (Same as 2015)

Head Coach: Todd Bowles (Same as 2015)

Head Coach Involvement: Bowles is a defensive guy and took over as HC after serving as Defensive Coordinator in Arizona from 2013-2014. This will be Chan Gailey’s offense.

Offensive Basis: Gailey is a bit of a Chameleon, generally adapting his offense to fit the personnel he has available. One former HC he played under, Bill Cowher has said "He's not married to a system. The one thing I like about Chan is he tries to stay unpredictable." That being said, I expect him to run a vertical passing game with two productive WRs, along with Heavy Lead RB Usage and Heavy RB Targets. I don’t expect the TE to be involved much at all.

Where the OC comes from: Chan Gailey got his first chance to coach in the NFL with the Broncos in the late 80s under Dan Reeves. He spent time as WR, TE, and QB coach before getting a chance as the OC. He’s also had short stints as a HC in Dallas and Buffalo. His history suggests that he’s good at getting a lot of out mediocre QBs. With the exception of Elway and Aikman in early in his career, he’s worked with a list of sub-par QBs but still managed to have some success.

I will provide the last two years stats for reference in this analysis but keep in mind that only 2015 reflects stats with Gailey at the helm.

Jets 2015
2015 RB Reception Total Rank: #9
2015 WR Receptions Total Rank: #1
2015 TE Receptions Total Rank: #32

2015 QB FF Rank: #7
2015 RB FF Rank: #12
2015 WR FF Rank: #2
2015 TE FF Rank: #32

Jets 2014
2014 RB Reception Total Rank: #23
2014 WR Receptions Total Rank: #29
2014 TE Receptions Total Rank: #20

2014 QB FF Rank: #31
2014 RB FF Rank: #28
2014 WR FF Rank: #28
2014 TE FF Rank: #20

2016 Offensive Player Outlook Overall: Ryan Fitzpatrick had a nice 2015, and after taking a long time to sign during the offseason he is back with the Jets for another go. He’s got his two favorite targets coming back this year at WR, and with the addition of Matt Forte at RB, he’ll have another weapon. We don’t expect Fitzpatrick to repeat his 2015 numbers, but he’s a solid backup QB who should be able to plug into a lineup if your top signal caller has a bye or an injury.

Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker will continue to get plenty of targets in this system’s second year. Both WRs should be weekly starters on your fantasy team. Marshall is dealing with a hip issue that has kept him out of preseason action, but the team assures us it is a non-issue. Marshall is currently going off the board a few rounds before Decker, which could make Decker the better value. I like Marshall in the late first or early second round of most PPR drafts. A third receiver could emerge with injury, and the best bet is probably, Quincy Enunwa or Kenbrell Thompkins. Enunwa is now in his second year with the Jets and looks to be the slot receiver when they go to three-wide sets. Thompkins would likely need an injury to be relevant.

I’d stay away from TE Jace Amaro or Kellen Davis because this offense just doesn’t emphasize the TE position. Amaro does have some potential based on his skillset so at least know who he is if he emerges later this season or later in his career.

Sleeper/Value Players: Forte is the starter at RB, and should have a solid season, but I expect to see the Jets use multiple RBs with Bilal Powell and Khiry Robinson behind him. I wouldn’t be surprised to see either of these backs taking some third down, or goal line carries from Forte, which will limit his upside. Forte is still worth a gamble for his upside in the early fifth round of most drafts. I also really like Bilal Powell as a sleeper pick in PPR leagues. Powell is a playmaker, and they will continue to use him so draft him in the early teen rounds of your draft and thank me later. Khiry Robinson is a tough runner, but he probably needs an injury ahead of him to be fantasy relevant. If given the opportunity, Robinson could have a few good weeks during the season.


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