Plays of the Day
Value: Odubel Herrera has been cold lately, but his $2,000 price tag might be a mistake on DraftKings. He’s definitely worth a look against RHP Joel de la Cruz considering the fact that he’s still hitting .306 with a .356 wOBA at home against righties this year and has found a rhythm again with 4 hits over his last 3 appearances.
Fade: Noah Syndergaard is certainly capable of turning in an incredible line any time he takes the mound, but so far the Nationals have posed a tough challenge for the young RHP. There are several dangerous LHB and a veritable terror on the base paths in that lineup with Trea Turner leading off, which makes it risky to pay up for the top SP on the board this Friday.
- No real weather concerns tonight.
- Orioles hosting RHP Chad Green
- Red Sox visiting RHP Andrew Triggs
- Dodgers hosting LHP Clayton Richard
- Indians hosting RHP Andrew Cashner
- Angels visiting LHP Ariel Miranda
Longshot Stack: Royals hosting RHP Anibal Sanchez
David Price: (BOS) @ OAK DK:$11,900/FD:$10,300
He’s blocking out the noise and pitching with an edge again to earn 4 consecutive Wins while posting a 5.40 K/BB ratio and averaging 27.2 DK PPG over his last 4 appearances. Price is certainly talented enough to limit an Athletics team that has scored the fewest runs (524) in the American League this season and is ranked 23rd overall with a collective .246 batting average against LHP. Winds are expected to be blowing from left to right field in Oakland tonight, which should hurt rookie RHP Andrew Triggs much more than Price and is perhaps part of the reason the Boston is favored in this road tilt.
Julio Urias: (LAD) vs. SD DK:$9,600/FD:$8,400
The Dodgers top prospect required a few MLB appearances to get his feet wet, but he’s clearly figured out how to pitch at the highest level with two excellent starts recently. Now he’ll face a horrendous Padres offense that is even more vulnerable against LHP with many of their top young hitters struggling in LvL matchups. Urias boasts a 13.50 K/9 ratio with a .226 BAA when facing LHB and he’s been deadly at home with a 2.90 ERA and ridiculous 1.92 FIP over 7 appearances at Dodger Stadium thus far.
Jeremy Hellickson: (PHI) vs. ATL DK:$4,500/FD:$7,300
Hellickson was bad in his last outing, but he certainly doesn't deserve this great of a price drop as a result. The young RHP cost as much as $8,700 on DK ahead of his last start at the Mets, so why on earth would he be a virtual punt play in a home tilt against a Braves team that ranks 29th in terms of collective wOBA (.296) and runs scored (500) this season. He's been average in two meetings with Atlanta this season, but he's certainly capable of flashing some upside considering his impressive numbers (5-1, 2.54 ERA, 18.5 DK PPG) over his previous 9 starts before he stumbled at Citi Field. Hellickson has been better at home with a 3.56 ERA and an 8.51 K/9 ratio on the year, so give him a look in this cushy matchup.
Marcus Stroman: (TOR) @ TB DK:$9,800/FD:$7,800
A quick glance at his price tag on DraftKings indicates that Stroman is under priced on FanDuel ahead of a great matchup against the Rays. Tampa is ranked dead last in the American League with a .243 collective batting average and is sporting the highest K-Rate (24.2%) amongst A.L. teams this season. Stroman has spun two gems at Tropicana Field much earlier this season before he struggled against the Rays at home in the midst of a tumultuous May and June. Yet he's righted the ship with a 3.88 ERA, 2.40 xFIP and a 10.06 K/9 ratio since the ASB. He has tremendous upside and a pretty low floor as well, but you can take your chances with Stroman over the Rays Alex Cobb, who will be making season debut after missing nearly the entire season due to elbow surgery.
Sandy Leon: (BOS) @ OAK DK: $3,500/FD: $2,400
The Red Sox are a solid stacking option to consider against A's rookie Andrew Triggs tonight and even though he doesn't have too much power in his own right, Leon should do some damage from the bottom of that order. The LHB is still hitting .350 this season and putting up great numbers against pitchers of either handedness, while Triggs is sporting a 1.44 WHIP with an unlucky, but high .347 BABIP when facing lefties this year. Leon tends to find the holes in the infield when he makes strong contact and he'll serve as a solid option in cash games if he starts.
Yadier Molina ($2900/$3000) remains a solid cash game play despite facing a stingy RHP in Anthony DeSclafani.
Chris Iannetta ($2900/$2500) has great career splits against Angels lefty Brett Oberholzer and that makes him a candidate to dong tonight.
Adrian Gonzalez: (LAD) vs. SD DK:$4,500/FD:$3,000
Gonzo has been under priced on FanDuel for the past several weeks despite the fact that he hit .330 with a .400 wOBA and 7 HR over 28 games in August. He doesn't usually thrive in LvL matchups, but for some reason Gonzalez has loved facing Padres southpaw Clayton Richard, as he's 9-for-14 with a BB over 15 career plate appearances against him. Richard has really struggled away from massive Petco Park with a .318 BAA and 1.74 WHIP over 29 appearances on the road this year, so feel free to stack any of the red-hot Dodgers against this struggling pitcher.
Eric Hosmer ($4000/$3300) is heating up once again and he has fantastic splits (11-for-36, 4 2B, HR) in his career against Tigers RHP Anibal Sanchez.
Chris Davis ($4500/$3400) is a boom or bust option tonight against vulnerable Yankees RHP Chad Green.
Jean Segura: (ARI) @ COL DK:$5,400/FD:$4,100
Segura, Brian Dozier and Jose Altuve stand out as the options at this position with the most upside, but I prefer using the D’Backs usual leadoff man as the head of a stack against LHP Jorge De La Rosa. The Rockies veteran is sporting a rough 5.09 ERA and 1.54 WHIP on the season and he’s struggled in both of his starts against the right-heavy Diamondbacks lineup this year. Arizona is sporting the highest collective batting average (.273) against LHP in the National League and Segura is one of several dangerous righties with good splits (2-for-8, 4 BB) in his career against JDLR.
Josh Harrison ($3100/$3000) seems like a solid lower-tier option on DK ahead of this matchup against RHP Junior Guerra.
Devon Travis ($3600/$3300) could emerge as an important part of a Blue Jays stack this evening if Rays RHP Alex Cobb struggles in his season debut.
Jonathan Villar: (MIL) @ PIT DK:$4,100/FD:$3,700
Villar is very cheap on DK given his multi-faceted upside and the mediocrity of tonight’s matchup against Pirates rookie Jameson Taillon. While the young RHP has found his stride lately, he was just lit up by the Brewers in Milwaukee for 5 ER over 3 innings of work. Villar sat out that contest, but he’s been hot since with 3 doubles and a pair of singles over his last 4 appearances. The speedster is a decent bet to swipe a bag off an inexperienced RHP in Taillon, while he’s flashed susprising power all year with 36 XBH and 11 homers this season
Trevor Plouffe ($3700/$3000) homered off a lefty last night and he’ll have the platoon advantage once again with LHP Carlos Rodon starting for the visiting White Sox this evening.
Nolan Arenado ($5600/$4400) is certainly on fire right now, but he’s a bit risky due to his lofty price tag and the non-preferable matchup against D’Backs LHP Robbie Ray.
Francisco Lindor: (CLE) vs. MIA DK:$4,900/FD:$3,600
You could just keep riding the train with Lindor, who exceeded value in consecutive appearances before getting Thursday off and has a great floor/ceiling combination in tonight’s matchup. Marlins RHP Andrew Cashner is a hard thrower that can be vulnerable against the longball. He gave up a 1.58 HR/9 ratio last year and is posting a 1.44 HR/9 ratio against LHB this year, while Lindor has flashed more power from the left side of the plate with a .354 wOBA as a RHB and he’s been far more productive at home.
He hasn’t been hitting the cover off the ball, but Jhonny Peralta ($2900/$2900) is surprisingly cheap on DK tonight.
He only flashed his upside in a pinch-hitting role last night, but Asdrubal Cabrera ($4200/$2900) will be worth a look if he’s starting for the Mets tonight against Nationals RHP A.J. Cole.
Ender Inciarte: (ATL) @ PHI DK:$4,800/FD:$3,100
It’s time to recognize Inciarte as an elite cash game play. He’s been one of the most consistent hitters in the Majors with a .360 batting average and .415 OBP since the ASB and he’s starting to flash some upside with a couple of XBH on Sunday and 2 SB on Wednesday against the Padres. Jeremy Hellickson is a solid RHP for the Phillies, yet you have to trust the Braves steady left to maintain his stellar .422/.511/.605 slash line over his last 10 appearances with a solid showing in this matchup.
A.J. Pollock: (ARI) @ COL DK:$4,000/FD:$4,200
Pollock hasn’t really missed a beat through his first few games back from major arm surgery, logging 6 H, 2BB and 4 SB to produce 48 DK points over his last 3 appearances. He hit .324 with a .379 wOBA against lefties last year and tonight he’ll face a vulnerable LHP in Jorge De La Rosa. These two teams seem poised for a slugfest at Coors Field and it’s best to go for the cheap bats on either side when you look at Pollock’s price tag on DraftKings.
Trea Turner: (WAS) @ NYM DK:$3,900/FD:$3,900
Mets ace Noah Syndergaard is certainly capable of shutting down the Nationals, but he's coughed up 27 hits over 101 at-bats (.267 average) in his career against current Nats and has yet to face rookie superstar Trea Turner. He’s been flashing upside in so many ways that you would assume he'd be priced around $5K for the rest of the season DK, as Turner is hitting .355 with a .403 wOBA against RHP and has been on fire with a .463 batting average and 5 SB over his last 9 appearances. A day off on Wednesday resulted in an obvious goose egg for Turner, but nothing else has held the phenom down..
Like Trea Turner, Bryce Harper ($3900/$3700) is temptingly cheap on DK ahead of a tough matchup against Syndergaard.
Alex Gordon ($3600/$2600) is worth a look as a cheap play with the platoon advantage against RHP Anibal Sanchez tonight.
Odubel Herrera ($2000/$2400) has been cold lately, but this price tag might be a mistake on DraftKings. He’s definitely worth a look against RHP Joel de la Cruz.