2016 New England Patriots Coaching Tree

Fantasy Football Expert Joe Jefferson dives into the New England Patriots' offensive system and which players could provide value for Fantasy owners.

New England Patriots

Offensive Coordinator: Josh McDaniels (Same as 2015)

Head Coach: Bill Belichick (Same as 2015)

Head Coach Involvement: Belichick is a defensive mastermind, but he’s very involved in the offense game plan from week to week until they get to game day, then McDaniels takes over and calls the plays.

Offensive Basis: West Coast Offense passing game and power running game with RBBC. Plenty of targets for one featured WR and the major inclusion of the TEs and RB in the passing game.

Where the OC comes from: McDaniels is a Patriots guy because he has enjoyed amazing success with Tom Brady and Co. but he struggled as HC of Denver from 2009-2010 and OC of St. Louis in 2011 before coming back. McDaniels can trace his roots back to the start of the “Gulf Coast” offense. He worked for the Patriots with Charlie Weis who used the power running game of Corey Dillon but the WCO scheme of passing the ball.

Patriots 2015
2015 RB Reception Total Rank: #6
2015 WR Receptions Total Rank: #18
2015 TE Receptions Total Rank: #6

2015 QB FF Rank: #2
2015 RB FF Rank: #3
2015 WR FF Rank: #22
2015 TE FF Rank: #2

Patriots 2014
2014 RB Reception Total Rank: #14
2014 WR Receptions Total Rank: #17
2014 TE Receptions Total Rank: #1

2014 QB FF Rank: #10
2014 RB FF Rank: #20
2014 WR FF Rank: #12
2014 TE FF Rank: #2

2016 Offensive Player Outlook Overall: Good overall but Tom Brady’s suspension has some concerned about the first four games. I’m not too worried for Jimmy Garoppolo, who has been preparing for this suspension for two years now. He will be serviceable but probably not worth picking up due to matchups. Brady will be his normal dominant self when back I suspect so draft him and enjoy the discount after most teams in your league have drafted a QB as the 7th-8th off the board.

TE Rob Gronkowski is always Tom Brady’s first choice and is the clear No. 1 TE, especially in the red zone. As has been the case in Fantasy football the last few years, there is a big gap between Gronk and the #2 TE in football so could be worth a very early pick again in 2016. I like him as an early second-round pick in most drafts.

Deion Lewis is out at least the first six weeks, and likely longer so I like James White as an emerging PPR threat, who looks improved in 2016. He could be a value play if he can replicate 80-percent of Lewis’ 2015 PPR success in this offense. I like White in the ninth round of most drafts. LeGarrette Blount should get a bulk of the workload early on first and second down, but he is just not a very sexy Fantasy play IMHO because of the historical unpredictability of Belichick’s backfield. Blount should be considered only a RB4 or RB5 at best taken in early double-digit rounds of most drafts. Lewis is a tough stash as there is no guarantee he will be ready to go right away when he gets back and he will for sure eat up a roster spot if you let him in about the 14th round of most drafts. They have a crowded backfield after Blount, so the situation is murky as always with Brandon Bolden and Tyler Gaffney.

Julian Edelman will continue to be the number one wide receiver, and I like his PPR consistency, but his value will only be fair because we do not expect a big discount for his injury risk and the Brady suspension in the late third round of most drafts. Danny Amendola is still here but is too inconsistent to be more than a late-round flier who will be inconsistent but has potential any given Sunday. Keshawn Martin, Aaron Dobson and rookie, Malcolm Mitchell, also have some potential with an injury.

Sleeper/Value Players: I love the addition of Martellus Bennett. He will be a Fantasy factor and should be drafted as a low-end starter with upside for more IMHO. Just remember to pair him with another deep TE with upside and you should be good this year. I like Chris Hogan as a sleeper in 2016 because he is an underrated WR and has a big opportunity in front of him with Brady as his QB. I like him in the 11th round of your draft. Tom Brady is a solid starting Fantasy quarterback, and a four-game suspension makes him a potential value target. I like the idea of getting him at a discount and drafting another QB to fill in for those weeks.

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