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NASCAR DFS: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 400 Post-Qualifying

With Qualifying for Sunday's Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 400 rained out, Fantasy NASCAR Expert Brian Polking provides his NASCAR DFS picks using the drivers' starting positions to gain an edge!

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This Week's Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 400

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Qualifying for Sunday's Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 400 at Chicagoland Speedway was supposed to take place Friday evening, but Mother Nature had other ideas. Rain washed out the session, forcing the field to be set by owner points for the first race of the playoffs, putting defending series champ Kyle Busch on the pole by his four wins.

Busch will be joined on the front row by the other four-time winner, Brad Keselowski. Denny Hamlin will start third, and Kevin Harvick and Carl Edwards will round out the top five.

With the field being set by owner points, the biggest winners are the Chase drivers. The points were reset following last weekend's race, so the 16 title contenders will occupy the top 16 spots.

On the flip side, you are going to have a tough time finding a driver who can exploit the place differential category. After all, the top drivers are all starting near the front. Fortunately, there are still some appealing options starting deeper in the field.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at some of those sleepers as well as the high-priced studs to pay up for now that the starting lineup for Sunday's race is set in stone. Make sure to check out the action from Chicagoland at 2:30 p.m. ET on NBCSN.

Must-Own Drivers

Kevin Harvick ($10,800)

In two starts at Chicagoland with Stewart-Haas Racing, Harvick has led a combined 89 laps, and that total would likely be higher if not for a cut tire in last year's event. In fact, Harvick has been one of the best in the business at 1.5-mile tracks for more than two years. This season, he has finished in the top 10 in all six events at 1.5-mile ovals, leading more than 120 laps on two occasions. He starts fourth, and he could be out front early and often on his way to being the top scorer.

Kyle Busch ($10,500)

Rain has Busch starting on the pole, and in two previous starts from the pole at Chicagoland, he has led a combined 211 laps, winning the 2008 event. He has also finished in the top 10 in the last four starts at the track, leading more than 40 laps in three straight. Busch led a race-high 121 laps here last year, and he is in perfect position to dominate the laps led and fastest laps run categories Sunday.

Martin Truex Jr. ($10,300)

In all six races at 1.5-mile tracks this year, one driver has led more than 120 laps. Truex has accomplished the feat three times, leading a series-best 785 in the six races combined. Starting sixth, he is close enough to the front to grab the lead early and pad his already impressive total in the laps led category. Given his dominance at the 1.5-mile ovals this year, there is no reason to expect him to slow down now that the Chase has begun.

Value Plays

Kasey Kahne ($7,500)

He has to start 19th after qualifying was rained out, but Kahne brings momentum and a solid record at Chicagoland into Sunday's race. He is running as well as he has all season, and in the last eight races here, he has seven top 15s, including three finishes of sixth or better. With legit top 10 potential and room to pad his score in the place differential category, Kahne could end up posting a huge point total.

Ryan Blaney ($7,100)

The rookie has been boom or bust at times this season, but starting 22nd, he has an intriguing ceiling. In six races at 1.5-mile tracks this season, Blaney has two finishes of sixth or better. If he can have another top 10 run Sunday, he could be the steal of the weekend. He has the potential to be an X-factor in lineups this weekend, and he is a perfect driver to take a chance on in GPPs.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. ($6,600)

The bad weather will force Stenhouse to start 23rd, but he has been a top 20 driver at the 1.5-mile ovals his year, and he has a 14.3 average finish in three Cup starts at Chicagoland. A top 15 finish isn't out of the question, and at the very least, he should gain a handful of spots. His price tag and potential through place differential make him appealing in all formats.

Paul Menard ($6,500)

His numbers at Chicagoland aren't overly impressive, but since he has to start 26th, Menard doesn't need a great finish to deliver a decent point total. He has a 17.5 average finish in his last six starts at the track, and a similar run this weekend would mean 30-plus fantasy points by the time place differential is factored. Throw in the friendly price tag, and Menard is among the cheaper drivers worth targeting this weekend.

Aric Almirola ($6,000)

He has to start 27th Sunday, but in four career starts at Chicagoland, Almirola has three finishes of 17th or better, including a 10th-place run last season. He has plenty to gain and not much to lose in the place differential category, and you won't find a cheaper option with a legitimate chance at running in the top 20. He should make a safe source of cap relief in all formats.

Sleeper Special

Brian Scott ($5,300)

If you are hoping to free up a bunch of cap space, Scott may be your best bet if you venture below the $6,000 mark. He starts 34th, so at the very least, he can destroy your lineup with a big negative score. Meanwhile, he finished 22nd at Chicagoland last year, and he has cracked the top 30 in four of the six races on 1.5-mile ovals this season. If Scott can flirt with the top 25, he will provide a respectable score and plenty of roster flexibility.

2016 Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 400 Starting Lineup

Pos.

No.

Driver

Sponsor

Make

1

18

Kyle Busch

Skittles

Toyota

2

2

Brad Keselowski

Miller Lite

Ford

3

11

Denny Hamlin

FedEx Express

Toyota

4

4

Kevin Harvick

Jimmy John's

Chevrolet

5

19

Carl Edwards

Stanley

Toyota

6

78

Martin Truex Jr.

Furniture Row/Denver Mattress

Toyota

7

20

Matt Kenseth

DeWalt Flexvolt

Toyota

8

48

Jimmie Johnson

Lowe's

Chevrolet

9

22

Joey Logano

Shell-Pennzoil

Ford

10

42

Kyle Larson

Coke

Chevrolet

11

14

Tony Stewart

Rush Truck Centers/Mobil 1

Chevrolet

12

41

Kurt Busch

Haas Automation

Chevrolet

13

34

Chris Buescher

Love's Travel Stops

Ford

14

24

Chase Elliott

NAPA Auto Parts

Chevrolet

15

3

Austin Dillon

Dow Packaging

Chevrolet

16

1

Jamie McMurray

McDonald's

Chevrolet

17

88

Alex Bowman

Axalta

Chevrolet

18

31

Ryan Newman

Caterpillar

Chevrolet

19

5

Kasey Kahne

LiftMaster

Chevrolet

20

6

Trevor Bayne

AdvoCare

Ford

21

47

AJ Allmendinger

Kroger/DiGiorno/Hot Pockets

Chevrolet

22

21

Ryan Blaney

Motorcraft/Quick Lane Tire + Auto Center

Ford

23

17

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

Fastenal

Ford

24

16

Greg Biffle

Performance Plus Motor Oil

Ford

25

10

Danica Patrick

Nature's Bakery/TMNT April O’Neil

Chevrolet

26

27

Paul Menard

Moen/Menards

Chevrolet

27

43

Aric Almirola

Smithfield

Ford

28

15

Clint Bowyer

Peak

Chevrolet

29

13

Casey Mears

GEICO

Chevrolet

30

95

Michael McDowell

Thrivent Financial/TMNT Donatello

Chevrolet

31

38

Landon Cassill

MDS Transport

Ford

32

23

David Ragan

Jewel-Osco/TMNT Leonardo

Toyota

33

7

Regan Smith

Nikko RC/TMNT Raphael

Chevrolet

34

44

Brian Scott

Albertsons Co./Shore Lodge

Ford

35

83

Matt DiBenedetto

Mass Markets

Toyota

36

98

Cole Whitt

Moen

Chevrolet

37

46

Michael Annett

Pilot Flying J

Chevrolet

38

32

Joey Gase

JT Concrete/Carolina Cooker/TMNT Rocksteady

Ford

39

55

Reed Sorenson

Vic's Express Car Wash/Vydox Plus

Chevrolet

40

30

Josh Wise

Curtis Key Plumbing

Chevrolet


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