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NASCAR DFS: Citizen Soldier 400

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Expert Brian Polking pinpoints the top drivers to target on DraftKings when the first round of the Chase for the Sprint Cup closes with the Citizens Soldier 400!

Citizen Soldier 400

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The first round of the Chase for the Sprint Cup wraps up this weekend at Dover International Speedway. The "Monster Mile" is always a tough test for drivers. A narrow apron and narrow pit road help make the concrete oval one of the most volatile tracks on the schedule.

When building DFS lineups for this weekend's race, you need to focus heavily on the laps led and fastest laps run categories. With 400 laps on tap, Sunday's race is on par with a short track event regarding number of laps. As with most short track events, you can expect one driver to lead well over 100 laps Sunday, putting up a big point total in the process.

Don't be afraid to top load your lineup with a couple of studs who are capable of dominating the laps led and fastest laps run categories. The scores of the top drivers are likely to be so high that there is a good chance that you can cash in most contests if you can hit on the top options.

Make sure to check back after practice and qualifying for updated picks and lineup strategies. Qualifying is set for Friday at 3:40 p.m. ET, and the Citizen Soldier 400 is set for Sunday at 2:00 p.m. ET on NBCSN.

High-Priced Drivers

Kevin Harvick ($10,900)

He is the defending winner of this weekend's race, and Harvick has been downright dominant at the track since joining Stewart-Haas Racing. He has led 810 laps in five starts, which are 511 more than any other driver in that span. With the pressure off after his win last weekend, Harvick is free to go all out for the win this weekend.

Martin Truex Jr. ($10,500)

Truex is on a tear heading to Dover, and he has led a series-high 394 laps over the last four races, leading the most laps twice. He is also a former winner at Dover, and he led 42 laps here in May before he was caught up in a late wreck while fighting for the lead.

Kyle Larson ($9,900)

He doesn't have an extensive resume at Dover, but Larson has a 6.2 average finish here in five starts, and he has never finished worse than 11th. More importantly, he led 82 laps and finished second in the May race, so he is more than capable of being one of the top scorers this weekend.

Value Plays

Jimmie Johnson ($9,300)

While he isn't exactly cheap, Johnson has the potential to be a steal at this price if he can recapture his previous magic at Dover. He has only led a combined 27 laps in the last four races at the track, but he led 1,147 laps in the past six races combined, leading more than 140 laps five times. Johnson is a 10-time winner at Dover, and his overall numbers are in a class by themselves. If he shows promise in qualifying and practice, don't hesitate to roster him.

Jamie McMurray ($7,800)

McMurray has been running in or around the top 15 for much of the season, and another solid run should be on tap this weekend. He has four finishes of 13th or better in his last six starts at Dover, and he has two top-seven runs in his last three starts here. He is a natural choice if he qualifies in the middle of the pack, and he could be worth look regardless of where he starts.

Kasey Kahne ($7,600)

Few drivers have been running as well as Kahne in recent weeks, and he ranks fifth in driver points scored over the last six races and has four straight top 10s. He also has three straight finishes of sixth or better at Dover, so all signs point to a strong performance from Kahne. He should produce a solid score on finishing position alone, and his value could surge even higher depending on qualifying results.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. ($6,700)

He has made eight Cup starts at Dover, and Stenhouse has cracked the top 20 in six of them. He has been particularly reliable lately, finishing eighth last fall and 14th earlier this year. His value hinges on his starting spot, but if he qualifies in the back half of the field, he is worth a look at this price.

Aric Almirola ($6,300)

Almirola finished 31st at Dover in May, but he picked up a pair of top-five finishes at the track last season. He has also finished with a place differential of +13 or better in three of his last five starts at the track. He is far from a sure thing, but he offers intriguing upside for a great price, especially if he starts back in the pack.

Paul Menard ($6,200)

He has quietly been consistent at Dover, cracking the top 20 in eight of his last ten starts and compiling a 16.3 average finish during the same stretch. He also has three finishes of 11th or better in his last five starts here, including an 11th-place run in May when he gained eight spots. If Menard starts outside the top 20, he should make a cap-friendly addition to lineups.

Sleeper Special

Ty Dillon ($5,900)

Dillon has made nine Cup starts this season, posting a 22.1 average finish and an average place differential of +3.9. He has cracked the top 25 in eight of his starts, logging three top 20s. You won't find another driver in this price range with a safer floor, and if Dillon qualifies deep in the field, he will be a must-own source of cap relief in cash games.


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