With the Halloween trick-or-treating behind us, it is time for teams to take off their costumes and show their real selves. November marks the start of the season where teams start to separate from the pack, and a lot of players get set back to their Junior teams. With a large 13 game slate, we will have to dig into a lot of possible combination and outcomes to find some winners. With that said, let us brush the candy wrappers off our laps and build a winner.
Joe Pavelski - Wing - ($7900 FD / $7700 DK) - The Month of November has been very good to the Sharks and to Joe Pavelski in general. In his career, Pavelski has 83 (38 goals / 45 assists) in November, with 35 of those points coming on the power play. In his last three games, Pavelski has four points (two goals / two assists), with the two goals being power play goals. I like the Pavelski line to factor in a lot of scoring as the defensive pairing of Murphy/Ekman-Larsson have given up a total of 6 goals when they are on the ice.
Kyle Turris - Center - ($5200 FD / $5400 DK) - Turris and his Senators host the defensive train wreck known as the Carolina Hurricanes. In limited action against the Hurricanes, Turris has four goals and four assists while sporting a +/- of +3. Turris and his line should easily score against the Canes in what should be a blowout for them. In four home games, this season Turris has three goals and one assist, and I see him adding one goal and two assists this game.
Artem Anisimov - Center - ($5500 FD / $5700 DK) - Anisimov has caught fire this season with a seven-game point streak. He has scored 11 points (six goals / five assists) in that span. He is currently tied with Richard Panik for the team lead in goals. The Blackhawks host the Flames and look poised to start a big run to open the month of November. I look for Anisimov to score you two quick goals with one of the power play and assist on two more. He will be somewhat lower owned as most people will target other games on this large slate.
Joel Eriksson-Ek - Center - ($3300 FD / $3400 DK) - Eriksson-Ek is a Swedish-born Center that has started his NHL career off with a bang. As the center on the Minnesota Wild's third line, he is still going overlooked by many. He has five points (two goals / three assists) in his first five games of his career. In his last game against the Sabres, he scored the game-winning goal. He is not taking a lot of shots on net (seven shots on goal this season), but that is also due to game script and less ice time. Although against a Sabres team that is just hoping to hang on till their stars return from injuries, I can see Eriksson-Ek and his linemates factoring into at least two goals against the Sabres. His ownership should be low on such a large slate, and you might get him at under 3% on most large GPP slates.
Games to target
With a slate this big, it will be wise to find a few games to target when building your lineups for NHL DFS. I will highlight a few games to target and players to target from that game.
San Jose (-170) vs. Arizona (+150)
Joe Thornton - Center - ($5400 FD / $5600 DK) - Pair with Pavelski. Cheap exposure to top line
Mikkel Boedker - Wing - ($3800 FD / $4400 DK) - Top line wing, cheap price
Logan Couture - Center - ($6600 FD / $6200) - Priced a bit high, but top end talent
Joonas Donskoi - Wing - ($3800 FD / $4000 DK) - A goal in last two games. Cheap exposure. Pair with couture
Tomas Hertl - Wing - ($5300 FD / $4900 DK) - Listed as a wing, but third line center. Take advantage with you want a contrarian play. Second PP unit center.
Brent Burns - Defense - ($8000 FD / $8400 DK) - Top in the NHL. Last four games scoreless. Will be low owned
Martin Hanzal - Center - ($5800 FD / $5100 DK) - Top line center for Arizona
Max Domi - Wing - ($5300 FD / $4600 DK) - Pair with Hanzel
Shane Doan - Wing - ($4900 FD / $4200 DK) - Third line wing, top PP unit wing.
Oliver Ekman-Larsson - Defense - ($6600 FD / $6000 DK) - Best player on team
Carolina (+138) vs. Ottawa (-153)
Mike Hoffman - Wing - ($5500 FD / $6000 DK) - Pair with Turris
Mark Stone - Wing - ($5700 FD / $5400 DK) - Pair with Hoffman and Turris. Check lines, was skating on the third line at practice on Monday.
Tom Pyatt - Wing - ($3000 FD / $3200 DK) - Only use if he stays on the first line. Pair with Hoffman and Turris if that is the case. Otherwise, he will move to the third line. Check lines after morning skate.
Derick Brassard - Center - ($5600 FD / $5100 DK) - Second line center
Bobby Ryan - Wing - ($5000 FD / $5300 SDK) - Pair with Brassard
Ryan Dzingel - Wing - ($3900 FD / $3800 DK) - Pair with Ryan an Brassard
Erik Karlsson - Defense - ($7300 FD / $7800 DK) - Can't fade this monster
I am not considering any Carolina players. You can take a flyer on the line that Aho ($3600 FD / $4100 DK) is on. Otherwise, I don't trust Carolina offense tonight.
Calgary (+150) vs. Chicago (-170)
Artemi Panarin - Wing - ($6600 FD / $6700 DK) - Pair with Anisimov
Marian Hossa - Wing - ( $5900 FD / $4800 DK) - Pair with Anisimov and/or Panarin.
Jonathan Toews - Center - ($6400 FD / $5700 DK) - Top line center
Richard Panik - Wing - ($4200 FD / $5400 DK) - Way to cheap on FD. Tied for team lead in goals (six)
Duncan Keith - Defense - ($6000 FD / $5800 DK) - Shots a ton and has seven assists on season
Patrick Kane - Wing - ($8500 FD / $8300 DK) - A bit pricey, but top line wing and top PP unit.
Sean Monahan - Center - ($6600 FD / 6100 DK) - Last game against Chi had a goal
Johnny Gaudreau - Wing - ($7100 FD / $7000 DK) - Pair with Monahan
Mark Giordano - Defense - ($6600 FD / $6200 FD) - Quiet season, should have a breakout game
Troy Brouwer - Wing - ($5100 FD / $4400 DK) - Cheap exposure. See time on PP
**As always check before puck drop to see starting goalies, as things change**
Martin Jones ($8700 FD / $8200 DK) - Martin has won his last three games and has only given up one goal in each of the three games. He and his Sharks are starting heat up and head to play an Arizona team that is missing their top Goalie. In his last five contests against the Coyotes, Jones is 4-1 with two shutouts against them. I will have a lot of exposure to Jones as I think he will be overlooked tonight.
Craig Anderson ($8600 FD / $7800 DK) - Last week Anderson announced that his Wife was diagnosed with Cancer, and he came out and pitched a shutout the Oilers. Anderson has won his last two games, both shutouts, and looks to add his third win in a row this game. He is playing with a lot of emotion right now, and this will help him. He is another goalie I will have a lot of exposure with. He will be low owned. So great GPP play as well as a cash game play.
Sergei Bobrovsky ($8900 FD / $7500 DK) - Some people are going to question this pick, but hear me out first. Bobrovsky is 8-1-1 lifetime against the Dallas Stars and on the 22nd of October, stopped 32 shots for a shutout against the stars. I love Sergi in this game, and he will be so low owned, as people will flock to the higher named netminders on this large slate. Dallas is a shell of its former self, and are having nothing but issues. Bobrovsky is at home tonight, and he will surprise everyone. He is a great GPP play and will be low owned on most all styles of game. I will have him a lot and will count my winnings while sending him a thank you note.
Favorite Line Stack: Planarian - Anisimov - Hossa(Chicago second line)
Favorite GPP Line Stack: Ryan - Brassard - Dzingle (Ottawa's second line. Will be overlooked.)
Other teams to consider
With a large slate, I only pointed out the games you want to target to start building your core from. Consider finding some GPP plays from the teams listed below.
Minnesota - First and Second Lines - Suter on Defense
Columbus - Consider a two-player stack to pair with Bobrovsky in net. Love their first line in a GPP stack.
Florida/Boston - Players from either side of this game should be in play,
Winnipeg - Love their top line as everyone will be on Washington.
Fun Stat of the Day- The Defensive tandem of Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Connor Murphy have allowed six goals against them when they are on the ice at the same time. Consider that when using any players from San Jose.
Second Fun Stat of the Day - Speaking of bad Defensive tandems. Consider a sneaky line stack of Palat-Stamkos-Kucherov of the Tampa Bay Lightning. Nick Leddy and Travis Hamonic are the second worst pairing in the NHL. They have allowed seven goals to be scored if they are on the ice at the same time. They are the top pairing on the Islanders team, so they will be on the ice when the top line is on the ice at full strength.
Cappy, Where in the world is Devan Dubnyk?? - I was waiting to see if anyone noticed that I did not list Devan Dubnyk on my top goalie picks. Devan will be the chalk due to the fact he has posted three straight shutouts and was named the NHL's second star of the week for last week. His history against the Sabres is nothing to laugh at; he is 3-1-0 with two shutouts. The thing is, being a former goalie, I know what happens when a lot of talk is being thrown your way, and the focus is on you and not the team. The Sabers have bought into Dan Bylsma's style of go out and have fun. They are young and starting to make some noise. They had two very solid games back to back, and the Wild will look past them. I do not think the Wild lose this game, but I think Dubnyk only sees 25 shots on net while stopping 22 of them. His overall score will be too low for his inflated price on both sites ($9000 FD / $8100 DK). I can get better production and higher points from other goalies in same price range. This is a gut feeling thing, if you want to play him, please do, I am just speaking from my experience. The team is going to play open and put to much weight on Dubnyk's shoulders. A letdown game is on the horizon, and I think that game is today.