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Scouting The NBA DFS - Wednesday, November 9

We break down tonight's 11-game slate of NBA action and bring you the best DFS plays on DraftKings and FanDuel

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Plays of the Day

Value: Trevor Booker is a great cash game play as the Nets most reliable front court player right now. He has logged at least 27 minutes and produced with 31 points, 26 rebounds, 7 steals and 4 blocks over his last three appearances and could see a boost in usage and playing time if Brook Lopez is unable to go on the second half of a B2B set tonight.

Fade: Since you essentially have to choose between Russell Westbrook and James Harden on DK, I’ll fade Harden in a tough matchup against Kawhi Leonard and the Spurs. The Beard has been huge in every appearance this season except his two meetings with divisional rival Dallas, and San Antonio is just as familiar and even better equipped to slow him down.

Games to Target

  1. Los Angeles Clippers (-9) hosting Portland Blazers (Over/Under = 208.5)
  2. San Antonio Spurs (-7.5) hosting Houston Rockets (Over/Under = 210.5)

Point Guards

Two Studs

Russell Westbrook (OKC) vs. TOR DK:$11,900/FD:$11,500

His stock is down and his price tag has dropped as well, but that’s mostly because Westbrook’s playing time has been down over his last three appearances. He’s fallen short of value at this lofty price tag in each of those contests, but he should have to do some heavy lifting down the stretch with the Thunder (-3.5) barely favored at home. Toronto is statistically tough on opposing PGs, yet it’s more about who is protecting the rim than who is guarding Westy, and the potential absence of center Jonas Valanciunas (knee) might make life easier for the hyper-aggressive Point God. When he gets going, Westbrook is an obvious triple double threat and he might be more appealing tonight than James Harden, who faces the Spurs.

Chris Paul (LAC) vs. POR: DK:$8,700/FD:$9,400

I’m not really sure what DK is looking at with this price tag, but FD has it right with CP3 as the second most expensive PG on the slate. He’s been a beast lately with 75 points, 38 assists, 29 rebounds and 18 steals despite playing just 30 MPG over his last four appearances and recently flirted with a triple double despite the fact that the Clippers won by over 30 against the Pistons. Now he’ll face a Blazers team that’s always competitive because of how Lillard and McCollum can score, but Portland is on the second half of a B2B and is always vulnerable on the defensive end due to how hard those guys work on offense. Paul had his way with 27 points against Lillard in his season debut and Portland has been giving up the tenth-most FPPG (49.71) to opposing PGs this season.

Potential Value

Shelvin Mack ($4000/$3900) may draw another start if George Hill (thumb) sits for the Jazz. If not, consider Sergio Rodriguez ($5500/$5400) as a solid source of salary relief.

Longshot

Tyus Jones ($3000/$3500) is worth a look in tournaments as a minimum-priced PG with upside after he blew past Kris Dunn with an impressive performance last night.

Shooting Guards

Two Studs

DeMar DeRozan (TOR) @ OKC: DK:$8,000/FD:$8,800

The gap between DDR and Harden is smaller on FanDuel, but it still seems sensible to roll with DeRozan as a correlation play if you’re using Westbrook over Harden anyways. There’s a legitimate chance that the defensively challenged Rockets get blown out by the surgical Spurs tonight, while OKC and Toronto should play another thriller. These teams played a couple of really close contests last year and DeRozan averaged 23.5 PPG with 4.0 APG in those contests. He was an all-star last year, but is one of the most improved players in the league and one of the best scorers in the entire league this year, so he is capable of besting those numbers in an effort to keep pace with Westbrook and the Thunder on the road.

J.J. Barea (DAL) @ GSW: DK:$6,700/FD:$5,700 as PG

Barea flirted with a triple double last night and produced 37.5 DK points (34.4 FD points) to meet or exceed value for the seventh time in as many appearances this season. He's simply a great mid-tier option on DK and he remains a value play on FD with Deron Williams (calf) doubtful to play on the second half of a B2B set, and he'll face a Warriors team that obviously plays with a ton of pace and is struggling defensively, ranking 20th in defensive rating and 25th in PPG allowed (105.9) so far this season. Golden State is allowing the eighth-most FPPG (45.96) to opposing PGs and has not blown out too many opponents thus far.

Potential Value

Marcus Smart ($4500/$4900 as PG on FD) is another cheap SG on DK to consider as a great cash game option.

Longshot

C.J. McCollum ($7000/$7100) has gone OFF in B2B games and he could have another big night scoring if the Clippers sell out to stop Lillard early.

Small Forwards

Two Studs

Kawhi Leonard (SAS) vs. HOU: DK:$9,200/FD:$8,800

If Leonard gets the better of Harden tonight and the Spurs win easily, as a result, then he’ll probably fall a little short of value, but won’t kill your cash game lineups. If Harden finds ways to score and assists against this elite defense, then Leonard will likely respond in kind against a Rockets team that ranks 27th in defensive rating and 27th in opponents 3PT shooting (.378%) so far this year. Kawhi averaged 21.8 PPG, 5.8 RPG and 3.0 STL/BLK per game over 4 meetings with the Rockets last year and he’s taken on a much bigger role as a leader and offensive force for San Antonio this year.

Harrison Barnes (DAL) @ GSW: DK:$6,900/FD:$5,700

You would never think it the way he kept his head down and played his role in Golden State, but Harrison Barnes is playing with an edge as he looks to assert his ability to serve as the secondary or even primary offensive option on an NBA team. He set his career-high with 34 points on Sunday and followed that up with 31 points for the second time this season. Now he'll face his former team in a matchup with heated implications, as he'll look to attack his shiny new replacement Kevin Durant. The Dubs are giving up an above average 20 PPG to opposing SFs this season and the bulk of HB's production has come from scoring.

Potential Value

C.J. Miles ($4600/$4400) has exceeded value in four consecutive appearances and he should keep rolling against the weak Sixers defense tonight.

Longshot

Jaylen Brown ($4500/$3700) and the rest of the Celtics floundered on Sunday night, but they could bounce back in Washington this evening and the rookie is looking at a big opportunity with Jae Crowder (ankle) and Al Horford (concussion) both likely out.

Power Forwards

Two Studs

Kristaps Pozingis (NYK) vs. BKN: DK:$7,200/FD:$6,600

The Unicorn got off to a slow start this season, but he’s come alive lately with 55 points and 13 rebounds over his last two appearances. Now he’ll face a Nets team that he’s routinely punished since entering the league, as his solid per game averages are diminished by two blowout wins last season. The Knicks (-8) aren’t too much better than the Nets at this point in the season and Brooklyn is coming off a surprising win over Minnesota, so you can trust Porzingis to get a full slate of minutes. Brooklyn gives up the third-most FPPG (51.16) to opposing PFs this season and ranks 29th in defensive rating, while KP is the Knicks player with the most upside in this prime matchup.

Trevor Booker (BKN) @ NYK: DK:$5,200/FD:$5,300

Booker is priced appropriately at this point, but he's still a great cash game play as the Nets most reliable front court player right now. While Brooklyn's rotations in the backcourt are getting quite muddled without Jeremy Lin (hamstring) active, Booker has logged at least 27 minutes and produced with 31 points, 26 rebounds, 7 steals and 4 blocks over his last three appearances. He could see a boost in usage and playing time if Brook Lopez is unable to go on the second half of a B2B set, which would put Justin Hamilton ($4100/$4500) in play, but either way, you can use Booker in any format against a weak Knicks frontcourt..

Potential Value

Ersan Ilyasova ($4300/$3700) is still dirt cheap on FD and remains a solid bet for production with the Sixers missing Joel Embiid (rest) tonight.

Longshot

Dwight Powell ($3900/$3800) did indeed get extended run in a different type of matchup last night and he could play a lot of center against the Warriors this evening. If you want a player with more upside, consider Enes Kanter ($5100 as C on DK/$5200) against the Raptors.

Centers

Two Studs

Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN) @ ORL: DK:$8,500/FD:$8,700

KAT met value with a solid performance against the Nets last night, but he’s likely pissed off about losing to one of the worst teams in the NBA and should come out with extra motivation this evening. The Wolves are facing a Magic squad that ranks 26th in defensive rating and coughs up the most FPPG (57.36) to opposing centers this season. Nikola Vucevic is such a laughable mismatch for Towns that his deficiencies put Bismack Biyombo in play as the center, who could lead Orlando in minutes tonight. In any case, Towns is a nightmare for anyone to cover and he should have no trouble paying off his price tag with another solid game.

Andre Drummond (DET) @ PHO: DK:$7,800/FD:$8,100

The Pistons were blown out in embarrassing fashion two nights ago, but Drummond gave a full effort for the second straight game and put up a respectable line with 15 points and 12 rebounds over just 24 minutes of run. If he can do that against Defensive First-Team member DeAndre Jordan, then you should be able to have a field day against Suns backup center Alex Len, who might draw another start with Tyson Chandler (personal) questionable. The Suns went away from Len down the stretch last night and that opened up the paint for Blazers center Mason Plumlee, while Drummond is one of the league’s premier rebounders and accordingly leads the NBA at 14.3 RPG this season.

Potential Value

Alex Len ($4000/$4800) may not get benched so quickly if the Suns are struggling to contain Drummond tonight. If Tyson Chandler returns, you could consider him or use Blazers big man Mason Plumlee ($5000/$5200) for salary relief.

Longshot

Myles Turner ($7200/$6800) has yet to erupt since his huge season debut, but he could do just that tonight against a Sixers team that will be without Joel Embiid.


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