We had a solid week in our rankings at the OHL Classic, with strong performances by Emiliano Grillo, Russell Knox, Chris Kirk, Charles Howell III, Cameron Smith, Jason Bohn, Luke List, Marc Leishman, and Keegan Bradley. They were all inside my top-15 rankings last week and put in great finishes. Also, we can’t forget about last week’s sleeper, Pat Perez, who locked up his second career win. Hopefully, you guys stayed on the train, as Perez is a streaky player who can only be rostered the first part of the season.
This week, we head to Sea Island, Georgia for the RSM Classic, where we are going to have more hometown ties. Some obvious names come to mind (Matt Kuchar, Zach Johnson, Chris Kirk), but there are other not-so-obvious names that live or train here (Patton Kizzire, Brian Harman, Blayne Barber). I think there are advantages to players who see these tracks often and who are Bermuda greens specialists.
Daily and weekly fantasy sports have become all the rage. Battling it out over an entire season is fun, but sites like DraftKings offer a quicker payoff and big payouts for winners! Not only do they offer daily action in the four major professional sports (MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL) as well as college basketball and football but also the PGA Tour.
Your DraftKings lineup is made up of six golfers you select from within the $50,000 salary cap.
Each week DraftKings offers a wide selection of games to enter at a variety of price points. You can even get a feel for the game in a freeroll contest. Before you put your cash on the line, I'll offer my Top Values and Steals in this space every week, specifically geared to help build a winning DraftKings squad. I'll also give you my Overpriced golfers to avoid and a couple of “Vegas Says…” tips to help you find those players for GPPs.
One tough part of this event is that there are two courses the players will see: the Seaside Course and the Plantation Course. However, the players will only see the Plantation once, so it’s much better to focus on history and statistics for the Seaside track. The Seaside Course is a very short par-70, measuring 7,005 yards. There’s a lot of ways this course can be described, but it’s just a links-style course that was planted in the South. It’s flat, has very few trees, can feature rain and strong winds, but it also plays like a soft, Southern course with its Bermuda greens. Like Harbor Town, this is a less-than-driver course for the most part. Players, especially the longer ones will need to hit irons and fairway woods off the tees to keep the ball in play. I’ll be targeting driving accuracy and Pete Dye specialists this week.
Recent Tournament History
Here is the data we can draw upon for this week’s Tournament History:
Finished in the top-20 each of the last three years: Chris Kirk, Kevin Kisner.
Finished in the top-20 in two of the last three years: Kevin Chappell, Russell Henley, Scott Brown, Brendon de Jonge.
Current Form Review
Each week, we’ll take a look backward at the last three tournaments on the PGA and European Tours. I’ve included the top-20 from each of the past three events, and highlighted the players in this field:
Birdie or Better % (BoB%)
There are not many weeks where we aren’t going to target birdie or better percentage because that’s what fantasy golf scoring is all about. We can target our usual birdie-makers, and web.com Tour graduates Wesley Bryan, Ryan Blaum, and JT were elite scorers last season. It’s possible to have a player finish top-10 in fantasy points while not finishing anywhere close to the top-10 in the actual event.
Good Drive Percentage (GD%)
You can target driving accuracy alone, but I also wanted to target some distance metrics, as distance (when drives are straight) is a huge advantage anywhere. As mentioned, the rough/hazards off the tee can be very penal, so keeping the ball in play off the tee is essential. Certain bombers can perform on these shorter tracks because they hit irons and fairways woods off the tee. And shorter hitters will still pop in this stat because they hit a ton of fairways. Some names in the field that pop from 2015’s GD% rankings are Kevin Streelman, Webb Simpson, and Jason Bohn.
Par 4 Scoring (P4)
Anytime we have a shorter, par-70 layout, performances on par-4s are always important. We usually see this on older, narrow courses and Pete Dye designs. Players like Webb Simpson and Jason Bohn come to mind as excellent par-4 scorers, and both fit the mold I’m targeting this week. Another thing that’s great about par-4 scoring is that we have data on the new web.com Tour players. C.T. Pan, J.T. Poston, and Martin Flores are all elite par-4 scorers from the web.com Tour who are in the field this week.
Proximity to the Hole (Prox)
With these small green complexes, I’m not focusing on GIR% but rather on proximity. This is a bit of a misleading stat, but it does show players who are excellent ball strikers. Of the higher priced players in the field, Chris Kirk and Webb Simpson check out on both lists. Of the potential lower-owned plays of the week, we see names like Kyle Stanley, Jon Curran, and Michael Johnson.