Daily Dr. Roto—November 25, 2016
DFS Plays for Week 12
Tom Brady—We learned last week that it’s never wise to go against Brady, so I won’t dare consider not playing in on a team or two (or ten). Brady is not 100 percent healthy, but that might only drive his ownership down a few percentage points which is just fine by me.
Drew Brees—DFS 101: Never bench Drew Brees in the Superdome regardless of the opponent.
Russell Wilson—Has there been a hotter team in the NFL than the Seahawks? The only down side I see is that Rawls will get his 20 carries which could limit Wilson’s overall passing attempts.
Derek Carr—He seemingly gets better with each passing week. The Panthers arrive to the Black Hole with a porous secondary and a penchant for allowing tons of points to opposing offenses.
Eli Manning—It seems like every QB throws for 250 and two TDs against the Browns. Assuming that is his floor, his ceiling could be even higher if the game turns into a shootout.
Josh McCown—Call me crazy, but I think the Browns are a live underdog against the Giants. McCown gets the most out of his targets (especially Duke Johnson and Gary Barnidge) and I think he could have a sneaky good week in DFS.
Andy Dalton—It is very difficult to run on the Ravens, so that means if the Bengals are going to have a chance in this game it will come through the air. Dalton’s ownership will be less than 3% so if you are looking for a GPP flyer he might be your man.
David Johnson—With Bell and Elliott already having played on Thursday, Johnson is the stud that most DFS lineups need to be built around.
Jay Ajayi—Ajayi against the worst run defense in the NFL? Where do I sign up????
Melvin Gordon—Gordon has been getting 28-35 touches each week and racks up the Fantasy points. If he scores a rushing TD he is almost a lock for 20 points.
Spencer Ware—People may have forgotten that Denver’s run defense is horrible but not me. Ware can expose them this week to the tune of 100 yards and a TD.
Thomas Rawls—He might be a top 5 RB moving forward. He’s going to see 20 carries, 3-5 receptions, and all the goal line carries.
Todd Gurley—I am a bit worried that he will be highly owned due to the matchup against the Saints, but I think that Gurley finally gets 100 yards rushing.
Lamar Miller—He looked pretty sharp against the Raiders and I think he can have one of his biggest games of his season at home vs. the Chargers.
Tim Hightower—If Ingram is out with a concussion, Hightower needs to be considered as a top three RB. The sheer volume that he will see will offset the fact that the Rams have an aggressive front seven.
Carlos Hyde—Chip Kelly is going to continue to make Hyde the focal point of the offense and the Dolphins occasionally look like they are sleepwalking defensively.
Wendell Smallwood—He reminds me of a mini Brian Westbrook. That is high praise indeed, but I think Smallwood can give DFS owners a 20 point game on Monday night if Doug Pederson stops monkeying around with his snaps.
Odell Beckham Jr.—Joe Haden will either let up three TDs or be called for three pass interference penalties trying to cover Beckham.
Amari Cooper—He caught a huge TD last week and I think he and Carr are a very good stack in cash games.
Larry Fitzgerald—He is the only WR that Carson Palmer trusts right now.
Kelvin Benjamin—This could be the breakout game that I have been waiting for from Benjamin. Cam will need to throw a ton to keep up with Carr, so watch for Benjamin and Olsen to dominate the targets as usual.
Brandin Cooks—DFS Rule 102: Never go against Brandin Cooks at home in the Superdome.
Doug Baldwin—He’s playing really well right now and is still priced lower than other top receivers.
Tyler Boyd—No A.J. Green should mean that Boyd sees ten targets in a game that should have tons of garbage points.
Mohammed Sanu—If Patrick Peterson is covering Julio Jones, that should leave Sanu at Matt Ryan’s prime target. Look at Adam Thielen last week for evidence if you doubt me.
Steve Smith—This game might be a blowout by halftime but if it is there is a good chance Smith has a 50 yard TD catch by then.
Kenny Britt—Gets the Saints and Goff seems to favor him as his top target.
DeVante Parker—Playing really well right now but I wonder if Tannehill throws more than 25 times considering Ajayi might run for over 200 yards again.
Rishard Matthews—Doesn’t he catch a TD every week?
Greg Olsen—Olsen has been quiet for the last two weeks and Cam knows he needs to get him more involved in the offense.
Tyler Eifert—No Green and Bernard will mean more double coverage on Eifert but it might also mean double digit targets.
Martellus Bennett—I am not sure if he will play against the Jets, but if he does play I think he has a good game. Many DFS dreams were killed by Bennett after last week’s debacle which should also keep his ownership low.
Gary Barnidge—McCown loves throwing to him and the Giants have been soft vs the TE recently.
Jimmy Graham—It’s hard not to like Graham against a Buccaneers defense that has struggled against the pass all season.