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Johnson has been a beast in six of his last seven games (33.50, 34.80, 25.10, 17.80, 27.10, 35.00, and 30.10 Fantasy points in PPR leagues). A big part of his rise has been his improved role in the passing game over the last five games (35/248/3). David has a receiving TD in three straight games while scoring 13 combined TDs on the year. He's on pace to score over 400 Fantasy points. The Redskins are 25th in the league vs. the RB position with seven teams scoring over 25.0 Fantasy points from the RB position. Washington allows 4.7 yards per rush while allowing 16 rushing TDs. They've minimized the damage in the passing to RBs (49/333/1). Huge salary with an uptick matchup, but a 25-point Fantasy game doesn't work for his high salary. Based on 2016, many will fade, and he'll score 40 Fantasy points.
It only took eight games for Bell to reach the top five in scoring at the RB position in PPR leagues. He's scored over 20.0 Fantasy points in six games with two games finishing with more than 30.0 Fantasy points in PPR leagues. Le'Veon averages 24.6 Fantasy points per game despite only scoring four TDs. If he played a full season, he would be projected to catch 114 passes for 874 yards with 140 targets. Bell does have four TDs in his last three games. Only one team scored over 30.0 Fantasy points from the RB position against the Giants (BAL - 160 combined yards with two TDs and nine catches). New York allows only 3.5 yards per rush with RBs scoring nine rushing TDs. RBs have 59 catches for 366 yards on 93 targets vs. the Giants with no TDs. Le'Veon will get his points, but this isn't a great matchup. He needs at least two TDs (three teams scored two rushing TDs vs. New York). More of a fade than a HR swing in Week 13 due to his high salary with his floor being 20.0 Fantasy points.
Also, I'm going to roster Julio Jones Julio Jones ($8,300). He has the best matchup at the top of the WR pool in Week 13.
I know many Fantasy owners in the high-stakes market had a combination of Julio Jones, Brandin Cooks, and Amari Cooper in 2016. This trio crushed Fantasy owners in Week 12 when they combined for only 13.70 points. The short score by Jones was the fourth occurrence in 2016. Julio has six games with over 100 yards receiving with one resulting as an impact game (12/300/1). He averages 9.4 targets per game, which is a 25.5 percent drop in opportunity from 2015 (12.7 targets per game). Jones only has one TD in his last five games. The Chiefs allow the most Fantasy points in the league to WRs with three disaster games (PIT - 12/204/4, NO - 27/285/2, and DEN - 14/304/3). Six WRs have over 100 yards receiving vs. Kansas City (DeAndre Hopkins - 7/113/1, Will Fuller - 4/104, Amari Cooper - 10/129, Michael Thomas - 10/130, Mike Evans - 6/105, and Emmanuel Sanders - 7/162/1). Antonio Brown is the only WR to score two TDs. Apparently, the Chiefs struggles with elite WRs so Jones should get plenty of catches and yards. His impact value is tied to TDs, which have been coming at a slower pace than expected. An excellent chance at 30+ Fantasy points if he scores one TD.
At QB, Russell Wilson ($7,700) works well this week in FanDuel scoring. His matchup is favorable with some salary cap relief.
Russell pissed all over Fantasy owner last week when he was run over by Tampa (151 yards with two Ints and six sacks). In the previous three games, Wilson looked to be on the uptick (BUF - 282/2, NE - 348/3, and PHI - 287/2). On the year, he only has 13 passing TDs with one game with 30+ Fantasy points. Russell did rush for a season-high 80 yards last week while attempting 17 runs in the last two games. The Panthers are 27th in the league defending the QB with two disaster games (ATL - 503/4 and NO - 465/4). Four teams have over 300 yards passing against Carolina with 21 passing TDs. Carolina does limit the damage on the ground to QBs (28/48/1). Temping as a bounce back play.
I’m going to gamble at TE with Martellus Bennett ($5,100). He’s been a dog in back-to-back weeks even with a chance at a bump in targets with Rob Gronkowski injured. Martellus is listed as questionable for this week's game, but he's played enough over the last two weeks to believe he'll be on the field for full-time snaps vs. the Rams.
It's a shame Bennett isn't healthy. He would be rewarded with a great opportunity going forward with Rob Gronkowski out for the season. He's been listed as questionable for multiple games in 2016. Last week Martellus was on the field for 58 of 73 plays run by NE (73 of 76 in Week 12). Over his last two games, he only has four combined catches for 36 yards on seven targets. The Rams are 7th in the league against the TE position with three teams scoring 20 Fantasy points (TB - 6/53/2, CAR - 7/69/1, and NO - 10/133). On the year, Martellus averages about five targets per game. Bennett cost Fantasy owners a ton of money over the last couple of games, and I'm sure Fantasy owners now have trust issues with him. So just when his situation looks the bleakest, Bill Belichick finds a way to make a player shine offensively.
In his first NFL start, Boyd had five catches for 62 yards on nine targets. Over the last two games, Tyler has 11 catches for 116 yards and a TD on 17 targets. He finished with WR2 snaps (55) behind Brandon LaFell (67). The Eagles fell to 20th in the league vs. the WR position after struggling in two of their last four games (ATL - 14/227/1 and GB - 22/264/2). I like his opportunity, and he is the best WR option on the Bengals. His matchup looks neutral with an above average opportunity for his price point.
Wilson went from zero to hero in two easy games. In Week 11, he caught one of his four targets for 35 yards. Last week Marquess had a huge game against the Titans (8/125/1 on 11 targets). He finished with WR2 snaps (47), but the Bears did rotate in three other WRs behind him. His success last week will make him an attractive play against the 31st defense against WRs (137/1868/29 on 226 targets). WRs have two TDs or more against the 49ers in eight games. Favorable matchup with a low-price point making him a popular choice at the back end of the WR pool.
Here’s my Perfect Lineup at FanDuel: