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Scouting The NBA DFS - Saturday, December 10

We've got a large 10-game slate of NBA action this Saturday and the Daily DFS Breakdown will help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel

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Plays of the Day

Value: Jrue Holiday and E'Twaun Moore are doubtful to suit up for the Pelicans tonight, which leaves Tim Frazier to start alongside rookie Buddy Hield, but the biggest beneficiary has been Langston Galloway. He's combined to produce 45 points, 4 assists and 62.75 DK points (57 FD points) while playing 64 minutes over his last two appearances and he's definitely going to be a worthwhile value play if he's seeing that amount of run.

Fade: James Harden was the correct call as a fade last night and we can continue to pay up for other studs tonight, as the Rockets (-13) could spread the ball around and beat Dallas rather easily without Harden going nuts on the second half of a B2B set.

Games to Target

  1. Memphis Grizzlies (+11) hosting Golden State Warriors (Over/Under = 210)
  2. Indiana Pacers (PK) hosting Portland Blazers (Over/Under = 217.5)

Point Guards

Two Studs

Chris Paul (LAC) vs. NO DK:$8,800/FD:$9,000

This is an admittedly difficult position to sift through on a full slate with several appealing options in the upper-tier range, but I like Paul’s floor-ceiling combination in a good bounce back spot. The Clippers were absolutely embarrassed at home by their rivals on Wednesday and afterwards it was revealed that Blake Griffin is dealing with a knee injury that might’ve contributed to his sluggish performance. Paul was steady as per usual in that blowout loss, and he might take on more scoring responsibilities against his former team if Griffin isn’t feeling 100 percent. The Pelicans cough up the fourth-most PPG (24.0) to opposing PGs this season and CP3 averaged 18.8 PPG, 11 APG and 5.3 RPG over 4 meetings with his former team last season.

Kemba Walker (CHA) @ CLE DK:$7,500/FD:$8,000

The secondary options at PG tonight are all worth consideration in GPP formats, as Damian Lillard ($8400) is under priced on DK, as is his adversary Jeff Teague ($6500) and triple-double threat Rajon Rondo ($5900). I’d recommend Lillard on DK of those three players, but Walker might serve as more of a contrarian option given his quiet game last night and modest production over his last several appearances. Yet the Cavaliers often force the best out of their challengers in the ECF and they’ve been particularly vulnerable against elite guards such as DeMar DeRozan, Damian Lillard and Jimmy Butler of late. Kyrie Irving is a pitiful individual defender and the Cavs are now giving up the eighth-most FPPG (44.71) and ninth-most APG (8.40) to opposing PGs on the season. Kemba averaged 22.3 PPG and 5.7 APG over 3 meetings with Cleveland last season, and he should be well rested after logging just 25 minutes last night on the front end of a B2B set.

Potential Value

Toney Douglas ($3000/$4000) appears to be overtaking struggling young PG Andrew Harrison and he could see a lot of playing time against Golden State tonight.

Longshot

Elfrid Payton ($4600/$5400) continues to meet or exceed value despite coming off Orlando’s bench and he draws a great matchup tonight against the Nuggets. Shelvin Mack ($4900/$4000) is worth a look with George Hill out and Rodney Hood questionable for Utah tonight.

Shooting Guards

Two Studs

Dwyane Wade (CHI) vs. MIA DK:$6,500/FD:$7,200

While it might be too soon for some of you to roll with Giannis Antetokounmpo ($9900/$10,200) after his massive dud last night, the Greek Freak remains a quality GPP option in a plus matchup and he’s preferable to James Harden in my mind at the top of this position. That being said, you can roll with a mid-tier option such as D-Wade and save money for LeBron or The Brow, as the Bulls SG should be ready to torch his former team tonight. Wade took it somewhat easy in his return to Miami earlier this season, producing just 13 points on 5-of-17 shooting, but we often see stars struggle in their very first game against their former franchise, as the emotions can affect their production. Tonight, Wade should be ready to put on for the city that raised him over the franchise that raised him and he’ll meet little resistance with basically every wing defender on Miami’s roster injured.

Langston Galloway (NO) @ LAC: DK:$4,400/FD:$4,100

Injuries are the mother of opportunity in NBA DFS and the Pelicans are most likely going to be missing both of their starting guards for a third consecutive game tonight. Jrue Holiday and E'Twaun Moore are doubtful to suit up at Staples Center on Saturday, which leaves Tim Frazier to start alongside rookie Buddy Hield, but the biggest beneficiary has been Galloway. He's combined to produce 45 points, 4 assists and 62.75 DK points (57 FD points) while playing 64 minutes over his last two appearances and he's definitely going to be a worthwhile value play if he's seeing that amount of run regardless of the tough matchup on paper against an elite Clippers defense.

Potential Value

Rodney McGruder ($3900/$4200) is definitely still worth a look with Miami down to nine healthy bodies. Tony Allen ($4600/$5000) remains an excellent cash game option and he’ll have more upside if Troy Daniels (illness) can’t suit up tonight.

Longshot

Rodney Stuckey ($3500/$3800) is heating up for the Pacers and he could be very productive in a potential track meet against the Blazers tonight.

Small Forwards

Two Studs

LeBron James (CLE) vs. CHA: DK:$9,400/FD:$9,800

The King made quick work of an overmatched and undermanned Heat squad last night by posting 27 points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists over 37 minutes of run. While it’s strange to see him play that much in a 30-point win, perhaps it indicates that the Cavs need more all-around production from LeBron with Kevin Love (back) at less than 100 percent. K-Love infuriatingly told reporters that he’d “give it a go” before having one of his best games of the season (28 points on 11-of-18 FG shooting and 15 rebounds) last night, but back stiffness is something that can really flare up if you try to play on B2B nights. If we hear similar rhetoric from Love going into tonight’s ECF showdown, consider James as the biggest beneficiary due to his increased responsibilities as a scorer as well as on the boards.

Gordon Hayward (UTA) vs. SAC: DK:$8,700/FD:$8,200

Apparently Hayward’s aggravated finger injury will only keep him out one game, as he’s expected to return for tonight’s home tilt against the Kings. Sacramento is a mediocre defensive team that is coming off a tight loss to the Knicks last night and should really struggle to contain a versatile scorer in Hayward. While you might have concerns about his ability to shoot with a finger injury, Hayward has been playing with that issue all year and he’s still been carrying the Jazz offense with averages of 23.1 PPG, 6.4 RPG and 3.9 APG over 17 appearances. He averaged 22 PPG, 6.7 RPG and 4 APG over 3 meetings with the Kings last season and seems like a very reliable option in this plus matchup.

Potential Value

Derrick Williams ($3000/$3700) can serve as a true punt play tonight, but he’ll be worth deploying if Josh Richardson and Justise Winslow remain inactive for Miami.

Longshot

C.J. Miles ($4000/$4200) is starting to round back into form for Indiana, but still remains a GPP only option until he shows consistency. Evan Turner ($4800/$4600) had a big game with Mo Harkless out on Thursday and Al-Farouq Aminu suffered a setback in that contest, so Turner should keep logging heavy minutes.

Power Forwards

Two Studs

Anthony Davis (NO) @ LAC: DK:$11,500/FD:$11,900

As is the case with Russell Westbrook, it’s never a bad idea to pay up for The Brow if you can find decent value plays elsewhere. Unless you can predict his in-game injuries, you have to trust Davis to put up numbers in what should be a close contest against a Clippers team that should be lacking confidence after their shoddy performance on Wednesday. While the Clips held Davis to just 21 points in a blowout win last Friday, this is a completely different situation with Blake Griffin banged up and the Pelicans forced to lean even more heavily on The Brow due to Jrue Holiday’s toe injury. When given increased usage, Davis is even more of a beast and it wouldn’t be surprising if he dropped one of his 35-10 games to keep the Pelicans competitive on the road tonight.

Dwight Powell (DAL) @ HOU: DK:$5,000/FD:$4,500

Although Powell nearly turned in a massive dud last night, as he got into early foul trouble and just managed to meet value with a solid fourth quarter, he's still worth consideration at this modest price tag. He remained efficient with 14 points on 6 FG attempts and he's now shooting 57.8% (26-of-45) from the floor while averaging 11.3 PPG over his last 6 appearances. Dallas is only going to depend on the young forward more with Dirk Nowitzki and Andrew Bogut both out indefinitely and a matchup at the fast-paced Rockets should provide plenty of opportunities for him to rebound the basketball and put up numbers on both ends of the floor.

Potential Value

Aaron Gordon ($4000/$4000 as SF on FD) has been relatively steady for the Magic lately and he draws a good matchup against the Nuggets tonight.

Longshot

Nikola Jokic ($5200 as C on DK/$5400) is crushing it for Denver and tonight he’ll face a Magic defense that is very weak on the interior.

Centers

Two Studs

DeMarcus Cousins (SAC) @ UTA: DK:$10,300/FD:$11,200

While I might share your concerns about using Cousins on the second half of a B2B set against a team with a great defensive reputation, that $600 price drop on DK certainly helps assuage those worries. Boogie has been excellent on 0 days rest this year with averages of 31.6 PPG and 13.2 RPG while somehow playing more MPG (37.3) in those situations under new HC Dave Joerger. He averaged 30 PPG, 13 RPG and 4 APG over 3 meetings with Utah last season, so Rudy Gobert’s length clearly doesn’t bother him, but Cousins’ strength should pose a problem for the skinny Frenchman. With a monstrous 36.9% Usage Rate and a career-best .556% True Shooting percentage, Cousins is DFS gold right now and he’s not accordingly priced on DraftKings.

Marc Gasol (MEM) vs. GSW: DK:$7,900/FD:$8,400

The Grizzles are red hot right now during a 6-game winning streak and they can thank their unquestioned leader in Gasol. Big Spain has been on fire over the last two weeks with averages of 25.3 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 4.8 APG and 3.0 STL/BLK per game over his last 5 appearances. More than that, his on-court performance as the glue behind a solid Memphis defense and a dramatically improved offensive player in terms of creating his own shot has kept the Grizzlies in the playoff race despite their laundry list of injuries. Anytime a team hosts Golden State you have to worry about a blowout, but Gasol is such a savvy player and the Warriors have such obvious defensive deficiencies down low that you can expect another herculean effort from the big man as he exploits those weaknesses and keeps Memphis in the game.

Potential Value

Salah Mejri ($3600/$3800) turned in a solid bounce back game over 27 minutes of run last night and he could double double tonight against the fast-paced Rockets.

Longshot

Serge Ibaka ($6000/$6200 as PF on FD) could play huge minutes tonight with both Nikola Vucevic (back) and Bismack Biyombo (shoulder) questionable for Orlando.


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