Jon Dahlin/Viking Update

Week 17: Fantasy Stock Market - Buy, Sell, Or Hold?

Fantasy Football Expert Mark Morales-Smith examines whether to buy, sell, or hold these six players as we approach the final week of the NFL's regular season!

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Risers

http://www.scout.com/player/125948-blake-bortles?s=532

QB Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars

After a disastrous 92 yard performance Week 15, Bortles bounced back with a very solid performance Week 16. He threw for 325 yards, one touchdown, and no interceptions. On top of his big game last week, he also has a favorable matchup this week against an inept Indianapolis Colts defense. Indy is currently allowing the eighth-most Fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks according to out SCOUT Fantasy Points Allowed Tool. Most importantly, it appeared that he and star wideout Allen Robinson finally got on the same page as A-Rob and Bortles connected on 9-of-12 targets for 147 yards. If they can continue to build off that they could end a massively disappointing season on a high note with something to build off of.

Verdict: Buy Bortles. This is solely because there is just one week left in the season and I don't mind him in a spot start situation this week. There are a handful of quarterbacks that will likely be sitting out or limited this week, and Bortles is a more than decent fill in.

http://www.scout.com/player/178757-adam-thielen?s=532

WR Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings

This guy had Fantasy owners throwing things at their TV Week 15 and holding up trophies Week 16. After putting up a goose egg the previous week, Thielen went nuts championship week. He caught an incredible 12-of-15 targets for 202 yards and two TDs. If you survived the previous week and started him, he could have very well put your team over the top title week. He'll look to hit the century mark this week as he sits with 960 receiving yards.

Verdict: Hold Thielen. If you're expecting him to come anywhere near 12 catches, 200 yards or even two TDs, you will more than likely not be pleased with his output this week. However, there is no reason he can't catch seven passes for 85 yards and if you're lucky, a TD. He's a solid WR3 this week against the Chicago Bears.

http://www.scout.com/player/89980-brandon-lafell?s=532

WR Brandon LaFell, Cincinnati Bengals

It’s now clear that the Bengals will be finishing out their season without star pass-catchers A.J. Green and Tyler Eifert. Since Eifert went down, no one has benefited more than LaFell. Over the past two games, he's posted 14 receptions, 221 yards, and a TD. Last week was a true breakout game with six receptions for 130 yards and one TD. There is no real reason why his production should fall off a cliff Week 17.

Verdict: Sell LaFell. What can I say? I just don't trust the guy. To me, he's one of those players that does just enough to make you think you can start him and then he flops on you. Against a tough matchup with the Baltimore Ravens' defense this week, I refuse to buy in on LaFell.

Fallers

http://www.scout.com/player/38300-rashad-jennings?s=532

RB Rashad Jennings, New York Giants

There is a clear changing of the guard among the Giants' running backs. The 31-year-old Jennings is being phased out for rookie Paul Perkins. After dominating carries previously, Jennings has carried the ball 48 times for 146 yards over the past four games. Perkins, however, has seen a boost in his workload carrying the ball 48 times as well for 207 yards. There is a strong chance the pendulum continues to swing in Perkins favor during the league's closing week.

Verdict: Sell Jennings. You just can't trust a player that you don't know what kind of workload he'll be given. There is a strong chance he finishes the game with single-digit touches. You just can't risk that championship week. Hopefully, you have better options this week.

http://www.scout.com/player/132120-stefon-diggs?s=532

WR Stefon Diggs, Minnesota Vikings

After a red-hot start to the season, Diggs has seen his production fall off a cliff. He hasn't reached 60 yards in a game now November 13. During that five game span of fewer than 60 yards he has just one TD and he's averaged less than five receptions per game. Over the past two weeks, he has just 42 total yards on six receptions. There is no reason to have any high hopes for him heading into Week 17. Starting Diggs would be about as risky as they come and a successful outcome would be chalked up to luck, not skill.

Verdict: Sell Diggs. He’s a talented kid with a bright future, but now just isn’t the time to plug him into your lineup. He’s been hindered by a knee injury and just can’t be trusted at this point. However, he should be a bright spot in the Vikings’ offense for years to come.

http://www.scout.com/player/114497-jordan-reed?s=532

TE Jordan Reed, Washington Redskins

There was a point in the season when Reed looked dominant. Outside of Rob Gronkowski, no tight end appeared to be on his level. However, the same thing that always happens to Reed happened yet again. Injuries ravaged his season. Concussions and shoulder injuries cost him four huge games and upon his return from the shoulder injury he has been a shell of his former self. During the Fantasy playoffs, he missed Round 1, caught one pass for 10 yards Round 2 and caught one pass for six yards championship week. Clearly, he is not the player he was early in the season.

Verdict: Sell Reed. This is exactly why you don’t draft these injury plagued players. Sure the upside is enticing, but you just can’t trust them. Things looked great for a while, nevertheless, how is going now for you Reed and Tyler Eifert owners? You have to be so careful when making these moves. It’s easy for me to sell Reed because I never really bought in for just this reason.


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