The Orioles pounded out 253 HRs in 2016 to fall 11 HRs short of the 1997 Seattle Mariners. Even with their success with the long ball, they finished 7th in the American League in runs scored (744) while trailing the Boston Red Sox by 134 runs. Baltimore finished 2nd the AL East leading to a first round loss to the Toronto Blue Jays in the Wild Card game. Mark Trumbo led the team in HRs (47) with Manny Machado (37) and Chris Davis (38) also having productive seasons.
On the pitching side, the Orioles finished 10th in the AL in ERA (4.22) with 54 saves (2nd). Their success in pitching side from their bullpen, which finished 3rd in the majors in bullpen ERA (3.40).
The top players possibly leaving Baltimore via free agency are C Matt Wieters and DH Pedro Alvarez. Backup utility player Steven Pearce signed with the Blue Jays. The Orioles signed C Welington Castillo to replace Wieters in the starting lineup. The only other addition in early January is RP Logan Verrett. Baltimore acquired OF Seth Smith in early January for SP Yovani Gallardo, which looks like an addition by subtraction. Smith will move into a competitive role in right field.
Baltimore resigned Mark Trumbo in mid-January to help solidify the middle of the batting order.
I expect Baltimore to add at least one outfielder and an upgrade at DH. Their starting rotation and top bullpen arms will have the same characters as 2016. They’re clearly behind the Red Sox in the chase to win the AL East title.
1. OF Hyun Soo Kim
Kim failed to live up to expectations in his first season in the majors. The Orioles gave him minimal at bats in April (15) and May (35) while holding his own at the plate (.360 with a HR and three RBI). Hyun Soo worked his way into a semi-platoon role in left after Joey Rickard hit his way out of the starting lineup. Over 204 at bats in June, July, and August, he hit .304 with almost empty production in HRs (3) and RBI (10). His approach at the plate was above the league average in both walk rate (10.4) and K rate (14.7). Kim didn't have a hit in 17 at bats against lefties with solid success in batting average vs. RH pitching (.321). Hyun Soo hit 28 HRs in 2015 in Korea, but his swing path delivered too many ground balls (52.6 percent) in the majors in 2016. Baltimore will platoon him in left field in 2017. Possible growth in his second year in the majors, but his skill set is below a winning play in just about any format in the Fantasy world. Worth a flier in an AL-only league as his power could make a step forward.
2. OF Adam Jones
Jones hit his way out of the middle of the Orioles lineup early in the year (.223 with five HRs and 14 RBI), which led to him being a misplaced leadoff hitter over the second half of 2016. Adam handled the job well (.282 with 24 HRs and 64 RBI) while maintaining a weak walk rate (5.8) despite his best success in this area since 2009 (6.9). Jones set a career best in his K rate (17.1). The downgrade in job led to his lowest RBI chances (343) in six years (375, 372, 372, 453, 432, and 361). His best success came in June (.314 with 11 HRs and 27 RBI in 121 at bats). Jones had a tough time with LH pitching .218 with three HRs and 17 RBI in 147 at bats) after playing better in this area in 2014 (.344 with nine HRs and 20 RBI) and 2015 (.261 with six HRs and 20 RBI in 134 at bats). He had a career high FB rate (40.6) with regression in his HR/FB rate (14.1). Nice power hitter whose traded some of his batting average for power by changing his swing path. Speed is no longer part of his skill set. Solid floor of .265 with 25 HRs and 85 RBI with more upside tied to his slot in the batting order.
3. SS Manny Machado
Manny had a nice follow through season in 2016 while also qualifying at short. He disappointed Fantasy owners with a big goose egg in steals after making a huge step forward in this area in 2015 (20 steals in 28 chances). Machado had growth in his RBI production (96) due to a 30 percent growth in RBI chances (411) thanks to solid depth in Baltimore’s starting lineup. His walk rate (6.9) fell back in line with his career average (6.6) after showing improvement in 2015 (9.8). His K rate (17.2) remains above the league average (20.3) while fading as well from his previous season (15.6). He added more length to his hits (average hit – 1.814) as well as improvement in his contact batting average (.362). His best success came against lefties (.329), but most of his power came vs. RH pitching (32 HRs and 81 RBI). Last season Manny graduated to a number three hitter (.285 with 26 HRs and 70 RBI). His swing path produced a career high FB rate (42.7) with a slight step back in his HR/RB rate (16.5). At age 24, there is a lot to like about his game, especially as a shortstop. The Orioles don't have the proper structure in front of him in the batting order to produce impact RBI chances plus his run rate (.44) could slide with fewer HRs hit behind him in the batting order. Possible .300 hitter with a 30/100 skill set. His speed should rebound where Machado at least chips in this season. In the early draft season, Manny remains the number one shortstop drafted with an ADP of 8 in 15 team drafts.
4. 1B Chris Davis
Davis has led the AL in strikeouts in 2015 (208) and 2016 (219). His K rate (32.9) remains in losing area while his walk rate (13.2) has improved in each of his last four years. Chris had similar RBI chances (392) as his top two seasons in RBI (138 and 117) while seeing a sharp decline in his RBI rate (13). He can’t maintain a reasonable batting average without hitting over .400 when making contact. Davis accomplished this in 2012 (.402), 2013 (.434), and 2015 (.411). Chris struggled against both RH (.223 with 30 HRs and 55 RBI) and LH (.217 with eight HRs and 29 RBI) pitching. His batting average was under .240 in each month except June (.284 with nine HRs and 24 RBI). Surprisingly, he hit only .196 at home (17 HRs and 39 RBI in 275 at bats). Davis produced a massive HR/FB rate in all five seasons with the Orioles (25.2, 29.6, 22.6, 29.4, and 25.0). His fade in batting average in 2016 was tied to career low LD rate (19.8) while maintaining his high FB rate (43.7). Pure power hitter with his success in batting average and RBI production coming from a better thought process. League-leading upside in HRs with a chance at 100+ RBI. The coin flip on his value in batting average will land on negative side more than not going forward.
5. OF Mark Trumbo
Trumbo went from dud to stud in two seasons. He led the AL in 47 HRs while setting career highs in runs (94) and RBI (108). His K rate (25.5) was just above his career resume with almost a league average walk rate (7.7). Mark hit the ball well against righties (.284 with 37 HRs and 84 RBI over 457 at bats), but his swing came up empty many nights vs. LH pitching (.173 with 10 HRs and 24 RBI over 156 at bats). Trumbo hit six HRs or more in each month with most of the damage in HRs coming before the All-Star break (.288 with 28 HRs and 68 RBI over 347 at bats). His power (19 HRs and 40 RBI over 266 at bats) stayed strong after the break, but he only hit .214. Mark had a career-high HR/FB rate (24.6), which was well above his 2014 (14.3) and 2015 (14.5) seasons. His swing path produced the highest FB rate (43.1) of his career. He signed a three-year contract for $37.5 million in mid-January. His resume points to a 30/90 type player with batting average risk. Maybe the next Nelson Cruz while batting in a hitter’s ballpark, but I expect a setback in production.
Senior Fantasy Baseball Expert Adam Ronis' First Reaction:
It appeared Mark Trumbo was not going to be back in Baltimore and that was not going to be ideal for his fantasy value, depending on the landing spot. It turned out the market wasn't as great as Trumbo anticipated and he signed a three-year, $37.5 million deal with the Orioles. Trumbo was hoping to land an $80 million contract.
Trumbo has always shown excellent power. Everything that could have gone right for Trumbo last season did. Trumbo batted .256 with 94 runs, 47 home runs, 108 RBIs, a .316 OBP and an .850 OPS. Trumbo played in 159 games and had 613 at-bats, which is the second highest of his career.
Trumbo's power plays well in Camden Yards, although he had 25 home runs in 79 games at home and 22 on the road in 80 games, so he's not entirely park dependent. It's difficult to envision him repeating the home runs. It's best to project 30-35 home runs. Trumbo had a 24.6 percent HR/FB rate, which is above his career mark of 19.3 percent.
Trumbo is going to hit around .250 and hurts in on-base percentage leagues due to his propensity to strike out with a 25 percent career mark. Trumbo should play some outfield and designated hitter like he did last season.
Trumbo was a bargain last season due to coming off a disappointing season in which he hit 22 home runs in 142 games. I landed Trumbo in round 14 in the Tout Wars 15-team mixed league that I won for the second consecutive season.
It will cost way more to get Trumbo. He went in the fourth round of a 15-team draft champions league I am in. That's too steep of a price for me. Khris Davis of the A's has a similar profile, and he hit 42 home runs last year, and he goes a few rounds later. For me, it always comes down to team construction so if you start a draft with Jose Altuve and Starling Marte, Trumbo could be a good fit in rounds four to six in a 15-team league. In an auction league, the price will be too high.
Joey Rickard will see a decrease in playing time and becomes a platoon player against left-handers, while Trey Mancini goes from the designated hitter to a part-time player.
6. 2B Jonathan Schoop
Schoop played a full season in 2016 leading to career highs in just about every offensive category. His K rate (21.1) was his best for a full season with no real upside in his ability to take a walk (3.3). His success in RBI (82) was created by volume of at bats while hitting 6th or below in the batting order in 469 at bats. Jon did have his best success batting second (.315 with seven HRs and 17 RBI in 124 at bats), but he took only one walk. His bat had much more value at home (.305 with 17 HRs and 62 RBI in 338 at bats) than on the road (.220 with eight HRs and 20 RBI in 177 at bats). Schoop still has weakness against lefties (.243 in 2016 with five HRs and 17 RBI in 148 at bats). Even with the huge surge in power, Jonathan has a career low FB rate (34.9) with a step back in his HR/FB rate (14.9). Free swinger with an improving skill set. The structure of the Orioles lineup in early January lacks depth, which is positive sign for Schoop to hit in a move favorable part of the batting order. Possible 30 HRs at second base with a slight improvement in his swing path while offering neutral success in batting average and RBI.
7. C Welington Castillo
Welington has developed into a nice backend power source at catcher over the last two seasons. With Matt Wieters headed for a big payday, Baltimore added Castillo as a stop gap until Chance Sisco is ready to take over the catching position. Last year he swung the bat well with runners on base leading a career high in his RBI rate (18.0) while also having a career high in his RBI chances (308). In Arizona, Welington was a platoon hitter with his best success coming against lefties (.278 with seven HRs and 21 RBI in 115 at bats). Over the last three months of 2016, he had only six HRs in 198 at bats while producing an edge in RBI (44). His K rate (26.5) does invite batting average risk with a slightly below league average walk rate (7.1 in his career). His bump in batting average was due to spike in his LD rate (25.4 – 18.4 in 2015), which led to a lower FB rate (32.8) and step back in HR/FB rate (14.3). The move to the AL should treat him well. I see a .240 hitter with a 15/50 skill set.
8. OF Seth Smith
Smith has never had a full-time starting job in his major-league career. He has double digit HRs in seven of his last eight seasons while setting a career high in RBI (63) in 2016. In his career, Seth hits .272 vs. righties with risk against LH pitching (.202). He had a career-high HR/FB rate (18.0 – 11.8 in his career) with 13 of his 16 HRs coming in April (4), July (4), and September (5). Steady platoon bat, but his play time is tough to gauge. Reasonable approach with injury cover value if he’s getting every day at bats against RH pitching.
9. SS J.J. Hardy
For the second straight season, Hardy missed more than 40 games due to battle with a left foot injury. Over the first three months of 2016, J.J. hit .240 with two HRs and 11 RBI over 125 at bats. His bat was more steady than impactful over the second half of the year (.282 with seven HRs and 37 RBI over 280 at bats). He had similar success against lefties and righties (.269). His HR/FB rate (7.3) has been short in his last three seasons. Bottom of the order hitter with a chance at mid-teens in HRs with a healthy season.
BN. OF Joey Rickard
Baltimore gave Rickard plenty of chances in April (.280 with a two HRs, seven RBI, and one SBs in 93 at bats) and May (.214 with two HRs, four RBI, and two SBs over 84 at bats) to prove his worth at the major-league level. His bat had more value as a part-time player in June and July (.313 with one HR, eight RBI, and a SB over 80 at bats), but he suffered a thumb injury just after the All-Star break to end his 2016. Joey handled himself well vs. lefties (.313 with three HRs and nine RBI in 83 at bats), which puts him on a path to be a platoon hitter until he shows growth against RH pitching (.247 with two HRs and 10 RBI in 174 at bats). Over four seasons in the minors, Rickard hit .283 with 13 HRs, 149 RBI, and 73 SBs over 1237 at bats. His skill set projects to be a 10/30 player if/when he shows enough growth to command full time at bats. His walk rate (12.7) gives him top of the order ability. Possible speed out, but his early season playing time could be sporadic. Joey may be a year away from being viable Fantasy option.
BN. 1B Trey Mancini
Over four seasons in the minors, Trey hit .306 with 54 HRs, 275 RBI, and 12 SBs in 1878 at bats. His bat made a step forward in 2015 between High-A and AA when Mancini hit .341 with 21 HRs, 89 RBI, and six SBs over 533 at bats. Baltimore gave him just about a full season at AAA in 2016 (.280 with 13 HRs and 54 RBI over 483 at bats). Over 14 at bats in the majors last year, Trey hit .357 with three HRs and five RBI. His resume doesn't point to high upside and his opportunity in 2017 with hinge on the Orioles’ final pieces to added to the major-league roster. Backend flier with a balance swing path. Possible 15/75 skill set with 500+ at bats.
BN: 1B Christian Walker
It's never a good sign when a player repeats more than one season at one level in the minors. Walker has 1204 at bats at AAA over the last three years leading to a .260 batting average with 42 HRs, 157 RBI, and two SBs. Over the last three seasons in the minors, Christian has 62 HRs in 1570 at bats. This gives him a chance to add power off the bench for the Orioles in 2017 while being at the mercy of any new free agents added to the roster. Both his walk rate (8.3) and K rate (21.4) project as being just below major league average. Over the last two years in majors, Walker hit .148 over 27 at bats with one HR and one RBI. I view him as possible short term injury replacement if he’s getting full time at bats at any point during the year while showing power in the majors.
BN: C Chance Sisco
Sisco is the Orioles top prospect headed into the 2017 season and the heir apparent to be the future starting catcher with Matt Wieters no longer on the roster. His glove and ability to throw out baserunners is below average, which tends to affect the mind if he struggles with his defensive responsibilities in the majors. Chance hit .323 over 1291 at bats in the minor with 18 HRs, 159 RBI, and 12 SBs. He has a full season of experience at AA (.310 with six HRs, 52 RBI, and two SBs over 484 at bats) with a few at bats at AAA (.250 with two HRs and seven RBI in 16 at bats) in 2016. His swing path produces more line drives than long balls with a respectable walk rate (11.0). Sisco may reach the majors late in 2017, but his defense will hold him back from earning a starting job. His bat isn’t strong enough to command at bats at DH.
C Caleb Joseph – In 2014 and 2015, Joseph had 20 HRs and 77 RBI over 566 at bats with the Orioles as an injury cover and backup option for Matt Wieters. In 2016, he struggled with a groin injury that led to losing season with Baltimore (.174 with no HRs or RBI over 132 at bats). Caleb did hit .269 at three levels in the minors over 92 at bats with two HRs and 11 RBI. Occasional power with a short leash with Sisco offering more upside in the minors.
IF Ryan Flaherty – Over 1104 at bats in the majors, Ryan has a poor batting average (.216) with flashing serviceable power (35) and RBI production (124). Last year he only hit .204 against righties, which isn't a great sign for a left-handed bench hitter. The Orioles need to find an upgrade over him off the bench.
OF Daniel Alvarez – He’ll compete for a backup outfield job this spring. Over four seasons in the minors, Alvarez hit .293 over 1663 at bats with 39 HRs, 219 RBI, and 24 SBs. His bat flashed more upside in Cuba in 2010 at age 21 (.363 with 20 HRs, 81 RBI, and two SBs over 344 at bats).
OF Aneury Tavarez – Baltimore selected Tavarez with 12th pick in this season Rule 5 Draft in December. Last season in the Red Sox system between AA and AAA, Aneury hit .330 with seven HRs, 47 RBI, and 18 SBs over 400 at bats. He’s a career .270 hitter in the minors with 40 HRs, 221 RBI, and 90 SBs in 1920 at bats. The Orioles will need to carry him on the major-league roster if they want to keep him in their system. His lack of experience at AAA (three hits in 15 at bats with no HRs or RBI) paints a losing picture in the Fantasy games.
1. SP Chris Tillman
Other than 2015 (11-11 with a 4.99 ERA), Tillman has been a backend pitcher over the last five seasons. He’s 32 games over .500 during this span with a serviceable ERA (3.51) and WHIP (1.218). His walk rate (3.5) has been sliding backward in two straight seasons while offering a slight uptick in K ability in 2016 (7.3 strikeouts per nine innings). Chris was a great front runner in 2016 (1.98 ERA in his 16 wins) while offering downside in his other 14 starts (6.55 ERA and 1.678 WHIP). He missed three weeks in late August and early September with right shoulder issue leading to mixed results in his last three starts of the year (4.85 ERA). His arm had similar success against RH (.247) and LH (.240) batters while being a much better pitcher on the road (2.97 ERA). Tillman needs to improve on his first strike ability (below the major-league average in every season in the majors). In 2016, Chris has less velocity on his fastball with each month played (April – 93.75, May – 93.45, June – 93.43, July – 92.53, August – 92.12, September – 91.66, and October – 91.25). His secondary stuff grades out at above average (Changeup – .238 BAA, Curve – .217 BAA, and Cutter - .202 BAA). Tillman has pitched fewer than 180 innings in back-to-back years with a potential underlying shoulder injury. I don't like his walk rate (3.2 in his career) while understanding his stuff is plenty strong enough to get major league batters out with more upside if he threw more strikes. His success in 2016 will raise his value just enough to keep me away. Chris is a tough ride due to his disaster ability. I see more regression than upside in 2017.
2. SP Kevin Gausman
After four seasons in the majors, Gausman has a 23-31 record and 3.97 ERA. His walk rate (2.4) remains in a favorable area while flashing more upside in his K rate (8.7) in 2016. Kevin continues to allow too many HRs (1.4 HRs per 9 innings in back-to-back years) while struggling with his first pitch strike rate (56.8). His average fastball (AVB) remains in a winning area (2013 – 96.8, 2014 – 95.9, 2015 – 96.4, and 2016 – 95.9). Kevin doesn’t command his fastball well enough in the strike zone leading to league average success (.265 with 19 HRs in 442 at bats). His out pitch is his split-finger fastball (.196 BAA) while his curveball (.348 BAA) and changeup (.444 BAA) still need plenty of work. Gausman has more success with his four-seam fastball against lefties (.230) than RH batters (.291). Overall, righties hit .288 against him with 17 HRs in 375 at bats. Kevin started 2016 on the DL with a right shoulder injury. He looked only mediocre over a three-month span from May through July (4.39 ERA) before finding his stride over his last 12 starts of the year (7-2 with a 2.83 ERA and 75 Ks in 76.1 innings). There’s a lot to like here when he puts it all together. He throws enough strikes to have success, but Gausman can’t make a further step forward without better command in the strike zone with his fastball. Possible 15 wins with a 3.25 ERA while being drafted as a late SP3 or early SP4 in 15 team leagues.
3. SP Dylan Bundy
I can't help but have a soft spot by Bundy as his great start on August 2nd (seven shutout innings with one hit allowed and seven Ks) propelled me to a $70,000 winning night in daily baseball. Over the first half of 2016, Dylan pitched well out of the bullpen (3.08 ERA with 32 Ks in 38 innings) while allowing too many hits (46). Baltimore transitioned him to a starting role after the All-Star break. Over a five-game stretch, he went 4-1 with a 1.84 ERA and 32 Ks in 29.1 innings. Unfortunately, his arm ran out of gas over his next seven starts (6.62 ERA) with fade in his walk rate (5.6 per 9). In his 14 starts, Bundy had a 4.52 ERA with better success in his WHIP (1.298). His AFB came in at 95.0 in 2016 while his changeup (.220 BAA) and curveball (.196 BAA) flashed high upside. Dylan needs to improve his command (3.4 walks per 9) while also establish he can handle a high volume of innings. Over four seasons in his career, Bundy has only pitched 280.1 innings due to TJ surgery in 2013 and a shoulder issue in 2015. This former first round draft pick has impact upside, but his next step is reaching 150 innings. I’ll be tracking him this spring while monitoring his draft value. I don’t want to overpay for injury risk or short projected innings.
4. SP Ubaldo Jimenez
It's hard to believe that Jimenez once had an impact season (2010 – 19-8 with a 2.88 ERA and 214 Ks in 221.2 innings). Over his last six seasons, Ubaldo has one season of value (2013 – 13-9 with 3.30 and 194 Ks over 182.2 innings). In his other five seasons over this period, he has 45 wins and 61 losses with a 4.75 ERA. Last year Jimenez pitched his way out the starting rotation after a brutal run over 14 starts in May, June, and July (8.20 ERA and 2.089 WHIP). Ubaldo struggled with lefties (.294 with 10 HRs allowed over 235 at bats). Baltimore was forced to put him back in the starting rotation on August 25th. Over his last seven starts of the year, he went 5-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 38 Ks in 47.2 innings. His walk rate (4.6) was a huge issue leading to a slight downtick in his K rate (7.9). His AFB (91.6) is well off his career best in 2007 (97.5) while commanding two complementary pitches of value (slider - .200 BAA and split-finger - .232 BAA). His finish in 2016 added to a couple of swing and miss type pitches does give him a glimmer of hope if somehow he finds a way to throw more strikes. Waiver wire bound with only a short-term ride in a double start week if he’s pitching well.
5. SP Wade Miley
Wade pitched well in 2012 (16-11 with a 3.33 ERA) and 2013 (10-10 with a 3.55 ERA) with Arizona, but his arm has been a disaster over the last three seasons (2014 – 4.34 ERA, 2015 – 4.46 ERA, and 2016 – 5.37). The Orioles took a chance on him at the traded deadline and he rewarded them with five disaster starts in his first eight appearance (34 runs and 68 base runners over 35.1 innings). Miley threw the ball well in his last three starts of the year (1.93 ERA with 23 Ks in 18.2 innings). His walk rate (2.5) with Baltimore was above his career average (2.8) while flashing a career high in his K rate (9.2 – 7.4 on the year). Wade struggled with HRs (1.4 per 9). His best success came against lefties (.234) with disaster risk vs. RH batters (.301 with 22 HRs allowed over 521 at bats). Miley lost velocity on his fastball (91.2) for the second straight season. Every one of his pitches had losing value expect his cutter (.222 BA), which he threw a low percentage of time. Lefties tend to have nine lives so Wade could bounce back to be an innings eater for Baltimore. His command is reasonable with K ability at times. Tough to trust over the long haul especially in the AL East.
6. SP Logan Verrett
Verrett looks to be the Orioles’ swing man in 2017. Last season with the Mets, his arm has much more value as a reliever (2.84 ERA) while getting pounded as a starter (6.45 ERA). Logan had two strong spot starts in April (no runs in 12 innings with 10 Ks) with a semi-serviceable run in late July and early August when he allowed three runs or fewer in four straight starts over 23.1 innings with 14 Ks). Over five seasons in the minors, he had a 3.93 ERA 402 Ks in 488 innings. His average fastball (91.3) is below major league average with no defining secondary pitch to offer him a long-term edge in any role.
CL Zach Britton
Britton has blossomed over the last three seasons as a closer. In 2016, he only allowed four runs over 67 innings with one ball leaving the ballpark. Zach has an insane sinker that's clocked in at 97 mph over the last two years. It leads to an incredible ground ball rate (80.0 percent in 2016 and 79.1 in 2015) with enough life to offer an edge in Ks as well (9.9 Ks per 9 in 2016 and 10.8 in 2015). The only other pitch Britton throws is a show me curveball (.267 BAA). His walk rate (2.4) was a step back from his elite results in 2015 (1.9). Zach led the AL in saves (47) last year while converting every chance. He had success against both RH (.155 BAA) and LH (.185) batters in 2016. Britton can't match the big dogs in Ks, but he's as steady as they come for saves while offering an edge in ERA and WHIP.
RP Darren O'Day
O’Day was well on his way to another strong season in April and May (2.79 ERA with 24 Ks in 19.1 innings), but he suffered a hamstring in late May and then a right shoulder injury in Mid-August. Over eight games in June, July, and August, he allowed six runs and 12 base runners in eight innings to push his ERA to 3.95 while spending about 13 weeks on the DL. Over his last four appearances of the season, Darren allowed one run over 3.2 innings with five Ks. O'Day has a short fastball (86.2) while relying heavily on his slider for outs. Nice setup man with possible short-term value in saves if Britton has an issue. Over the last five years with the Orioles, Darren has a 2.11 ERA with 321 Ks and 15 saves in 294 innings.
RP Brad Brach
Over the first four months of 2016, Brach was electric in the Orioles bullpen (6-1 with a 1.13 ERA and 64 Ks in 56 innings). He seemed to lose his way over the last two months of the season (4.30 ERA) partly due to weaker command (10 walks in 23 innings) and a spike in HRs allowed (4). His AFB (95.8) was a career high while improving in each season pitched in the majors. Batters struggled to hit his four-seam fastball (.188 BAA), changeup (.206), and slider (.220). As great as he looks for a possible chance at saves, Brad still needs to figure out how to get lefties out at a higher rate (.288 with four HRs allowed in 132 at bats) while dominating RH batters (.126) in 2016. This best part of his growth was improved success in his command (2.8 walks per 9 – career best by a wide margin). Closer upside with continued success in his strike-throwing ability if he improves against left-handed batters.
Brooksbaseball.net. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.brooksbaseball.net/
Fangraphs. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.fangraphs.com/
Reference, B. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.baseball-reference.com/
Roster Resource. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.rosterresource.com/mlb
Rotowire. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.rotowire.com/
RotoWorld. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.rotoworld.com/
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