Nick Turchiaro, USA Today Sports

2017 Toronto Blue Jays Team Outlook

Senior Fantasy Baseball Expert Shawn Childs takes a detailed look at the Toronto Blue Jays heading into the 2017 Fantasy season!

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays made the playoffs in back-to-back seasons for the first time since 1992 and 1993. In 2015, their success was delivered by a huge edge in offense (891 runs – 127 more than second best team) while pounding a league-high 232 home runs. Last year Toronto still hit HRs (221 – 3rd), but they scored 132 fewer runs (759 – 5th) with a short batting average (.248). Surprisingly, the Blue Jays finished 2016 with the best ERA (3.78) in the American League.

2017 will be a transition year for Toronto after losing 1B Edwin Encarnacion to free agency. Edwin is off the table due to him signing with the Indians. OF Michael Saunders and backup C Dioner Navarro became free agents as well. The Blue Jays re-signed OF Jose Bautista to a one-year contract.

On the pitching side, they lost RP Brett Cecil (STL) and RP Joaquin Benoit (PHI). SP R.A. Dickey signed with the Braves.

1B Kendrys Morales was brought in to replace Encarnacion in the starting lineup. Cuban IF Lourdes Gourriel signed a seven-year contract for $22 million. In December, The Blue Jays signed IF/OF Steve Pearce to add depth to their bench.

Their offense will hinge on the success of 3B Josh Donaldson with a rebound season needed from SS Troy Tulowitzki and 2B Devon Travis. The backend of the starting lineup lacks depth in January, but this could change with another bat added.

Toronto finished the year 22nd in the majors in bullpen ERA (4.11) with 23 wins, 32 losses, and 43 saves. The 9th inning looks secure with CL Roberto Osuna with a respectable RP Jason Grilli manning the eighth inning. They will need to another arm to make a step forward to be competitive late in games.

The Blue Jays have two upside arms in the starting rotation with Aaron Sanchez and Marcus Stroman followed by three pitchers with above league average success – J.A. Happ, Francisco Liriano, and Marco Estrada. This rotation should keep Toronto in the game on most nights.

1. 2B Devon Travis

Travis missed the first seven weeks of the 2016 season due to a slow recovery from left shoulder surgery the previous November. After a week of struggle in May (.208 with no HR and two RBI in 24 at bats), Devon played at a high level in June (.302 with five HRs and 17 RBI in 96 at bats). His swing was productive in batting average over the next three months (.284, .311, and .319) while offering no impact in the counting stats (36 runs, six HRs, 31 RBI, and three SBs over 290 at bats). His best success came against RH pitching (.313 with nine HRs and 40 RBI in 310 at bats). Travis did have regression in his approach at the plate (K rate – 20.1 and walk rate – 4.6) compared to his success in 2015 (K rate – 18.0 and walk rate – 7.5). He continues to make hard contact (CTBA – 0.381), which sets the foundation for a solid batting average. His swing path did produce a few more fly balls (34.4 percent), but his HR/FB rate (9.9) fell short of his rookie seasons (16.0). His season ended in October with right knee injury that required surgery. Devon hit .317 in his minor-league career with 29 HRs, 148 RBI, and 42 SBs in 1072 at bats. There’s a lot to like here if he can stay healthy all year. His minor approach (12.2 K rate) points to an edge in batting average with enough tools to be a 20/20 player with 550 at bats. The change in personnel in Toronto gives him an excellent chance of batting leadoff.

2. 3B Josh Donaldson

Josh now has four straight plus seasons with his best success of his career coming in Toronto over the last two years. His walk rate (15.6) moved to another level with improvement in his K rate (17.0). Donaldson has added length to his hits in each of the last four years (AVH – 1.933) with continue success with his RBI rate (17). In April and May, Josh had 13 HRs in 203 at bats while failing in RBI (29) and batting average (.256). Over the next three months, he regained his elite form (.324 with 66 runs, 21 HRs, and 63 RBI). Donaldson tried to play through a hip injury in September leading to a poor month (.222 with three HRs and seven RBI in 90 at bats). His swing had similar success against righties (.286 with 30 HRs and 80 RBI over 448 at bats) and lefties (.279 with seven HRs and 19 RBI over 129 at bats). His HR/FB rate (19.8) was been at the top of his range over the last two years (21.8 in 2015 – career best). This season I expect him to move to 3rd in the batting order for the Blue Jays. He won’t have two high volume HRs hitters hitting behind him, which will lower his bar in runs for sure. In addition, pitchers may try to pitch around him. As a first round pick again in 2017, he may fall short of expectations. Josh has a strong enough foundation where 30 HRs with 100 runs and 100 RBI should be within reach. His base skills point to a positive batting average.

3. OF Jose Bautista

Jose picked the wrong time to become a free agent. Last season he missed five weeks due to a toe injury and then another two weeks with a knee sprain. His walk rate (16.8) continues to improve while his K rate (19.9) slid back to league average. Bautista hit .232 with 11 HRs and 37 RBI over his first 190 at bats with more walks (40) than strikeouts (39). Over the next three months with missed time due to injuries, he hit .227 with six HRs and 15 RBI over 132 at bats. In September, Jose hit .248 with five HRs and 17 RBI over 101 at bats. His swing was never in rhythm all year. He didn’t have success against righties (.238) or lefties (.220). His HR/FB rate (16.3) came in just below his career average (16.7) while being his weakest level since 2009. Bautista will be motivated to get paid, so I expect a 30/100 season with correction in his batting average. His CTBA (.309) tends to be low, which limits his ceiling in batting average.

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4. DH Kendrys Morales

Morales didn’t play well in April (.226 with two HRs and eight RBI), May (.163 with four HRs and 13 RBI), and July (.191 with five HRs and 10 RBI). He did crush the ball in June (.402 with five HRs and 18 RBI). On July 31st, Kendrys was hitting .244. Over the last two months of year, Morales saved his season (.296 with 14 HRs and 44 RBI) highlighted by a hot September (.321 with eight HRs and 30 RBI). He’ll enter 2017 as a DH, but the Blue Jays will give him plenty of at bats at first base. Over the last two years, Kendrys has done a nice job with runners on base (RBI rate of 20 percent and 19 percent). His walk rate (7.8) has been just over the league average (8.2) over the last two seasons with a step back in his K rate (19.4) in 2016. He hit 19 of his 30 HRs off RH pitching late seasons, but he only hit .231 compared to a high level of success against lefties (.330 with 11 HRs and 37 RBI over 182 at bats). His HR/FB rate (19.0) fell in his success in 2009 (18.1), 2010 (21.6), and 2012 (21.0). I expect his RBI chances to spike with Donaldson hitting in front of him. Morales has 25+ HR power with more upside if the Blue Jays slip him the JUICE. His batting average has a better chance of being neutral than a liability based on his career path.

5. SS Troy Tulowitzki

The greatness of Tulowitzki looks to be left in Colorado. He still has plenty of talent, but his inability to stay healthy has taken a toll on Fantasy owners over the last five seasons. Since 2012, Troy missed 287 games (57.4 per season). My draw to him early his career was his upside in power at short and his approach at the plate (2011 – 9.7 walk rate and 13.0 K rate). Over the last two years, his K rate has been on the decline (2015 – 21.4 and 2016 – 18.6) with fade as well in his walk rate (2015 – 7.1 and 2016 – 7.9). Last year Tulowitzki was productive in HRs 24 in 492 at bats) due to repeated success in his AVH (1.744). His batting average fell off the chart because of a second straight year of regression in CTBA (.320). He missed about three weeks in June with a quad issue. Troy has a relatively balanced swing path, which tends to deliver as many ground balls (40.5 percent in 2016) as fly balls (40.3 percent in 2016) while his HR/FB rate (15.1) fell in line with his career average (15.2). Over the recent years, Troy has dominated lefties (2014 - .397 with nine HRs and 17 RBI in 78 at bats and 2015 - .350 with four HRs and 15 RBI in 100 at bats), but that wasn’t the case in 2016 (.266 with five HRs and 18 RBI in 109 at bats). Last season his only edge month came in July (.308 with six HRs and 21 RBI). In the early draft season, Tulo is the 16th shortstop off the table with an ADP of 158 in 15 team leagues. Even with 30 missed games, he still has chance at being a 20/80 guy. With a rebound in his CTBA and his approach at the plate, Troy should offer some upside in batting average. Steady piece to the puzzle with injury risk plus enough underlying upside to gamble for one more impact season.

6. C Russell Martin

Other than batting average, Martin has seen two of his most productive seasons with the Blue Jays. Over this span, he has 43 HRs and 151 RBI. His K rate (27.7) was well above his career resume (17.4) and 2015 (20.9) while maintaining a high walk rate (12.0). Russell struggled in April and May (.197 with three HRs and 14 RBI over 147 at bats – 51 Ks) with some missed time due to a neck issue. A hot August (.292 with nine HRs and 22 RBI) may have mask some of his disaster season. Without that month, Martin only hit .217 with 11 HRs and 52 RBI over 364 at bats. Last year he hit the most fly balls of his career (35.6 percent) with the third highest HR/FB rate (18.0). I can’t trust his skill set at all. Pretty much a 15/60 guy with rising batting average risk. Russell has trade power for batting average over the last five years.

7. OF Melvin Upton

Upton gave Fantasy owners solid stats over 344 at bats in San Diego (.256 with 16 HRs, 45 RBI, and 20 SBs), but his swing died after the trade to the Blue Jays (.196 with four HRs and 16 RBI over 148 at bats). Melvin continue to have a poor K rate (28.8 – 26.7 in his career) with a fading walk rate (6.9 – lowest total since 2006. He held his own against LH pitching (.275 with nine HRs and 11 RBI in 120 at bats). His lack of success vs. righties (.226 with 11 HRs and 40 RBI over 372 at bats) will push him to the bench in many games going forward. Upton had his second highest HR/FB rate (17.4) of his career. Platoon player with a slim chance of earning a full-time job. He’s playing in a contract year ($16.4 million) so he may be motivated to rob another franchise. Melvin will chip in with power and speed if your team structure can handle his batting average risk. His key is playing time.

8. OF Steve Pearce

Over 1639 at bats in the majors over 10 years, Pearce hit .254 with 66 HRs, 215 RBI, and 13 SBs. He flashed the most upside in 2014 when the Orioles gave him at bats at 2B due to an injury (.293 with 21 HRs and 49 RBI in 338 at bats). His K rate (17.9 in 2016 and 19.9 in his career) is about league average with strength in his walk rate (11.3 in 2016). Last April, Steve struggled to get at bats (.262 with one HR and five RBI in 42 at bats). When given a chance in May, Pearce played at a high level (.317 with seven HRs ad 15 RBI in 82 at bats). He landed on the DL early in June with a right elbow injury that eventually needed surgery in September. Steve also missed time in 2016 with a hamstring issue. Over the last four months of the year, he failed to get another chance at starting at bats (.279 with five HRs and 15 RBI over 140 at bats). His bat has the most success against lefties (.309 with seven HRs and 18 RBI over 81 at bats). Possible option at DH or OF. Pearce has 20+ HR power with 450+ at bats.

9. OF Kevin Pillar

After poking my eyes out looking at the last four option for the Blue Jays, Pillar at least helps the Blue Jays win. He has a plus glove with underlying speed (109 SBs in 1797 at bats in the minors), but his approach isn’t strong enough to hit at the top of the order. Kevin has a short K rate (4.1) with a respectable K rate (15.4). He flashed double digit power in 2015, but his AVH (1.411) has drifted backwards since he reached the majors. Pillar missed time in August was a left thumb injury that required surgery after the season. Over the last three months of 2106, he hit .278 with no HRs and 20 RBI in 237 at bats. The thumb issue clearly hurt his power late in the year and he probably didn’t run as much due to the injury as well. I expect more while knowing his ceiling isn’t that high. Possible edge in batting average with a 10/30 skill with weakness in runs and RBI due to his slot in the batting order. 

BN: 1B Justin Smoak

Smoak doesn’t belong in the majors. He’s had below a leadoff hitter RBI rate (10) in three of his last five seasons with a huge demise in his K rate (2014 – 23.9, 2015 – 26.2, and 2016 – 32.8). Last year he had his highest CTBA (.348) over the last five years, but he still only hit .217. In 2016, Justin hit under .220 in five of six months. His best success came in May (.309 with five HRs and nine RBI). Over the three months of the season, the Blue Jays only gave him 114 at bats (.184 with seven HRs and 14 RBI). Bench player at best with no real chance of earning a starting job. Toronto needs to add another bat to push him as far away from the starting lineup as possible. He’s a former first round draft pick with 20 HR power if he somehow corrects his ability to make contact. Last year he changed his swing path to try to hit for more power (career low GB rate – 30.5 – 38.9 in his career).

BN: OF Dalton Pompey

Pompey is a home-grown player who made impressive strides at three levels of the minors in 2014 (.317 with nine HRs, 51 RBI, and 43 SBs). His success led to a September call that season. His K rate (27.9) in the majors in 2014 suggested his ride in 2015 wouldn't be easy. Dalton should be a plus defender with a solid arm. His walk rate (11.3) is in a top of the order area in his minor-league career. The Blue Jays gave him 23 games to prove his worth in 2015 where he hit .193 with two HRs, six RBI, and two SBs over 83 at bats. His bat had less pop at AA and AAA in 2015 (AVH - 1.370) with no pulse in 2016 (AVH – 1.308) plus Dalton didn't run as much (41 SBs over his last 724 at bats in the minors). Over six seasons in the minors, Pompey hit .281 with 33 HRs, 189 RBI, and 154 SBs in 1945 at bats. His game has more potential than Pillar, but he still needs more seasoning. Impact speed with just above Judy power when he figures out how to make more contact in the majors.

Bench Options

C A.J. Jimenez – Over nine seasons in the minors, Jimenez hit .268 with 25 HRs, 265 RBI, and 46 SBs in 1990 at bats. He’s spent part of the last four seasons at AAA (.245 with six HRs and 61 RBI in 564 at bats). Low value backup who could be replaced quickly by a replaced by a free agent signing.

1B Rowdy Tellez – Over 438 at bats at AA in 2016, Rowdy hit .297 with 23 HRs and 81 RBI. With the Blue Jays having weakness at 1B, Tellez could have a chance in the majors by June. He’ll take a walk (12.3 percent) with a reasonable K rate (17.9).

IF Ryan Goins – After holding his own in 2015 in the majors (.250 with five HRs and 45 RBI in 376 at bats), Ryan struggled in 2016 (.186 with three HRs and 12 RBI in 183 at bats). His K rate (24.5) spiked with a shape decline in his walk rate (4.6). The addition of Steve Pearce will make him expendable. Goins is a career .275 hitter in the minors with 21 HRs, 272 RBI, and 34 SBs in 2412 at bats.

IF Darwin Barney – He’ll have chance to compete for a bench role. Over seven years in the majors, Darwin hit .249 with 25 HRs, 176 RBI, and 22 SBs in 2200 at bats.

OF Ezequiel Carrera – The Blue Jays gave Carrera the best chance of his career in the majors. He hit .248 with six HRs, 23 RBI, and seven SBs in 270 at bats. Over six years in the majors with part-time at bats, Ezequiel hit .255 with 11 HRs, 77 RBI, and 34 SBs in 877 at bats.

1. SP Marcus Stroman

Stroman gave Fantasy owners 32 starts in 2016, but they were well below his expected value. Marcus was a disaster over his first 16 starts (5.33 ERA) with weakness in his K rate (6.3). He pitched much better over the second half of the year (3.68 ERA) with uptick in strike outs in July and August (69 in 65.2 innings). In September, Stroman did struggle with his command (14 walks in 37 innings – 3.4 per nine innings) leading to regression in Ks (6.3 per nine). His arm didn’t offer an edge against righties (.260) or lefties (.268). Marcus was a GB machine (60.1 percent) with a surprisingly high HR/FB rate (16.5) for his low FB rate (20.4). His AFB (93.7) was below his 2014 season (94.4) while having more life and velocity after the All-Star break (93.0 – 93.9). Batters struggled to hit his slider (.190 BAA), curveball (.194), and cutter – .192 BAA). Marcus struggled due to his failure with his sinker (.305 BAA with 11 HRs allowed in 397 at bats). In 2014, he relied more on his four-seam fastball (.264), which led to more success with his sinker (.182 BAA). The bottom line here is that his fastball wasn’t where it needed to be early in the year and he didn’t throw enough first pitch strikes. His secondary stuff points to high upside when he has better command of his fastball in the strike zone. I expect a nice step forward in 2017. Possible 15+ wins with sub 3.25 ERA and a run at 200 Ks.

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2. SP Aaron Sanchez

Sanchez was a pitcher I didn’t trust going into 2016 due to his command (4.3 walk rate) and questionable value as a starter. For those that believe in him, he delivered an exceptional season for where he was drafted. Aaron threw more first strikes (60.8 percent) leading growth in his walk rate (3.0) and more strike outs (7.5 per nine). His AFB (95.6) was better than his success in relief in 2015 (95.4). Batters struggled to make hard contact with his four-seam fastball (.241 BAA) and his sinker (.244 BAA), which he threw a combined 74.3 percent of the time. His changeup (.155 BAA) became relevant with growth as well with his curveball (.145 BAA). Most of his failure in walks comes against lefties (44 in 364 at bats) even with a high level of success (.217 BAA). Sanchez did an excellent job against RH batters (.231 with 74 Ks in 355 at bats). Over the first four months of the year, Aaron had 2.71 ERA with 108 Ks in 139.1 innings. The Blue Jays wanted to limit his innings, but his arm was too important to their playoff run. His walk rate did rise in September (4.2 per nine) with some struggles with HRs (4). The biggest question for 2017 with be the jump from 92.1 innings to 192 in 2016. Over six years in the minors, Sanchez had a 3.54 ERA with 356 Ks in 366 innings while walking 4.9 batter per nine innings. Very tempting, but I still fear the regression in his command. He’ll be drafted as a SP2 in the high stakes market. A step back in success is expected with some WHIP risk. He looks like a hard worker so a Fantasy owner needs to follow his spring training progress closely.

3. SP J.A. Happ

Happ built on his second half success in 2015 (7-2 with a 1.85 ERA) to post his best season of his career in 2016. His walk rate (2.8) and K rate (7.5) weren’t edges or separator stats. J.A. threw the ball well against righties (.228), which was his best success of his career. His AFB (92.8) was been above his career resume for three straight years with batters hitting .199 against it (2014 - .225 BAA and 2015 - .231 BAA). His secondary pitches didn’t offer upside last year (sinker - .275 BAA, changeup - .279 BAA, slider - .288 BAA, cutter - .375 BAA). His only other pitch of value was his curveball (.127 BAA), which he threw 7.4 percent of the time. Happ allowed three runs or fewer in 27 of his 32 starts. Toronto scored 6.9 runs per game, which was the second highest total in the majors behind Rick Porcello (7.6). Over 10 years in the majors, J.A. has a 3.98 ERA with 1022 Ks in 1207.2 innings. Real tough buy in 2017. His secondary stuff doesn’t offer an edge and his fastball isn’t going to carry him to another elite season. Easy avoid with ERA closer to 4.00 expected.

4. SP Francisco Liriano

Liriano was a mess in 2016. His HR rate (1.4) was double his previous two years (0.7) with continued risk in his walk rate (4.7). He did have much better command with the Blue Jays (2.9) than the Pirates (5.5). Over his first 21 starts with Pittsburgh, Francisco allowed four runs or more in 10 starts while walking four batters or more in 11 outings. In the heat of the battle in September, he posted his best success of the year (2.03 ERA with 29 Ks in 26.2 innings). His AFB (94.0) was his best since 2010 (94.5). Batters still have a tough time hitting his slider (.167 BAA) with fade in his changeup (.257 BAA). His downfall was clearly his fastball location (sinker - .301 BAA and four-seam - .407 BAA). Liriano has plenty of velocity on his fastball, but he can’t throw enough strikes to take advantage of his swing and miss slider. He did pitch well for three seasons in Pittsburgh (3.26 ERA) despite walking 3.8 batter per nine. The American League is downgrade over the long haul, but he can’t be as bad as 2016. Walks invite disaster starts so a Fantasy owner should know this is going to be a bumpy ride. Let’s set the bat as a 3.75 ERA with 175+ Ks and a well done smelling WHIP (1.30).

5. SP Marco Estrada

Many Fantasy owners fear pitchers that pitch in the AL East, but at least Blue Jay pitchers didn’t have to face their power bats. Over two seasons with Toronto, Marco has a 3.30 ERA with 296 Ks in 357 innings. His AFB (88.9) isn’t edge in velocity, but batter only hit .229 against it. Hitters struggle to hit his changeup (.151 BAA). Estrada does a nice job with his curveball (.216 BAA) as well. Somehow, Marco allowed the fewest number of hits per nine innings in the American League in 2015 (6.7) and 2016 (6.8) after getting hit harder with Milwaukee over five seasons (8.2 hits per nine). HRs (1.2 per nine) continue to be his downside risk. He dominated both RH (.218) and LH (.190) batters. Over first three months of 2016, Estrada had a 2.98 ERA with 92 Ks in 99.1 innings. A herniated disk cost him time in July while leading to regression over his final 14 starts (4.34 ERA) with a spike in his walk rate (4.3) in September. Solid major league arm with some disaster risk due to his mistake leaving the ballpark. I don’t think he’ll be a good as the last two years while his resume is now long enough to believe his arm has Fantasy value in the season long games. He’s never pitched over 181 innings in the majors. When juggling his name at the draft table, my gut tells to err on the side of caution.

Mike Bolsinger

Bolsinger will compete for the long man role on the Blue Jays in 2017. Over seven seasons in the minors, Mike has a 3.50 ERA with 548 Ks in 565.2 innings, His walk rate (3.2) in the minors never made a step forward in his career. Bolsinger threw the ball well over 21 starts in the majors form the Dodgers in 2015 (3.62 ERA with 98 Ks in 109.1 innings) while walking 3.7 batter per nine. His 2016 season started with an oblique issue and he never found his rhythm at AAA (4.64 ERA) or the majors (6.83 ERA) over 25 appearances. He relies on a cutter (88.4 mph) as his fastball followed by weak curveball (.317 BAA) and slider (.279 BAA). Mike had success in 2015 due to more value with his slider (.167 BAA). Weak arm with no real upside over the long haul.

Sean Reid-Foley

Reid-Foley is the Blue Jays’ highest rated pitching prospect in the minors. He struggled over his first 34 appearances in 2014 (4.76 ERA) and 2015 (4.22 ERA) due to a huge walk rate (5.8). His arm was much improved in 2016 (10-5 with a 2.81 ERA and 130 Ks in 115.1 innings). Sean lowered his walk rate to 3.0 while maintaining a high K rate (10.1). He is a power pitcher with a fastball that sits in the mid-90s. His slider offers upside while his changeup still needs plenty of work to be viable pitch at the major-league level. His two-pitch arsenal will work well out of the bullpen. Last August Reid-Foley suffered an elbow injury that ended up being minor. He should start the year at AA in 2017. Sean needs to throw strikes to speed up his window to the majors.

CL Roberto Osuna

In his first full season as closer for the Blue Jays at age 21, Osuna converted 36 of his 42 save chances while being a strike throwing machine (1.7 walk rate, 70.1 percent first pitch strikes, and 70.7 percent overall strikes). His AFB (96.6) was electric with batters hitting .229 vs. his four-seamer. He dominated hitters with his slider (.130 BAA) and changeup (.056 BAA) while his occasional cutter still needs some work (.429 BAA). RH batter had a tough time against him (.176 BAA). Even with a high level of success, his ride wasn’t smooth over the summer (June – 5.40 ERA and August – 5.06 ERA with four HRs allowed in 10.2 innings). Osuna can only get better with higher upside in Ks. His next step in improvement is controlling the long balls (nine in 74.0 innings). Possible 100+ Ks with 40+ saves and an edge in ERA and WHIP.

RP Jason Grilli

It took Grilli about eight minutes in 2016 to pitch his way out of the closing job for the Braves. In his first outing of the year, he allowed a run and three base runners over one inning of work. The Cardinals beat him for another run and three walks in two-thirds of an inning in his second appearance. With two more bad games in mid-April (three runs and six base runners over 1.1 innings), Jason sealed his fate for Atlanta. Over his first 21 games, he had a 5.29 ERA with 13 walks in 17 innings. The Braves shipped him to Toronto in early June where he pitched much better (3.64 ERA), but his walk rate (4.1) was still a liability. His arm was dominating in July and August (1.57 ERA with 30 Ks and only seven hits allowed in 23 innings). He did fall on his face in September (10 runs, 19 base runners, and four HRs allowed in 9.1 innings). The Blue Jays resigned him in the offseason to pitch in the 8th inning. Grilli has 78 career saves in the majors. His AFB (93.1) was a career low in 2016.

RP Ryan Tepera

The Blue Jays converted Tepera to the bullpen in the 2013 season at AA after he struggled at make his mark at that level (4.63 ERA with 162 Ks in 190.1 innings). Over three years at AAA in relief, Ryan has a 2.70 ERA with 23 saves and 152 Ks in 143.1 innings. In his two half seasons in the majors, Tepera has a 3.16 ERA with a step back in his K rate (7.0). His walk rate (2.5) with Toronto is respectable, but he did allow 3.9 walks per nine in 2016. He has a live fastball (95.6) with best success coming from his cutter (.188 BAA). No long-term upside in the 9th in the majors.

References

 BIBLIOGRAPHY Baseball-Reference. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.baseball-reference.com/

Brooksbaseball.net. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.brooksbaseball.net/

Fangraphs. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.fangraphs.com/

Roster Resource. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.rosterresource.com/mlb

Rotowire. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.rotowire.com/

RotoWorld. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.rotoworld.com/

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