Kevin Kuo

Scouting The NBA DFS - Sunday, January 15

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Plays of the Day

Value: Since Clint Capella went down with a broken leg I’ve been rolling with Montrezl Harrell a lot when I don’t want to spend big money on the center position. He regularly plays minutes in the mid-20s and sometimes even up in the 30s. Harrell has a decently high floor and is more than capable of approaching 40 Fantasy points (FD) as he’s topped 30 Fantasy points in one-third of his last nine games. Tonight he faces the lowly Brooklyn Nets. No team in the NBA is giving up more Fantasy points to opposing centers than the Nets.

Fade: Tonight I’m fading Jimmy Butler. Whenever you fade a player of his caliber, it can certainly backfire, especially in a smaller slate like this one. Nonetheless, Memphis is one of the most brutal matchups in the league and with a price tag of $9,400 (FD) I just can’t bring myself to spend the money. Not when I can splurge on guys like Russell Westbrook, James Harden or DeMarcus Cousins.

Game to Target

Houston Rockets (-12 ½) @ Brooklyn Nets (over/under 231 ½)

Point Guards

Two Studs

Russell Westbrook (OKC) @ SAC FD: $12,500/DK: $12,800

Westbrook is a no-brainer at this point. He’s a triple-double machine, and no one is stuffing a stat sheet like him. His 57.4 FPPG (FD) is the best in the league, and it’s now become a rare occurrence that he doesn’t have a monster statistical night. If you can fit him into your budget, he’s well worth the price hefty price tag.

Mike Conley (MEM) vs CHI FD: $7,600/DK: $7,200

Many scoffed at the contract Conley received this offseason from the Grizzlies, however, he has been outstanding. Granted he’s paid like the best player in the league and he’s not that, but he has far exceeded expectations. Over his past five games, he’s averaging 40.72 FPPG (FD). Even at $7,600, that’s great value. Play the hot hand.

Potential Value

Darren Collison ($4,400/$4,100)

I really could have gone with Collison or Ty Lawson here. Nevertheless, Collison has a slightly higher average FPPG and is playing more minutes. He’s proven to be an explosive player and he more often than not over the past eight games tops the 30 minutes mark. I like his upside, although, he does have a bit of a low-floor as well.

Long Shot

Spencer Dinwiddie ($4,100/$N/A)

With Jeremy Lin injured again, Dinwiddie is getting a lot of run at PG in Brooklyn, and he’s been productive. He’s played well over 20 minutes in four straight games and has even seen his minutes climb over 30 minutes during Lin’s most recent stint on the injury report. He’s more than capable of putting up a 12-5-7 type stat line and finishing in the 25-to-30 Fantasy point range at a very low price. You could find a gem if he has a breakout game.

Shooting Guards

Two Studs

James Harden (HOU) @ BKN FD: $ 11,800/DK: $N/A

Harden is almost on the same pace as Westbrook. Just read what I said about him and replace the name. Harden has been an absolute Fantasy beast, and his numbers are simply ridiculous. You don’t need to put much thought into this one. With an ideal matchup, Harden will continue his MVP push.

Dwyane Wade (CHI) @ MEM FD: $6,900/DK: $6,800

Wade is the second best option at SG being that the next two guys behind him are Victor Oladipo and Eric Gordon. Wade has proven to be far more consistent, and it would be almost disrespectful not to have Wade here. With that said, much like I said with our “Fade of the Day,” Memphis is a brutal matchup, and you may want to avoid it.

Potential Value

Sean Kilpatrick ($4,100/$N/A)

He’s been on a cold streak, but Kilpatrick can flat get buckets. He’s been doing it since his days at Cincinnati. We’ve seen his upside this season, and it’s impressive. The fact that he’s still topping 25 minutes in most games gives me hope and makes me like his value.

Long Shot

Nick Young ($3,800/$3,700)

Young is your classic boom or bust option who can get hot and light it up with the best of them or just kill you. Similar to a guy like Michael Beasley or a poor man’s J.R. Smith. Swaggy P was hot earlier in the season but has a cold off significantly. Still, any given night he can go off. Lord knows he’s not shy when it comes to chucking it up.

Small Forwards

Two Studs

Jimmy Butler (CHI) @ MEM FD: $9,400/DK: $8,800

Yes, I fully understand Butler is my “Fade of the Day” against Memphis and I stand by that. But let us not pretend there is no chance he puts up a 60 Fantasy point game and makes me looks extra foolish. A player of Butler’s caliber always has to be considered a stud, even if in this particular matchup you may be better off not paying his lofty price tag.

Rudy Gay (SAC) vs OKC FD: $7,200/DK: $6,700

Gay is a player that seems to go overlooked a bit in the grand scheme of things. All he does is produce on a high and consistent level, though. He’s topped 26 Fantasy points in each of his past five games and maxed out at 44. In his last game against the East’s best Cleveland Cavaliers, he scored 23 points, grabbed ten boards, dished out two assists and blocked four shots. Gay is my top SF in this slate.

Potential Value

Bojan Bogdanovic ($4,400/$N/A)

Bogdanovic is a high-upside scorer with a reasonable price tag. At just $4,400 he’s averaging 25.62 FPPG over the past five games. His minutes are up and so is his scoring. Only twice in the past 11 games has he valued to score double-digit points. He’s a great low-priced option.

Long Shot

Andre Roberson ($3,900/$4,000)

Despite being a bit offensively challenged, Roberson has been putting up some solid Fantasy numbers. Over the past five games, he’s averaging just under 35 minutes per game and just over 23 FPPG. At near the minimum price you have to like his prospects as a put option. He’s coming off a 25.9 Fantasy point game in which he helped a lot of Fantasy owners win some money.

Power Forward

Two Studs

Julius Randle (LAL) vs DET FD: $6,700/DK: $7,000

The young Lakers star is blossoming this season. In his last 11 games, he’s topped 30 points eight times, 40 points three times and 50 points once. He’s becoming a consistent big time player and can still be had a reasonable price. If he continues to produce like this, his price tag will be rising and won’t come back down. I love his current value.

Enes Kanter (OKC) @SAC FD: $6,200/DK: $5,900

Kanter has been a volatile Fantasy option in the past. Often seeing inconsistent numbers due to inconsistent minutes. Lately, he’s been as steady as can be. He’s topped 30 Fantasy points in five of the past six games with a low of 23.7 and a high of 39.1. This even production dates back as far as mid-December. The big man is finally living up to Fantasy expectations.

Potential Value

Taj Gibson ($4,800/$5,500)

Nikola Mirotic is currently sidelined with an illness boosting Gibson’s value. In his last outing, he saw his minutes jump from 25 to 32, and he posted a stat line of 15 points and 16 rebounds for 36.7 Fantasy points when it was all said and done. He has great value if Mirotic sits out another game.

Long Shot

Anthony Toliver ($3,900/$3,900)

Toliver has been productive lately. He’s playing big minutes and posting strong numbers for his price range. At just $3,900 he’s averaging nearly 35 minutes per game over the last three and topped 26 Fantasy points in two of those three games. However, this isn’t a tiny sample size. He’s seen this minutes increase since mid-December.

Centers

Stud

DeMarcus Cousins (SAC) vs OKC FD: $10,400/DK: $10,200 as PF

Again, Cousins is up there with Westbrook and Harden. His numbers are just so far ahead of the pack at center it’s silly. In his past 15 games, he’s only once failed to top 30 Fantasy points bottoming out at 29.2. During that span he’s topped 40 points 11 times, only one of which falling below 45. He’s topped 50 Fantasy points six times, 60 twice and has maxed out at over 76. Need I say more?

Potential Value

Montrezl Harrell ($5,200/$N/A)

Since Clint Capella went down with a broken leg, I’ve been rolling with Harrell a lot when I don’t want to spend big money on the center position. He regularly plays minutes in the mid-20s and sometimes even up in the 30s. Harrell has a decently high floor and is more than capable of approaching 40 Fantasy points (FD) as he’s topped 30 Fantasy points in one-third of his last nine games. Tonight he faces the lowly Brooklyn Nets. No team in the NBA is giving up more Fantasy points to opposing centers than the Nets.

Long Shot

Nene Hilario ($3,700/$N/A)

Hilario is priced near the minimum and has topped 20 Fantasy points in two of the last three games and three of the past six games. His upside is indeed capped, and he’s no longer the player he once was. Still, if you can steal about 25 Fantasy points from a center priced at $3,700, you’re in pretty good shape. It’s not out of the question he could top the 30 Fantasy mark point either.


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