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Adam Ronis’ Fantasy Baseball Notes (Sat., Jan. 21)

Senior Fantasy Baseball Expert Adam Ronis looks at the latest news across Major League Baseball!

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Mark Trumbo signs three-year deal with Baltimore Orioles

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It appeared Mark Trumbo was not going to be back in Baltimore and that was not going to be ideal for his fantasy value, depending on the landing spot. It turned out the market wasn't as great as Trumbo anticipated and he signed a three-year, $37.5 million deal with the Orioles. Trumbo was hoping to land an $80 million contract.

Trumbo has always shown excellent power. Everything that could have gone right for Trumbo last season did. Trumbo batted .256 with 94 runs, 47 home runs, 108 RBIs, a .316 OBP and an .850 OPS. Trumbo played in 159 games and had 613 at-bats, which is the second highest of his career.

Trumbo's power plays well in Camden Yards, although he had 25 home runs in 79 games at home and 22 on the road in 80 games, so he's not entirely park dependent. It's difficult to envision him repeating the home runs. It's best to project 30-35 home runs. Trumbo had a 24.6 percent HR/FB rate, which is above his career mark of 19.3 percent.

Trumbo is going to hit around .250 and hurts in on-base percentage leagues due to his propensity to strike out with a 25 percent career mark. Trumbo should play some outfield and designated hitter like he did last season.

Trumbo was a bargain last season due to coming off a disappointing season in which he hit 22 home runs in 142 games. I landed Trumbo in round 14 in the Tout Wars 15-team mixed league that I won for the second consecutive season.

It will cost way more to get Trumbo. He went in the fourth round of a 15-team draft champions league I am in. That's too steep of a price for me. Khris Davis of the A's has a similar profile, and he hit 42 home runs last year, and he goes a few rounds later. For me, it always comes down to team construction so if you start a draft with Jose Altuve and Starling Marte, Trumbo could be a good fit in rounds four to six in a 15-team league. In an auction league, the price will be too high.

Joey Rickard will see a decrease in playing time and becomes a platoon player against left-handers, while Trey Mancini goes from the designated hitter to a part-time player.

Brewers sign Neftali Feliz

If you drafted Corey Knebel in early draft champions leagues, you're not happy that the Brewers have signed Neftali Feliz to a one-year, $5.35 million contract. Expect Feliz to open the season as the closer, but with the Brewers likely to be one of the worst teams in baseball, Feliz could be traded.

Feliz comes with some health risk, but there were some encouraging signs last season when he pitched for the Pirates. The velocity was back on his fastball with an average of 96.1 miles per hour, the highest it has been since he was at 96.3 in 2011 with the Rangers and he had a career-high 14.2 percent swinging strike rate.

Feliz was 4-2 with a 3.52 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 28 percent strikeout rate and 9.6 percent walk rate in 2016. He will be drafted in the bottom third of closers.

Tyson Ross To Miss Time

The Rangers took a chance by signing Tyson Ross, and they won't have him for at least two months. Ross is coming off thoracic outlet surgery, and he is expected to return in late May or early June. Keep in mind these are optimistic and in January. Many times the return is later than anticipated due to setbacks. Ross is not someone to draft right now. I would only take him in the last few rounds of a mixed league if I had disabled list spots.


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