Have you tried our brand new NBA DFS Lineup Optimizer? It’s absolutely free for all to use and it will help you hone in the absolute best cash & GPP lineups every single day. Click here to use it now & learn more about it here!
Plays of the Day
Value: Andre Iguodala remains an elite value play in what should be a high-scoring affair in Portland tonight. Iggy is producing diverse lines and leading the Warriors second unit while making plenty of plays in the open court, so he should feel right at home against a Blazers team that ranks 11th in the NBA in pace this season.
Fade: Jimmy Butler will be an easy fade after he was left out of the SLU on Friday for disciplinary reasons and was extremely quiet over 33 minutes. Even if he wasn’t on the outs with his teammates along with D-Wade, it would be hard to justify paying up for him in a tough matchup against the Sixers suddenly stingy defense.
Games to Target
- Indiana Pacers (+3) hosting Houston Rockets (Over/Under = 225.5)
- Portland Blazers (+9.5) hosting Golden State Warriors (Over/Under = 231)
Stephen Curry (GSW) @ POR DK:$8,600/FD:$9,000
What quad injury? Curry warmed up in his usually impressive fashion and went on to demolish the Clippers with his best shooting performance of the season last night. He dropped 43 points on 15-of-23 FG shooting without playing in the fourth quarter of a blowout win over the Clippers and he should see more playing time down the stretch against a Blazers team that can score with anyone. Portland is still ranked 27th in defensive rating and certainly won’t be able to stop the Warriors top-ranked offense with Curry locked-in and at the controls.
Kyle Lowry (TOR) vs. ORL DK:$8,900/FD:$8,800
With DeMar DeRozan (ankle) expected to miss his fourth consecutive game tonight, Lowry is locked and loaded as a premier option in any format. The Raptors PG has dropped 81 points while playing 121 minutes over his last 3 appearances with DDR inactive and he draws a fantastic matchup tonight. Orlando is giving up the most FPPG (49.52) and second-most PPG (26.38) to opposing PGs this season and the only thing that might prevent Lowry from exceeding value once again is a blowout win for Toronto at home, but that’s far less likely to happen with DeRozan out.
T.J. McConnell ($5300/$5900) continues to lead the 76ers in a positive direction and he’ll face a dysfunctional Bulls team tonight. Jrue Holiday ($7500/$7600) is on fire right now and an upper-tier option to consider as well.
Rajon Rondo ($3900/$3800) emerged atop the rubble in Chicago’s social media mudslinging fest and he’ll be worth a look as a longshot option at this price tag against Philly.
James Harden (HOU) @ IND DK:$12,800/FD:$12,500
Fading Harden on Friday was admittedly a bad mistake, as he put up the second-highest total (topped only by himself) with 97.5 DK points with a 51-point triple double against the 76ers. You can’t expect that type of transcendent performance again tonight, but he should obviously be very productive against a Pacers team that allows the eighth-most PPG (106.8) and eleventh-most PPG (23.63) to opposing SGs this season. He’s now averaging 61.3 DK PPG on the season with a league-high 11.6 APG and 14 triple doubles, so he’s much more dangerous to fade on a short slate this evening.
Bradley Beal (WAS) @ NO DK:$6,600/FD:$7,200
There aren’t many truly appealing options at SG aside from Harden, which makes The Beard an even more vital play on both main DFS sites. Yet if balanced lineups wind up out-producing those with Harden in them, Beal could be a crucial addition to those lineups. The Wizards (-1) are red-hot at home right now but they should have trouble tonight in New Orleans against a Pelicans team that has Anthony Davis back in the fold for now. The Pels are coughing up an above average 39.14 FPPG and 20.67 PPG to opposing SGs over the last month and will have a tough time closing out on Beal this evening.
Norman Powell ($5600/$4900) is no longer a no-brainer option as a value play, but he’s clearly the next man up for Toronto with DeRozan injured.
C.J. McCollum ($7100/$8000) has even more upside than Beal, but he comes with the risk of playing against a Warriors team that has the highest defensive rating in the NBA.
Kevin Durant (GSW) @ POR: DK:$10,100/FD:$10,600
I might prefer Kawhi Leonard at $8,700 on DraftKings, but it’s hard to pass up on KD as an elite play tonight. Pairing KD and Curry along with McCollum or Dame Lillard seems like a great way to target a potential shootout tonight at the Moda Center, as the Blazers seem capable of contending with the Warriors over four quarters. With Portland playing competitive ball in all 3 of their meetings with Golden State this year, Durant has averaged 28 PPG, 7 RPG and 3.4 STL/BLK per game and he’s probably going to have another great game against a Blazers team that coughs up the sixth-most FPPG (40.29) to opposing SFs this season.
Andre Iguodala (GSW) @ POR: DK:$3,900/FD:$4,200
Right after Curry and Durant in terms of DK point-production last night was Iggy and not Klay Thompson or Draymond Green. While there’s no guarantees that will happen again, he remains an elite value play in what should be a far more competitive and perhaps equally high-scoring affair in Portland tonight. Iguodala is producing diverse lines and leading the Warriors second unit while making plenty of plays in the open court, so he should feel right at home against a Blazers team that ranks 11th in the NBA in pace this season.
Evan Turner ($4400/$4600) is a good bet for production from the Blazers side of the ball against the fast-paced Dubs.
Robert Covington ($5900/$5600) could continue his hot shooting against the Bulls 22nd-ranked 3PT defense tonight.
Markieff Morris (WAS) @ NO: DK:$6,600/FD:$6,900
Washington’s recent success and the consistent play of Morris are certainly intertwined, as he’s been a rock over the past couple of weeks. The stretch 4 is averaging 16.5 PPG, 8.6 RPG and shooting 48% from the floor over 14 appearances this month and he’s met value in each one of those games. Tonight he faces a Pelicans team that coughs up the fourth-most FPPG (44.89) to opposing PFs this season and even though he’ll be asked to guard Anthony Davis (assuming The Brow stays on the court for four quarters), his ability to step away from the basket and drain long jumpers makes him safe to deploy in any matchup.
Aaron Gordon (ORL) @ TOR: DK:$5,200/FD:$5,200 as SF
One of the few bright spots in Orlando’s embarrassing blowout loss at Boston on Friday, Gordon managed to produce 13 points and 5 boards over just 20 minutes of playing time before getting the hook. He’s probably going to see more minutes than that tonight against a Raptors team that’s missing it’s best scorer in DeMar DeRozan and happens to give up the fifth-most FPPG (45.4) to opposing PFs over the last month. While Gordon is playing at the 3 more often for Orlando, he can rebound like a 4 and he’s a solid bet for production with more upside due to the expected absence of Evan Fournier (foot) in yet another game for the Magic.
Taj Gibson ($4900/$4900) is surfing above the rubble in the Bulls mudslinging fest and remains a solid option to consider against the 76ers tonight. Dario Saric ($4300/$4600) is also a good value to consider with Joel Embiid out.
Al-Farouq Aminu ($4300/$5300) should be productive when coming off the bench for the Blazers tonight.
Nerlens Noel (PHI) @ CHI: DK:$6,300/FD:$4,700 as PF
The Process is expected to skip the 76ers trip to Chicago this Sunday and that will leave Noel to man the middle. He remained productive with 5 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 blocks and 2 steals with Embiid active on Friday and will likely have a chance to play 25-30 minutes tonight with the big man resting. Noel combined to put up 35 points and 21 rebounds when Embiid missed a B2B set earlier this week and he won’t need to do nearly that much to meet value at that price tag on FanDuel.
Lucas Noguiera (TOR) vs. ORL: DK:$3,900/FD:$4,000
DeRozan’s absence is creating a bit of a domino effect and providing more opportunities and usage to big men such as Noguiera. The second-year man out of Brazil has been making a name for himself with Patrick Patterson (knee) out for most of January and he’s held off 2Pat to earn 23.2 MPG over his last 5 appearances With averages of 7.8 PPG, 6 RPG and 2 BPG during that span, he’s not exactly brimming with upside, but he has a great chance to serve as a quality value play tonight against a Magic squad that is vulnerable down low.
Jahlil Okafor ($4700/$4700) will definitely be worth deploying in any format with Embiid out tonight.
Anthony Davis ($10,000/$10,800 as PF on FD) can still only be considered as a longshot because he’s just as likely to depart early with a quad or hip injury as he is to put up a huge line against the Wizards.