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We live in a society of immediate gratification. We need things immediately and especially new things. People want the new cell phone right away even though the one they have works well.
This translates to fantasy baseball, too. Many people want the next superstar and overlook the veteran that has produced for a long time. Carlos Correa was taken fourth overall in many drafts last season with only 432 plate appearances over 99 games in his 2015 rookie season.
Correa did not live up to that lofty standard and we are seeing Trea Turner be the Correa of 2016. Meanwhile, Miguel Cabrera just hits every single year and stays healthy. Scout Fantasy's Dr. Roto stole Cabrera in the FSTA Draft getting him in Round 2 at pick 15.
I don't get why Cabrera is falling this far. He is a first round pick. I understand the need for getting stolen bases early. There were 28 players that had at least 20 stolen bases last season.
Ideally, I want someone that contributes in the stolen base category with my first pick, but if Cabrera is there I will make an exception.
Getting reliability with your first round pick should be a key factor. We tend to put too much stock in early picks because nailing the middle to late round values are important in addition to making smart moves on the waiver wire to winning a championship.
Cabrera turns 34 in April, so maybe people are worried about age. The only time Cabrera missed significant time was in 2015, the first time he spend time on the disabled list. He hit .338 with 64 runs, 18 home runs, and 76 RBIs with an .974 OPS.
Last season, Cabrera played in 158 games and batted .316 with 92 runs, 38 home runs, 108 RBIs and a .956 OPS. He's going to be an asset in four categories and gives you a nice advantage with batting average, a category that tends to get undervalued by many.
Cabrera allows you to absorb the low batting average of the power hitters in the middle to late rounds that don't hit for a good average. Cabrera has played in at least 148 games in every year since 2004 except one. He has hit at least .313 in every season since 2009. The only season he didn't reach 100 RBIs was 2015 and it was because he played in 119 games.
Cabrera had a 41.1 percent hard hit rate last season. He has no signs of slowing down at all. While Anthony Rizzo is younger at age 27, I don't get while he's going ahead of Cabrera in every draft I have seen. While I like Rizzo, if he doesn't steal bases anymore, how is he better than Cabrera?
Rizzo stole 17 bases two years ago and had three last season. Two years ago seems like an outlier considering Rizzo's next highest total is six. Cabrera will hit for a better than average than Rizzo, who has batted .286, .276 and .292 the last three seasons. Rizzo is reliable, in a good lineup and has three straight seasons of at least 30 home runs and two straight of at least 100 RBIs. While he's a solid pick, Cabrera is the better pick.
To get Cabrera late in the first round, especially in a 15-team league is a steal. Let others fish for upside. Take the known commodity and bank the stats of Cabrera. Worry about the stolen bases in the next few rounds and take the high floor of Cabrera.